La escuela de los momios

Santos v Internacional

Inicio: 2026-03-19 00:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Santos (Local)

Predicción 44.44%2.25momio equitativo
EV +4.42%
Ventaja +1.88%
Kelly +3.28%
Crecimiento +0.145%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.51%44.24%44.53%47.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.102.102.3554.05%47.62%47.62%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Internacional (Visitante)

Predicción 26.81%3.73momio equitativo
EV +9.67%
Ventaja +2.36%
Kelly +3.13%
Crecimiento +0.303%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.09

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.73%26.93%26.77%29.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.483.504.0932.26%28.77%28.57%24.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.75%3.48momio equitativo
EV -2.82%
Ventaja -0.835%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.59%28.82%28.70%30.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.193.203.3834.48%31.36%31.25%29.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.57%EV -9.35%E -4.58%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.73%EV +9.67%E +2.36%K +3.13%G +0.303%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.71%EV -2.82%E -0.835%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-19 00:25
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -11.13%E -5.56%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV +1.89%E +0.498%K +0.676%G +0.013%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 00:25
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 44.96%EV -4.46%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.92%EV +0.016%E +0.004%K +0.006%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.12%EV -4.55%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 00:20
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -0.788%E -0.213%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 00:25
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.13%E -0.583%K -0.803%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 00:25
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -4.46%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -2.93%E -0.810%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.46%EV -7.14%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 23:40
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -4.46%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -2.93%E -0.810%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.46%EV -7.14%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 23:40
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -0.021%E -0.009%K -0.016%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 00:01
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -0.021%E -0.009%K -0.016%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 00:00
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 00:15
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 00:25
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 00:00
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 00:21
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 00:15
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 00:19
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -4.46%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -12.31%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 00:25
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.56%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 00:25
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 00:23
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.82%EV -7.57%E -3.64%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -4.01%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 00:25
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.56%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 00:20
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 44.05%EV -4.02%E -1.86%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.11%EV -5.88%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 23:55
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -2.24%E -1.02%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 00:00
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -2.24%E -1.02%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 00:00
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -2.24%E -1.02%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 00:00
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -2.24%E -1.02%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 00:00
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -2.24%E -1.02%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 00:00
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 00:15
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 00:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 00:15
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -3.13%E -1.44%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -12.31%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 00:00
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.13%E -5.56%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-19 00:25
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -5.80%E -2.73%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 00:10
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -5.80%E -2.73%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -4.02%E -1.86%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.75%E -4.58%K -6.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 00:03
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -4.46%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -13.75%E -4.58%K -6.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 00:03
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 43.57%EV -8.46%E -4.11%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -15.19%E -5.15%K -7.79%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-19 00:25
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 43.57%EV -8.46%E -4.11%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -15.19%E -5.15%K -7.79%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-19 00:25
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.46%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 23:35
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.46%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 23:35
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 00:25
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -5.80%E -2.73%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 00:10
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -4.91%E -2.29%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.75%E -4.58%K -6.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-19 00:00
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.13%E -5.56%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-19 00:25
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.13%E -5.56%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -13.75%E -4.58%K -6.87%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-19 00:25
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -10.17%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 00:25
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 00:25
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 00:01
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 00:00
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 00:00
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 00:00
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.85%E -3.96%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-18 23:35
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -12.85%E -3.96%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-18 23:38
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.19%EV -10.24%E -5.07%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.85%E -3.96%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-19 00:01
Parions Sport (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.94%EV -12.91%E -6.59%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -12.85%E -3.96%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-19 00:05
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 45.31%EV -17.79%E -9.62%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.79%EV -12.85%E -3.96%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.90%EV -16.62%E -5.73%K -8.75%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-19 00:25
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.58%EV -12.46%E -6.33%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.27%EV -13.66%E -4.24%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.15%EV -10.30%E -3.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-19 00:20
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +4.42%E +1.88%K +3.28%G +0.145%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -14.20%E -4.44%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 23:04
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -11.13%E -5.56%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -16.88%E -5.44%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-18 23:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.84%0.5%2026-03-19 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.84%0.5%2026-03-19 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.84%0.5%2026-03-19 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.84%0.5%2026-03-19 00:25
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.53%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.93%1.7%2026-03-19 00:25
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-03-19 00:25