L’École des cotes

Santos v Internacional

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-19 00:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Santos (Local)

Prévision 44.44%2.25cote équitable
EV +4.42%
Avantage +1.88%
Kelly +3.28%
Croissance +0.145%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.51%44.24%44.53%47.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.852.102.102.3554.05%47.62%47.62%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Internacional (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.81%3.73cote équitable
EV +9.67%
Avantage +2.36%
Kelly +3.13%
Croissance +0.303%

avec la cote maximale 4.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.73%26.93%26.77%29.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.483.504.0932.26%28.77%28.57%24.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.75%3.48cote équitable
EV -2.82%
Avantage -0.835%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.59%28.82%28.70%30.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.193.203.3834.48%31.36%31.25%29.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.57%EV -9.35%E -4.58%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.73%EV +9.67%E +2.36%K +3.13%G +0.303%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.71%EV -2.82%E -0.835%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-19 00:25
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -11.13%E -5.56%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV +1.89%E +0.498%K +0.676%G +0.013%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 00:25
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 44.96%EV -4.46%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.92%EV +0.016%E +0.004%K +0.006%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.12%EV -4.55%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 00:20
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -0.788%E -0.213%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 00:25
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.13%E -0.583%K -0.803%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 00:25
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -4.46%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -2.93%E -0.810%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.46%EV -7.14%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 23:40
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -4.46%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -2.93%E -0.810%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.46%EV -7.14%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 23:40
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -0.021%E -0.009%K -0.016%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 00:01
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -0.021%E -0.009%K -0.016%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 00:00
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 00:15
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 00:25
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 00:00
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 00:21
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 00:15
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 00:19
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -4.46%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -12.31%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 00:25
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.56%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 00:25
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 00:23
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.82%EV -7.57%E -3.64%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -4.01%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 00:25
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.56%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 00:20
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 44.05%EV -4.02%E -1.86%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.11%EV -5.88%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 23:55
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -2.24%E -1.02%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 00:00
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -2.24%E -1.02%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 00:00
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -2.24%E -1.02%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 00:00
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -2.24%E -1.02%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 00:00
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -2.24%E -1.02%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 00:00
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 00:15
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 00:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 00:15
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -3.13%E -1.44%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -12.31%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 00:00
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.13%E -5.56%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-19 00:25
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -5.80%E -2.73%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 00:10
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -5.80%E -2.73%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -4.02%E -1.86%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.75%E -4.58%K -6.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 00:03
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -4.46%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -13.75%E -4.58%K -6.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 00:03
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 43.57%EV -8.46%E -4.11%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -15.19%E -5.15%K -7.79%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-19 00:25
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 43.57%EV -8.46%E -4.11%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -15.19%E -5.15%K -7.79%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-19 00:25
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.46%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 23:35
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.46%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 23:35
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 00:25
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -5.80%E -2.73%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 00:10
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -4.91%E -2.29%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.75%E -4.58%K -6.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-19 00:00
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.13%E -5.56%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-19 00:25
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.13%E -5.56%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -13.75%E -4.58%K -6.87%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-19 00:25
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -10.17%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 00:25
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 00:25
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 00:01
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 00:00
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 00:00
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 00:00
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.85%E -3.96%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-18 23:35
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -12.85%E -3.96%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-18 23:38
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.19%EV -10.24%E -5.07%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.85%E -3.96%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-19 00:01
Parions Sport (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.94%EV -12.91%E -6.59%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -12.85%E -3.96%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-19 00:05
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 45.31%EV -17.79%E -9.62%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.79%EV -12.85%E -3.96%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.90%EV -16.62%E -5.73%K -8.75%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-19 00:25
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.58%EV -12.46%E -6.33%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.27%EV -13.66%E -4.24%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.15%EV -10.30%E -3.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-19 00:20
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +4.42%E +1.88%K +3.28%G +0.145%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -14.20%E -4.44%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 23:04
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -11.13%E -5.56%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -16.88%E -5.44%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-18 23:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.84%0.5%2026-03-19 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.84%0.5%2026-03-19 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.84%0.5%2026-03-19 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.84%0.5%2026-03-19 00:25
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.53%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.93%1.7%2026-03-19 00:25
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-03-19 00:25