A Escola das Odds

Santos v Atletico Mineiro

Início: 2026-04-11 23:02 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Santos (Local)

Previsão 42.65%2.34odd justa
EV -1.90%
Vantagem -0.827%
Kelly -1.46%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.59%42.65%42.71%43.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.182.202.3048.78%45.82%45.45%43.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atletico Mineiro (Visitante)

Previsão 27.88%3.59odd justa
EV +0.655%
Vantagem +0.181%
Kelly +0.251%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.74%27.91%27.93%29.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.333.333.6133.33%30.03%30.03%27.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.47%3.39odd justa
EV -2.76%
Vantagem -0.836%
Kelly -1.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.20%29.44%29.36%31.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.143.153.3036.36%31.88%31.75%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.71%EV -5.31%E -2.39%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.88%EV +0.655%E +0.181%K +0.251%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.41%EV -2.76%E -0.836%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 22:59
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.65%EV -3.18%E -1.40%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.19%EV -0.739%E -0.208%K -0.289%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.16%EV -5.41%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 22:59
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.41%E -0.689%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 23:00
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.41%E -0.689%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 22:59
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.33%EV -2.76%E -1.21%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -3.81%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-11 23:00
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.33%EV -2.76%E -1.21%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -3.81%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-11 23:00
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.52%EV -1.90%E -0.827%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68%EV -3.81%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 22:59
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.45%EV -4.46%E -1.99%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -3.81%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.99%EV -6.59%E -2.08%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 23:00
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.45%EV -4.46%E -1.99%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -3.81%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.99%EV -6.59%E -2.08%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 22:59
BetAnything2.24I 44.64%NM 42.45%EV -4.46%E -1.99%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -3.81%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.99%EV -6.59%E -2.08%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 22:59
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -3.81%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 22:59
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.13%EV -7.87%E -3.65%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -3.81%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -8.06%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 22:59
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -9.58%E -4.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -3.81%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.71%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 22:59
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -9.58%E -4.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -3.81%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.71%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 23:00
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.20%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 23:00
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.20%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 23:00
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.20%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 22:59
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.20%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 23:00
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.20%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 23:00
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -9.58%E -4.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.20%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 22:59
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.59%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 23:00
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.59%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 23:00
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.59%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 23:00
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.59%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 23:00
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.59%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 23:00
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.59%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 23:00
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.59%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 22:51
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.59%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -5.71%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 23:00
GTbets2.21I 45.25%NM 42.71%EV -5.74%E -2.60%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.34%EV -7.15%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.95%EV -3.94%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 22:59
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 23:00
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.71%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 22:59
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.71%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.71%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.71%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 23:00
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.71%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -7.02%E -3.22%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 23:00
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -7.45%E -3.43%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 23:00
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 23:00
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 22:59
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 22:59
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 22:59
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 22:59
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -9.38%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 22:59
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.38%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -10.13%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 23:00
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.38%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -10.13%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 23:00
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.38%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 22:59
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -9.38%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -14.55%E -5.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 23:00
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 22:59
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 22:59
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.71%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 22:58
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.43%E -4.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 23:00
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.42%EV -9.58%E -4.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -10.13%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 23:00
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.42%EV -9.58%E -4.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -10.13%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 23:00
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -10.43%E -4.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -12.17%E -3.86%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 22:59
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.54%EV -10.43%E -4.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.64%EV -13.01%E -4.17%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 22:57
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -12.57%E -6.13%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -16.35%E -5.45%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-11 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -10.43%E -4.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -16.35%E -5.45%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -18.97%E -6.90%K -10.84%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-11 22:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-04-11 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-04-11 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-04-11 23:00
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.75%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.04%2.4%2026-04-11 23:00
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 44.22%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.48%2.8%2026-04-11 23:00
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 41.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.10%2.9%2026-04-11 23:00