مدرسة الاحتمالات

Santos v Atletico Mineiro

البداية: 2026-04-11 23:02 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Santos (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.65%2.34السعر العادل
EV -1.90%
الأفضلية -0.827%
Kelly -1.46%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.59%42.65%42.71%43.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.182.202.3048.78%45.82%45.45%43.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Atletico Mineiro (الضيف)

التنبؤ 27.88%3.59السعر العادل
EV +0.655%
الأفضلية +0.181%
Kelly +0.251%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.61

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.74%27.91%27.93%29.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.333.333.6133.33%30.03%30.03%27.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.47%3.39السعر العادل
EV -2.76%
الأفضلية -0.836%
Kelly -1.20%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.20%29.44%29.36%31.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.143.153.3036.36%31.88%31.75%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.71%EV -5.31%E -2.39%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.88%EV +0.655%E +0.181%K +0.251%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.41%EV -2.76%E -0.836%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 22:59
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.65%EV -3.18%E -1.40%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.19%EV -0.739%E -0.208%K -0.289%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.16%EV -5.41%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 22:59
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.41%E -0.689%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 23:00
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.41%E -0.689%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 22:59
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.33%EV -2.76%E -1.21%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -3.81%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-11 23:00
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.33%EV -2.76%E -1.21%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -3.81%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-11 23:00
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.52%EV -1.90%E -0.827%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68%EV -3.81%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 22:59
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.45%EV -4.46%E -1.99%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -3.81%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.99%EV -6.59%E -2.08%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 23:00
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.45%EV -4.46%E -1.99%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -3.81%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.99%EV -6.59%E -2.08%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 22:59
BetAnything2.24I 44.64%NM 42.45%EV -4.46%E -1.99%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -3.81%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.99%EV -6.59%E -2.08%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 22:59
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -3.81%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 22:59
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.13%EV -7.87%E -3.65%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -3.81%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -8.06%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 22:59
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -9.58%E -4.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -3.81%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.71%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 22:59
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -9.58%E -4.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -3.81%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.71%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 23:00
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.20%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 23:00
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.20%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 23:00
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.20%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 22:59
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.20%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 23:00
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.20%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 23:00
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -9.58%E -4.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.20%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 22:59
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.59%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 23:00
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.59%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 23:00
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.59%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 23:00
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.59%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 23:00
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.59%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 23:00
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.59%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 23:00
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.59%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 22:51
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.59%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -5.71%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 23:00
GTbets2.21I 45.25%NM 42.71%EV -5.74%E -2.60%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.34%EV -7.15%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.95%EV -3.94%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 22:59
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 23:00
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.71%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 22:59
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.71%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.71%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.71%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 23:00
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.71%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -7.02%E -3.22%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 23:00
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -7.45%E -3.43%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 23:00
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 23:00
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 22:59
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 22:59
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 22:59
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 22:59
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -9.38%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 22:59
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.38%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -10.13%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 23:00
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.38%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -10.13%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 23:00
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.38%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 22:59
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -9.38%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -14.55%E -5.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 23:00
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 22:59
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 22:59
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.71%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 22:58
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.43%E -4.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 23:00
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.42%EV -9.58%E -4.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -10.13%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 23:00
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.42%EV -9.58%E -4.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -10.13%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 23:00
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -10.43%E -4.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -12.17%E -3.86%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 22:59
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.54%EV -10.43%E -4.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.64%EV -13.01%E -4.17%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 22:57
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -12.57%E -6.13%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -16.35%E -5.45%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-11 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -10.43%E -4.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -16.35%E -5.45%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -18.97%E -6.90%K -10.84%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-11 22:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-04-11 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-04-11 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-04-11 23:00
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.75%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.04%2.4%2026-04-11 23:00
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 44.22%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.48%2.8%2026-04-11 23:00
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 41.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.10%2.9%2026-04-11 23:00