L’École des cotes

Palmeiras v Fluminense

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-26 00:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Palmeiras (Local)

Prévision 56.24%1.78cote équitable
EV -2.70%
Avantage -1.56%
Kelly -3.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.93%56.31%56.24%57.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.641.651.7366.67%60.87%60.61%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Fluminense (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.84%5.31cote équitable
EV +1.92%
Avantage +0.355%
Kelly +0.436%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 5.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.53%18.75%18.84%19.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.405.015.005.4122.73%19.95%20.00%18.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.92%4.01cote équitable
EV -0.320%
Avantage -0.080%
Kelly -0.107%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.97%24.94%24.92%26.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.733.754.0030.30%26.81%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.06%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.83%EV +1.92%E +0.355%K +0.436%G +0.008%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.11%EV -4.31%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 00:20
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.59%EV -5.52%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.92%EV +1.73%E +0.321%K +0.394%G +0.007%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.49%EV -1.57%E -0.396%K -0.531%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-26 00:00
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.59%EV -5.52%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.92%EV +1.73%E +0.321%K +0.394%G +0.007%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.49%EV -1.57%E -0.396%K -0.531%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-26 00:00
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.36%EV -8.89%E -5.49%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.53%EV -0.152%E -0.029%K -0.035%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.80%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 00:23
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.08%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -1.09%E -0.208%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -4.06%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 23:10
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.08%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -1.09%E -0.208%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -4.06%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 23:10
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 57.68%EV -8.33%E -5.11%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -1.09%E -0.208%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -4.06%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 23:59
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.68%EV -8.33%E -5.11%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -1.09%E -0.208%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -4.06%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 00:00
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.68%EV -8.33%E -5.11%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -1.09%E -0.208%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -4.06%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 23:59
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 57.68%EV -8.33%E -5.11%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -1.09%E -0.208%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -4.06%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 23:59
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.68%EV -8.33%E -5.11%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -1.09%E -0.208%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -4.06%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 23:59
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 57.68%EV -8.33%E -5.11%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -1.09%E -0.208%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -4.06%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 23:59
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.61%EV -7.20%E -4.37%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -1.09%E -0.208%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 00:09
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -8.33%E -5.11%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -1.09%E -0.208%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 00:00
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 56.42%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.04%E -0.391%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -7.80%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 00:15
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.42%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.04%E -0.391%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -7.80%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 00:10
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 56.42%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.04%E -0.391%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -7.80%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 00:10
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -8.89%E -5.49%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -2.04%E -0.391%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.30%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 00:00
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.77%EV -8.89%E -5.49%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -2.04%E -0.391%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 00:15
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.77%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.96%EV -3.54%E -0.692%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%EV -0.320%E -0.080%K -0.107%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-26 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -10.02%E -6.26%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -3.92%E -0.769%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -5.30%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-25 23:58
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -10.02%E -6.26%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -3.92%E -0.769%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-25 23:59
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 57.73%EV -11.70%E -7.45%K -20.53%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -3.92%E -0.769%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -7.80%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-26 00:00
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.80%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -5.30%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 23:35
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.80%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -5.30%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 23:05
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.80%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -2.81%E -0.721%K -0.970%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 00:19
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.57%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -5.80%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -4.06%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 23:44
Codere (IT)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.80%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.30%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 23:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.80%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.30%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 00:20
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.80%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.30%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 23:55
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.80%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 00:04
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.80%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.80%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 00:20
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.80%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 00:09
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.35%EV -6.64%E -4.00%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.80%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 23:00
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.20%E -4.37%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.80%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-25 23:48
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -8.89%E -5.49%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -5.80%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.78%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-25 23:40
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 57.68%EV -12.26%E -7.86%K -21.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -5.80%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -7.80%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-26 00:00
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 57.68%EV -12.26%E -7.86%K -21.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -5.80%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -7.80%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-26 00:00
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 56.22%EV -5.52%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 18.93%EV -5.99%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -5.30%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 00:19
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.52%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -6.75%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.80%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 21:55
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.52%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -6.75%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.80%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 21:55
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.11%EV -2.70%E -1.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.46%EV -7.69%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 17:14
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.88%EV -7.20%E -4.37%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -9.57%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -7.80%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 00:10
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -7.20%E -4.37%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -9.57%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 00:20
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -7.20%E -4.37%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -9.57%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 00:25
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -7.20%E -4.37%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -9.57%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 00:20
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -7.20%E -4.37%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -9.57%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 00:19
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -10.51%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.80%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 00:10
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 54.93%EV -5.52%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -10.51%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 00:04
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -8.89%E -5.49%K -14.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.51%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-25 23:35
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 55.99%EV -9.45%E -5.87%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -10.51%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-26 00:24
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -8.89%E -5.49%K -14.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -10.51%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -15.27%E -4.49%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-26 00:25
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.68%EV -11.70%E -7.45%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.73%EV -10.51%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 24.58%EV -9.79%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-26 00:00
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 56.10%EV -10.58%E -6.65%K -17.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.98%EV -11.46%E -2.44%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.92%EV -10.79%E -3.01%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-26 00:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 56.03%EV -11.14%E -7.05%K -19.21%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.04%EV -12.40%E -2.67%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -11.53%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-26 00:04
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -8.89%E -5.49%K -14.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -13.34%E -2.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.30%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-25 23:55
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.16%EV -15.64%E -10.43%K -31.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.31%EV -13.34%E -2.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.53%EV -17.76%E -5.38%K -7.72%G +0.000%18.7%2026-02-26 00:25
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.62%EV -11.14%E -7.05%K -19.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -17.11%E -3.89%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-25 23:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.28%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23%0.3%2026-02-26 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.28%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23%0.3%2026-02-26 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.28%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23%0.3%2026-02-26 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.28%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23%0.3%2026-02-26 00:20
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.20%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23%1.6%2026-02-26 00:25