مدرسة الاحتمالات

Palmeiras v Fluminense

البداية: 2026-02-26 00:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Palmeiras (المضيف)

التنبؤ 56.24%1.78السعر العادل
EV -2.70%
الأفضلية -1.56%
Kelly -3.70%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.73

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.93%56.31%56.24%57.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.641.651.7366.67%60.87%60.61%57.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Fluminense (الضيف)

التنبؤ 18.84%5.31السعر العادل
EV +1.92%
الأفضلية +0.355%
Kelly +0.436%
النمو +0.008%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.41

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.53%18.75%18.84%19.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.405.015.005.4122.73%19.95%20.00%18.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.92%4.01السعر العادل
EV -0.320%
الأفضلية -0.080%
Kelly -0.107%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.97%24.94%24.92%26.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.733.754.0030.30%26.81%26.67%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.06%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.83%EV +1.92%E +0.355%K +0.436%G +0.008%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.11%EV -4.31%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 00:20
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.59%EV -5.52%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.92%EV +1.73%E +0.321%K +0.394%G +0.007%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.49%EV -1.57%E -0.396%K -0.531%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-26 00:00
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.59%EV -5.52%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.92%EV +1.73%E +0.321%K +0.394%G +0.007%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.49%EV -1.57%E -0.396%K -0.531%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-26 00:00
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.36%EV -8.89%E -5.49%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.53%EV -0.152%E -0.029%K -0.035%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.80%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 00:23
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.08%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -1.09%E -0.208%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -4.06%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 23:10
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.08%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -1.09%E -0.208%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -4.06%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 23:10
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 57.68%EV -8.33%E -5.11%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -1.09%E -0.208%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -4.06%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 23:59
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.68%EV -8.33%E -5.11%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -1.09%E -0.208%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -4.06%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 00:00
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.68%EV -8.33%E -5.11%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -1.09%E -0.208%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -4.06%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 23:59
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 57.68%EV -8.33%E -5.11%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -1.09%E -0.208%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -4.06%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 23:59
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.68%EV -8.33%E -5.11%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -1.09%E -0.208%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -4.06%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 23:59
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 57.68%EV -8.33%E -5.11%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -1.09%E -0.208%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -4.06%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 23:59
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.61%EV -7.20%E -4.37%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -1.09%E -0.208%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 00:09
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -8.33%E -5.11%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -1.09%E -0.208%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 00:00
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 56.42%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.04%E -0.391%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -7.80%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 00:15
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.42%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.04%E -0.391%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -7.80%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 00:10
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 56.42%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.04%E -0.391%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -7.80%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 00:10
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -8.89%E -5.49%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -2.04%E -0.391%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.30%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 00:00
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.77%EV -8.89%E -5.49%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -2.04%E -0.391%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 00:15
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.77%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.96%EV -3.54%E -0.692%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%EV -0.320%E -0.080%K -0.107%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-26 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -10.02%E -6.26%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -3.92%E -0.769%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -5.30%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-25 23:58
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -10.02%E -6.26%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -3.92%E -0.769%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-25 23:59
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 57.73%EV -11.70%E -7.45%K -20.53%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -3.92%E -0.769%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -7.80%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-26 00:00
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.80%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -5.30%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 23:35
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.80%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -5.30%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 23:05
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.80%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -2.81%E -0.721%K -0.970%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 00:19
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.57%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -5.80%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -4.06%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 23:44
Codere (IT)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.80%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.30%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 23:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.80%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.30%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 00:20
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.80%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.30%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 23:55
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.80%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 00:04
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.80%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.80%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 00:20
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.80%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 00:09
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.35%EV -6.64%E -4.00%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.80%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 23:00
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.20%E -4.37%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.80%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-25 23:48
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -8.89%E -5.49%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -5.80%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.78%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-25 23:40
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 57.68%EV -12.26%E -7.86%K -21.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -5.80%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -7.80%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-26 00:00
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 57.68%EV -12.26%E -7.86%K -21.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -5.80%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -7.80%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-26 00:00
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 56.22%EV -5.52%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 18.93%EV -5.99%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -5.30%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 00:19
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.52%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -6.75%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.80%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 21:55
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.52%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -6.75%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.80%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 21:55
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.11%EV -2.70%E -1.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.46%EV -7.69%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 17:14
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.88%EV -7.20%E -4.37%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -9.57%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -7.80%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 00:10
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -7.20%E -4.37%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -9.57%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 00:20
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -7.20%E -4.37%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -9.57%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 00:25
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -7.20%E -4.37%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -9.57%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 00:20
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -7.20%E -4.37%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -9.57%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 00:19
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -10.51%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.80%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 00:10
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 54.93%EV -5.52%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -10.51%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 00:04
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -8.89%E -5.49%K -14.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.51%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-25 23:35
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 55.99%EV -9.45%E -5.87%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -10.51%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-26 00:24
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -8.89%E -5.49%K -14.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -10.51%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -15.27%E -4.49%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-26 00:25
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.68%EV -11.70%E -7.45%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.73%EV -10.51%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 24.58%EV -9.79%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-26 00:00
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 56.10%EV -10.58%E -6.65%K -17.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.98%EV -11.46%E -2.44%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.92%EV -10.79%E -3.01%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-26 00:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 56.03%EV -11.14%E -7.05%K -19.21%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.04%EV -12.40%E -2.67%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -11.53%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-26 00:04
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -8.89%E -5.49%K -14.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -13.34%E -2.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.30%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-25 23:55
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.16%EV -15.64%E -10.43%K -31.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.31%EV -13.34%E -2.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.53%EV -17.76%E -5.38%K -7.72%G +0.000%18.7%2026-02-26 00:25
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.62%EV -11.14%E -7.05%K -19.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -17.11%E -3.89%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-25 23:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.28%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23%0.3%2026-02-26 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.28%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23%0.3%2026-02-26 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.28%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23%0.3%2026-02-26 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.28%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23%0.3%2026-02-26 00:20
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.20%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23%1.6%2026-02-26 00:25