La scuola delle quote

Palmeiras v Chapecoense

Inizio: 2026-05-31 19:00 UTC

Finale: Palmeiras 1–0 Chapecoense

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Palmeiras (Casa)

Previsione 67.15%1.49quota equa
EV -3.30%
Vantaggio -2.29%
Kelly -7.50%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.65%67.17%67.21%70.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.281.381.381.4478.13%72.69%72.46%69.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chapecoense (Trasferta)

Previsione 12.67%7.89quota equa
EV +14.03%
Vantaggio +1.56%
Kelly +1.75%
Crescita +0.246%

ipotizzando la quota massima 9.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.47%12.65%12.62%14.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.907.657.509.0016.95%13.07%13.33%11.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 20.18%4.96quota equa
EV +2.90%
Vantaggio +0.569%
Kelly +0.708%
Crescita +0.021%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.73%20.18%20.17%22.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.654.705.1026.67%21.52%21.28%19.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 70.23%EV -7.33%E -5.31%K -19.28%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.77%EV +14.03%E +1.56%K +1.75%G +0.246%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.00%EV +2.90%E +0.569%K +0.708%G +0.021%3.2%2026-05-31 18:39
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 70.23%EV -7.33%E -5.31%K -19.28%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.77%EV +14.03%E +1.56%K +1.75%G +0.246%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.00%EV +2.90%E +0.569%K +0.708%G +0.021%3.2%2026-05-31 18:40
Unibet (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -10.01%E -7.47%K -29.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.47%EV +14.03%E +1.56%K +1.75%G +0.246%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -1.13%E -0.231%K -0.291%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 18:40
Casumo1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -10.01%E -7.47%K -29.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.47%EV +14.03%E +1.56%K +1.75%G +0.246%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -1.13%E -0.231%K -0.291%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 18:39
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -10.01%E -7.47%K -29.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.47%EV +14.03%E +1.56%K +1.75%G +0.246%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -1.13%E -0.231%K -0.291%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 18:40
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -10.01%E -7.47%K -29.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.47%EV +14.03%E +1.56%K +1.75%G +0.246%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -1.13%E -0.231%K -0.291%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 18:39
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -10.01%E -7.47%K -29.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.47%EV +14.03%E +1.56%K +1.75%G +0.246%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -1.13%E -0.231%K -0.291%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 18:39
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -10.01%E -7.47%K -29.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.47%EV +14.03%E +1.56%K +1.75%G +0.246%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -1.13%E -0.231%K -0.291%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 18:40
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 70.03%EV -10.69%E -8.03%K -32.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV +7.69%E +0.905%K +1.03%G +0.079%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -1.13%E -0.231%K -0.291%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-31 18:40
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 69.92%EV -11.36%E -8.60%K -35.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +7.69%E +0.905%K +1.03%G +0.079%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -3.15%E -0.656%K -0.829%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.92%EV -11.36%E -8.60%K -35.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +7.69%E +0.905%K +1.03%G +0.079%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -3.15%E -0.656%K -0.829%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 18:39
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -12.70%E -9.77%K -42.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV +7.69%E +0.905%K +1.03%G +0.079%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -4.16%E -0.876%K -1.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-31 18:40
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -12.70%E -9.77%K -42.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV +7.69%E +0.905%K +1.03%G +0.079%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -4.16%E -0.876%K -1.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-31 18:40
Virgin Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 70.28%EV -14.04%E -10.97%K -50.16%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.58%EV +7.69%E +0.905%K +1.03%G +0.079%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -5.17%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-31 18:30
LiveScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 70.28%EV -14.04%E -10.97%K -50.16%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.58%EV +7.69%E +0.905%K +1.03%G +0.079%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -5.17%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-31 18:30
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.99%EV -5.99%E -4.28%K -14.96%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.75%EV +2.62%E +0.324%K +0.369%G +0.010%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV -5.17%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 18:49
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 68.39%EV -6.66%E -4.79%K -17.07%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.81%EV +1.99%E +0.247%K +0.282%G +0.006%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.80%EV -3.15%E -0.656%K -0.829%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 18:40
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 68.39%EV -6.66%E -4.79%K -17.07%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.81%EV +1.99%E +0.247%K +0.282%G +0.006%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.80%EV -3.15%E -0.656%K -0.829%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 18:40
BetAnything1.39I 71.94%NM 68.39%EV -6.66%E -4.79%K -17.07%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.81%EV +1.99%E +0.247%K +0.282%G +0.006%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.80%EV -3.15%E -0.656%K -0.829%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 18:40
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -8.00%E -5.84%K -21.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV +1.36%E +0.170%K +0.194%G +0.003%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -7.19%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 18:40
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.76%EV -8.00%E -5.84%K -21.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +1.36%E +0.170%K +0.194%G +0.003%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.20%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 18:40
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -8.67%E -6.38%K -24.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +1.36%E +0.170%K +0.194%G +0.003%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -7.19%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-31 18:50
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 68.84%EV -10.01%E -7.47%K -29.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV +1.36%E +0.170%K +0.194%G +0.003%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -5.17%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 18:50
Tipico (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.00%EV -10.69%E -8.03%K -32.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV +1.36%E +0.170%K +0.194%G +0.003%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -5.17%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-31 18:19
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 67.67%EV -3.97%E -2.78%K -9.23%G +0.000%7.95I 12.58%NM 12.17%EV +0.723%E +0.091%K +0.104%G +0.001%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16%EV -3.15%E -0.656%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-31 18:40
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.14%EV -9.34%E -6.92%K -26.69%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.87%EV -1.81%E -0.234%K -0.268%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -7.19%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-31 18:40
1xBet1.44I 69.44%NM 67.29%EV -3.30%E -2.29%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.56I 13.23%NM 12.82%EV -4.22%E -0.558%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.90%EV -1.74%E -0.357%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-31 18:50
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 67.20%EV -5.31%E -3.77%K -12.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -4.98%E -0.664%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV -5.17%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 18:40
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.99%E -4.28%K -14.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -4.98%E -0.664%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.16%E -0.876%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 18:40
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -5.99%E -4.28%K -14.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -4.98%E -0.664%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.19%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-31 18:38
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -7.33%E -5.31%K -19.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -4.98%E -0.664%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -4.16%E -0.876%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 18:39
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -5.99%E -4.28%K -14.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -4.98%E -0.664%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.20%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 18:39
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -8.67%E -6.38%K -24.09%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -4.98%E -0.664%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.20%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-31 18:40
GTbets1.36I 73.53%NM 68.57%EV -8.67%E -6.38%K -24.09%G +0.000%7.34I 13.62%NM 12.70%EV -7.01%E -0.954%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 18.73%EV +0.481%E +0.097%K +0.121%G +0.001%7.2%2026-05-31 18:40
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -6.66%E -4.79%K -17.07%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.78%EV -7.51%E -1.03%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.07%EV -6.18%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 18:50
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 67.04%EV -4.64%E -3.27%K -11.05%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.13%EV -8.15%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -3.15%E -0.656%K -0.829%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 18:38
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.41%EV -3.30%E -2.29%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.66%EV -11.31%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.92%EV -3.15%E -0.656%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 18:39
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 66.57%EV -3.97%E -2.78%K -9.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV -11.31%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -3.15%E -0.656%K -0.829%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 18:50
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -3.97%E -2.78%K -9.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -11.31%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -4.16%E -0.876%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.84%EV -3.30%E -2.29%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -11.31%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -7.19%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 18:40
Codere (IT)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -4.64%E -3.27%K -11.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -11.31%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -5.17%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 18:50
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -4.64%E -3.27%K -11.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -11.31%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.19%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 18:50
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.99%E -4.28%K -14.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -11.31%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.22%E -2.55%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 18:40
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.99%E -4.28%K -14.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -11.31%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.22%E -2.55%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 18:39
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.99%E -4.28%K -14.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -11.31%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.22%E -2.55%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 18:40
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.99%E -4.28%K -14.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -11.31%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.22%E -2.55%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 18:40
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -5.99%E -4.28%K -14.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -11.31%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -12.63%E -2.92%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-31 18:49
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 67.01%EV -10.69%E -8.03%K -32.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -11.31%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -11.22%E -2.55%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-31 18:50
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 66.37%EV -10.69%E -8.03%K -32.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -11.31%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -15.26%E -3.63%K -4.77%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-31 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 64.74%EV -10.69%E -8.03%K -32.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.30%EV -11.31%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.96%EV -24.34%E -6.49%K -8.85%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-31 18:50
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -3.97%E -2.78%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -12.58%E -1.82%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -10.21%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 18:50
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -3.97%E -2.78%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -12.58%E -1.82%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -10.21%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 18:50
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.64%E -3.27%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -14.48%E -2.15%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -9.20%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-31 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.64%E -3.27%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -14.48%E -2.15%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -9.20%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-31 18:39
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 65.07%EV -4.64%E -3.27%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.69%EV -14.48%E -2.15%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -12.23%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-31 18:50
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.35%EV -8.67%E -6.38%K -24.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.37%EV -14.48%E -2.15%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.28%EV -10.21%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-31 18:37
Unibet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.67%E -6.38%K -24.09%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.90%EV -18.91%E -2.96%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -13.24%E -3.08%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-31 18:50
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.59%EV -6.66%E -4.79%K -17.07%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -20.82%E -3.33%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -7.19%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-31 18:50
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.65%EV -8.67%E -6.38%K -24.09%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.90%EV -25.25%E -4.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.45%EV -13.24%E -3.08%K -4.01%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-31 18:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.98%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.55%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%0.7%2026-05-31 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.89%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.27%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.84%0.8%2026-05-31 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.89%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.27%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.84%0.8%2026-05-31 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.21%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.00%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.0%2026-05-31 18:50
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 68.52%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.73%1.3%2026-05-31 18:50
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 68.60%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.78%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.62%1.9%2026-05-31 18:40