Language:English
Palmeiras v Bahia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Palmeiras (Local)
Prediction 60.63%1.65fair odd
EV -4.20%
Edge -2.66%
Kelly -7.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.91%60.65%60.61%62.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.531.541.5869.44%65.31%64.94%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bahia (Visit)
Prediction 17.34%5.77fair odd
EV +0.554%
Edge +0.096%
Kelly +0.116%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 5.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.27%17.37%17.29%18.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.335.405.8021.05%18.75%18.52%17.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.03%4.54fair odd
EV -0.856%
Edge -0.190%
Kelly -0.245%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.08%21.98%22.10%23.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.194.204.5026.32%23.84%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Palmeiras (Local): 60.63%; Bahia (Visit): 17.34%; Draw: 22.03%. For Bahia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.77. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.554%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.90%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.44%EV +0.554%E +0.096%K +0.116%G +0.001% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -3.06%E -0.695%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-25 01:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.65%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.83%EV -0.312%E -0.054%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51%EV -0.856%E -0.190%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-05 09:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.65%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.83%EV -0.312%E -0.054%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51%EV -0.856%E -0.190%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-05 09:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -6.02%E -3.89%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV -0.312%E -0.054%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -5.26%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 16:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.66%EV -10.27%E -6.94%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.27%EV -1.18%E -0.207%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -3.06%E -0.695%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-25 01:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.75%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.62I 17.79%NM 17.08%EV -2.57%E -0.457%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.17%EV -4.60%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-27 15:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.57%EV -5.42%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 16.93%EV -3.26%E -0.584%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.18%EV -5.42%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.57I 17.95%NM 17.13%EV -3.43%E -0.616%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -3.06%E -0.695%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 02:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.18%EV -5.42%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.57I 17.95%NM 17.13%EV -3.43%E -0.616%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -3.06%E -0.695%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 02:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.59%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.65%E -0.845%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -5.26%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-25 01:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.73%EV -6.02%E -3.89%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.65%E -0.845%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV -6.36%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 06:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -4.65%E -0.845%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-02 00:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -7.84%E -5.16%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -4.65%E -0.845%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -6.36%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-04 00:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.04%EV -7.84%E -5.16%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -4.65%E -0.845%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-02 00:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -4.65%E -0.845%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-22 09:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -4.65%E -0.845%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-22 09:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -9.05%E -6.04%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -4.65%E -0.845%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -4.60%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-04 10:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -4.65%E -0.845%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.87%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-29 00:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -9.05%E -6.04%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.65%E -0.845%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-04 00:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -6.02%E -3.89%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.65%E -0.845%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -15.18%E -3.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 09:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.15%EV -10.87%E -7.40%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -4.65%E -0.845%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -5.26%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-05 00:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.82%EV -5.42%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.48I 18.25%NM 17.31%EV -4.99%E -0.911%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 21.86%EV -4.38%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 09:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.79%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.07%EV -5.51%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-27 15:02 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -6.02%E -3.89%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -6.38%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 06:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.70%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -6.38%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.36%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 09:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.70%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -6.38%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.36%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 09:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.70%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -6.38%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.36%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 09:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.70%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -6.38%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.36%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 09:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.70%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -6.38%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.36%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 09:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.70%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -6.38%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.36%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 09:23 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -6.38%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 14:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.69%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.20%EV -6.38%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 06:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.89%EV -6.02%E -3.89%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -6.38%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -10.77%E -2.66%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-23 14:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.96%EV -6.02%E -3.89%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.37%EV -7.25%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-23 14:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -8.98%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -4.60%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-25 01:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -8.98%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -4.60%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-25 01:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -8.98%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-25 01:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -8.98%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -4.60%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-05 11:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.54%EV -9.66%E -6.48%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -8.98%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.27%EV -10.77%E -2.66%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-05 06:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -5.42%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -9.85%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.26%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 11:08 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -5.42%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -9.85%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.26%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -9.85%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-25 01:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -9.85%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-25 01:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -9.66%E -6.48%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -9.85%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-23 01:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.08%EV -8.45%E -5.59%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.79%EV -11.58%E -2.27%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-05 09:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.24%EV -9.05%E -6.04%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.72%EV -11.58%E -2.27%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-05 09:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.24%EV -9.05%E -6.04%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.72%EV -11.58%E -2.27%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-05 09:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.24%EV -9.05%E -6.04%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.72%EV -11.58%E -2.27%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-05 09:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.24%EV -9.05%E -6.04%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.72%EV -11.58%E -2.27%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-05 09:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.89%EV -12.69%E -8.81%K -28.84%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.19%EV -11.58%E -2.27%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92%EV -11.87%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-05 06:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -13.32%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 11:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -6.02%E -3.89%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -13.32%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.87%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-25 01:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.32%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.87%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-25 01:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.32%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.87%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-25 01:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.32%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.87%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-25 01:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -9.05%E -6.04%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.32%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-21 07:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.97%EV -9.66%E -6.48%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.24%EV -15.05%E -3.07%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-05 06:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.58%EV -10.27%E -6.94%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.37%EV -16.78%E -3.50%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -11.87%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-05 06:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.45%EV -12.69%E -8.81%K -28.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.02%EV -17.65%E -3.72%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.53%EV -16.28%E -4.28%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-09-25 01:38 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.69% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.57% | 1.9% | 2026-10-05 13:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.68% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.67% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65% | 13.2% | 2026-10-05 06:25 |