Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mirassol v Coritiba

Kickoff: 2026-03-18 23:02 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mirassol (Local)

Prediction 56.90%1.76fair odd
EV -4.41%
Edge -2.62%
Kelly -6.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.01%56.82%57.00%59.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.631.631.6867.57%61.46%61.35%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Coritiba (Visit)

Prediction 17.14%5.84fair odd
EV +9.84%
Edge +1.53%
Kelly +1.82%
Growth +0.179%

assuming max odds 6.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.89%17.20%17.08%18.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.315.206.4120.83%18.83%19.23%15.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.97%3.85fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -0.701%
Kelly -0.956%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.60%25.98%25.92%27.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.563.603.7531.25%28.10%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mirassol (Local): 56.90%; Coritiba (Visit): 17.14%; Draw: 25.97%. For Coritiba (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.84. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.41, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.84%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.52%EV -5.55%E -3.34%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.41I 15.60%NM 15.15%EV +9.84%E +1.53%K +1.82%G +0.179%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.33%EV -4.19%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-18 22:59
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.27%EV -10.67%E -6.80%K -18.72%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV +7.09%E +1.14%K +1.35%G +0.096%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 22:59
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.51%EV -4.41%E -2.62%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.06I 16.50%NM 15.94%EV +3.84%E +0.633%K +0.759%G +0.029%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.54%EV -5.48%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-18 22:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV +2.81%E +0.468%K +0.562%G +0.016%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 23:01
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV +2.81%E +0.468%K +0.562%G +0.016%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 23:00
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV +2.81%E +0.468%K +0.562%G +0.016%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 22:59
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV +2.81%E +0.468%K +0.562%G +0.016%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -10.42%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 22:59
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.50%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -1.47%E -0.256%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -5.22%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 22:58
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.30%EV -8.39%E -5.21%K -13.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -1.47%E -0.256%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -3.93%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 22:59
Bovada🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.38%EV -7.25%E -4.45%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -1.47%E -0.256%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 22:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -7.82%E -4.83%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -1.47%E -0.256%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.20%EV -7.56%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 22:59
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.21%EV -7.82%E -4.83%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.71I 17.51%NM 16.51%EV -2.16%E -0.378%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.28%EV -3.15%E -0.844%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-18 22:59
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.58%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -5.76%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-18 23:00
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -5.55%E -3.34%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -5.76%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -5.76%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 23:00
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.76%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -11.72%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 23:00
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -7.82%E -4.83%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -5.76%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-18 23:00
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -8.39%E -5.21%K -13.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -5.76%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-18 23:00
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -7.82%E -4.83%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -5.76%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.72%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-18 23:00
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.31%EV -8.96%E -5.60%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -5.76%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -14.31%E -4.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-18 23:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.31%EV -8.96%E -5.60%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -5.76%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -14.31%E -4.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-18 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.31%EV -8.96%E -5.60%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -5.76%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -14.31%E -4.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-18 23:01
Codere (IT)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV -7.47%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -3.93%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 23:01
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.20%EV -7.82%E -4.83%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.02%EV -8.33%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -11.72%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-18 23:00
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.91%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -9.18%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -3.93%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -10.04%E -1.91%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -2.63%E -0.701%K -0.956%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 23:00
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.76%EV -6.69%E -4.08%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -10.04%E -1.91%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.22%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 22:59
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -10.04%E -1.91%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-18 23:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -10.04%E -1.91%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-18 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -6.69%E -4.08%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.90%E -2.10%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -3.93%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 22:59
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -6.69%E -4.08%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.90%E -2.10%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -3.93%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 22:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.07%EV -8.96%E -5.60%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.56%EV -10.90%E -2.10%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 23:01
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.13%EV -10.67%E -6.80%K -18.72%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.25%EV -10.90%E -2.10%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-18 23:01
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV -12.61%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.63%E -0.701%K -0.956%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 22:51
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.97%EV -5.55%E -3.34%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -12.61%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.95%EV -7.82%E -4.83%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -12.61%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -10.42%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-18 23:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.81%EV -10.67%E -6.80%K -18.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.49%EV -12.61%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.70%EV -9.90%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-18 22:55
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.36%EV -12.94%E -8.46%K -24.42%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.21%EV -12.61%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -10.42%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-18 22:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 56.97%EV -12.38%E -8.04%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 17.37%EV -13.47%E -2.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.65%EV -11.20%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-18 22:59
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.97%EV -5.55%E -3.34%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -14.32%E -2.86%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.22%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.97%EV -5.55%E -3.34%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -14.32%E -2.86%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.22%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 23:00
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.97%EV -5.55%E -3.34%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -14.32%E -2.86%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.22%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.97%EV -5.55%E -3.34%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -14.32%E -2.86%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.22%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 23:00
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -14.32%E -2.86%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-18 23:01
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -7.82%E -4.83%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -14.32%E -2.86%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -2.63%E -0.701%K -0.956%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-18 23:00
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -7.82%E -4.83%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -14.32%E -2.86%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -8.96%E -5.60%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -14.32%E -2.86%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -3.93%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.81%EV -7.25%E -4.45%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -14.32%E -2.86%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-18 22:59
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -7.82%E -4.83%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -14.32%E -2.86%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-18 23:00
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.01%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -16.04%E -3.27%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 23:01
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.01%EV -7.25%E -4.45%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -16.04%E -3.27%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 23:00
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.01%EV -7.25%E -4.45%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -16.04%E -3.27%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.01%EV -7.25%E -4.45%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -16.04%E -3.27%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -16.04%E -3.27%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -10.42%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-18 23:01
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.65%EV -7.82%E -4.83%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.59%EV -16.89%E -3.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-18 23:00
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.75%EV -7.82%E -4.83%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.81%EV -17.75%E -3.70%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-18 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.90%EV -8.39%E -5.21%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.75%E -3.70%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-18 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.22%EV -8.96%E -5.60%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -17.75%E -3.70%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -13.01%E -3.88%K -5.54%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-18 23:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 56.47%EV -15.79%E -10.67%K -32.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.41%EV -17.75%E -3.70%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.12%EV -16.91%E -5.28%K -7.69%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-18 22:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.80%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-18 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.72%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78%0.8%2026-03-18 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.28%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-03-18 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.28%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-03-18 23:00
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.50%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.1%2026-03-18 23:00
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.57%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.49%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.94%2.8%2026-03-18 23:00