La escuela de los momios

Mirassol v Coritiba

Inicio: 2026-03-18 23:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Mirassol (Local)

Predicción 56.90%1.76momio equitativo
EV -4.41%
Ventaja -2.62%
Kelly -6.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.01%56.82%57.00%59.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.631.631.6867.57%61.46%61.35%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Coritiba (Visitante)

Predicción 17.14%5.84momio equitativo
EV +9.84%
Ventaja +1.53%
Kelly +1.82%
Crecimiento +0.179%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.89%17.20%17.08%18.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.805.315.206.4120.83%18.83%19.23%15.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.97%3.85momio equitativo
EV -2.63%
Ventaja -0.701%
Kelly -0.956%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.60%25.98%25.92%27.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.563.603.7531.25%28.10%27.78%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 58.52%EV -5.55%E -3.34%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.41I 15.60%NM 15.15%EV +9.84%E +1.53%K +1.82%G +0.179%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.33%EV -4.19%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-18 22:59
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 59.27%EV -10.67%E -6.80%K -18.72%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV +7.09%E +1.14%K +1.35%G +0.096%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 22:59
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.51%EV -4.41%E -2.62%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.06I 16.50%NM 15.94%EV +3.84%E +0.633%K +0.759%G +0.029%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.54%EV -5.48%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-18 22:59
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV +2.81%E +0.468%K +0.562%G +0.016%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 23:01
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV +2.81%E +0.468%K +0.562%G +0.016%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 23:00
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV +2.81%E +0.468%K +0.562%G +0.016%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 22:59
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV +2.81%E +0.468%K +0.562%G +0.016%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -10.42%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 22:59
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.50%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -1.47%E -0.256%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -5.22%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 22:58
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.30%EV -8.39%E -5.21%K -13.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -1.47%E -0.256%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -3.93%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 22:59
Bovada1.63I 61.35%NM 57.38%EV -7.25%E -4.45%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -1.47%E -0.256%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 22:59
Marathon Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -7.82%E -4.83%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -1.47%E -0.256%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.20%EV -7.56%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 22:59
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 58.21%EV -7.82%E -4.83%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.71I 17.51%NM 16.51%EV -2.16%E -0.378%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.28%EV -3.15%E -0.844%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-18 22:59
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.58%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -5.76%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-18 23:00
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -5.55%E -3.34%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -5.76%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 22:59
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -5.76%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 23:00
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.76%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -11.72%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 23:00
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -7.82%E -4.83%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -5.76%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-18 23:00
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -8.39%E -5.21%K -13.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -5.76%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-18 23:00
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -7.82%E -4.83%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -5.76%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.72%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-18 23:00
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 56.31%EV -8.96%E -5.60%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -5.76%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -14.31%E -4.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-18 23:00
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.31%EV -8.96%E -5.60%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -5.76%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -14.31%E -4.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-18 23:00
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.31%EV -8.96%E -5.60%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -5.76%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -14.31%E -4.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-18 23:01
Codere (IT)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV -7.47%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -3.93%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 23:01
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.20%EV -7.82%E -4.83%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.02%EV -8.33%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -11.72%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-18 23:00
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.91%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -9.18%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -3.93%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -10.04%E -1.91%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -2.63%E -0.701%K -0.956%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 23:00
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 56.76%EV -6.69%E -4.08%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -10.04%E -1.91%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.22%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 22:59
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -10.04%E -1.91%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-18 23:00
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -10.04%E -1.91%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-18 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -6.69%E -4.08%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.90%E -2.10%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -3.93%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 22:59
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -6.69%E -4.08%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.90%E -2.10%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -3.93%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 22:59
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.07%EV -8.96%E -5.60%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.56%EV -10.90%E -2.10%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 23:01
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 57.13%EV -10.67%E -6.80%K -18.72%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.25%EV -10.90%E -2.10%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-18 23:01
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV -12.61%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -2.63%E -0.701%K -0.956%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 22:51
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.97%EV -5.55%E -3.34%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -12.61%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 23:00
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.95%EV -7.82%E -4.83%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -12.61%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -10.42%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-18 23:00
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.81%EV -10.67%E -6.80%K -18.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.49%EV -12.61%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.70%EV -9.90%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-18 22:55
Parions Sport (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.36%EV -12.94%E -8.46%K -24.42%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.21%EV -12.61%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -10.42%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-18 22:59
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 56.97%EV -12.38%E -8.04%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 17.37%EV -13.47%E -2.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.65%EV -11.20%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-18 22:59
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 55.97%EV -5.55%E -3.34%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -14.32%E -2.86%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.22%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.97%EV -5.55%E -3.34%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -14.32%E -2.86%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.22%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 23:00
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 55.97%EV -5.55%E -3.34%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -14.32%E -2.86%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.22%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 23:00
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 55.97%EV -5.55%E -3.34%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -14.32%E -2.86%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.22%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 23:00
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -14.32%E -2.86%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-18 23:01
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -7.82%E -4.83%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -14.32%E -2.86%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -2.63%E -0.701%K -0.956%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-18 23:00
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -7.82%E -4.83%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -14.32%E -2.86%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 23:00
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -8.96%E -5.60%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -14.32%E -2.86%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -3.93%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 23:00
Betr (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.81%EV -7.25%E -4.45%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -14.32%E -2.86%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-18 22:59
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -7.82%E -4.83%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -14.32%E -2.86%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-18 23:00
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 55.01%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -16.04%E -3.27%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 23:01
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.01%EV -7.25%E -4.45%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -16.04%E -3.27%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 23:00
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 56.01%EV -7.25%E -4.45%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -16.04%E -3.27%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 23:00
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.01%EV -7.25%E -4.45%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -16.04%E -3.27%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -16.04%E -3.27%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -10.42%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-18 23:01
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 55.65%EV -7.82%E -4.83%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.59%EV -16.89%E -3.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-18 23:00
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 55.75%EV -7.82%E -4.83%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.81%EV -17.75%E -3.70%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-18 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.90%EV -8.39%E -5.21%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.75%E -3.70%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-18 23:00
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.22%EV -8.96%E -5.60%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -17.75%E -3.70%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -13.01%E -3.88%K -5.54%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-18 23:00
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 56.47%EV -15.79%E -10.67%K -32.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.41%EV -17.75%E -3.70%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.12%EV -16.91%E -5.28%K -7.69%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-18 22:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.80%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-18 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.72%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78%0.8%2026-03-18 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.28%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-03-18 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.28%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-03-18 23:00
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.50%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.1%2026-03-18 23:00
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.57%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.49%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.94%2.8%2026-03-18 23:00