A Escola das Odds

Mirassol v Bahia

Início: 2026-04-11 21:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Mirassol (Local)

Previsão 42.47%2.35odd justa
EV -1.47%
Vantagem -0.633%
Kelly -1.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.34%42.40%42.47%43.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.192.202.3248.78%45.74%45.45%43.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Bahia (Visitante)

Previsão 29.28%3.42odd justa
EV -1.04%
Vantagem -0.308%
Kelly -0.437%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.12%29.25%29.31%30.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.193.203.3834.72%31.38%31.25%29.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.25%3.54odd justa
EV -2.53%
Vantagem -0.734%
Kelly -1.03%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.37%28.35%28.23%30.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.283.303.4535.71%30.52%30.30%28.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.82%EV -1.47%E -0.633%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40%EV -3.38%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.79%EV -4.79%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 21:25
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.38%EV -2.32%E -1.01%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -1.92%E -0.573%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -11.01%E -3.49%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 19:49
GTbets2.29I 43.67%NM 41.90%EV -2.74%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.71%EV -5.43%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 21:05
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 42.46%EV -3.17%E -1.39%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.64%EV -1.04%E -0.308%K -0.437%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.90%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 21:20
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.03%EV -4.44%E -1.97%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.90%EV -1.92%E -0.573%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06%EV -2.53%E -0.734%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 20:44
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 43.03%EV -4.44%E -1.97%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.90%EV -1.92%E -0.573%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06%EV -2.53%E -0.734%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 20:45
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.30%EV -4.44%E -1.97%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 21:05
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.30%EV -4.44%E -1.97%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 21:05
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.44%E -1.97%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 21:04
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.44%E -1.97%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 21:19
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 42.44%EV -5.72%E -2.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 21:10
BetAnything2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -5.72%E -2.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 21:15
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -5.72%E -2.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.77%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 21:05
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -5.72%E -2.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.77%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 21:04
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 21:04
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 21:05
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.38%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 21:05
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 21:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 21:10
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 21:08
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 21:05
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 21:09
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.51%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.98%EV -8.65%E -2.77%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 21:13
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 21:20
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.38%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 21:03
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.77%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.77%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 21:05
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 20:54
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 20:55
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -7.77%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 21:04
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 20:55
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 21:25
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 05:00
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 21:05
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 21:05
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 21:04
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.41%E -3.40%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 20:50
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.41%E -3.40%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 20:50
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.41%E -3.40%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 20:45
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.41%E -3.40%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 20:50
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.41%E -3.40%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 20:44
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.41%E -3.40%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 20:50
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -7.84%E -3.61%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 20:44
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -8.26%E -3.83%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -3.97%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 20:44
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -9.11%E -4.26%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 20:50
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -9.96%E -4.70%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -7.77%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 20:44
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -9.96%E -4.70%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -7.77%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 20:44
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.81%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 21:10
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -10.81%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -10.70%E -3.51%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 21:10
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.81%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 20:44
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.81%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 20:45
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.81%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 21:05
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.81%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -15.25%E -5.08%K -7.62%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-11 21:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -10.81%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -15.68%E -5.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -20.90%E -7.46%K -11.61%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-11 16:34
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.81%EV -11.66%E -5.61%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -10.70%E -3.51%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.00%EV -10.16%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 21:06
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.94%E -6.31%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 21:09
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.82%EV -12.94%E -6.31%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -13.63%E -4.62%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 21:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%0.7%2026-04-11 21:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%0.7%2026-04-11 21:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%0.7%2026-04-11 21:20
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.86%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-04-11 21:25
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.68%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-04-11 21:05
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 42.74%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.14%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12%3.1%2026-04-11 21:10