مدرسة الاحتمالات

Mirassol v Bahia

البداية: 2026-04-11 21:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Mirassol (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.47%2.35السعر العادل
EV -1.47%
الأفضلية -0.633%
Kelly -1.11%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.32

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.34%42.40%42.47%43.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.192.202.3248.78%45.74%45.45%43.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Bahia (الضيف)

التنبؤ 29.28%3.42السعر العادل
EV -1.04%
الأفضلية -0.308%
Kelly -0.437%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.12%29.25%29.31%30.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.193.203.3834.72%31.38%31.25%29.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.25%3.54السعر العادل
EV -2.53%
الأفضلية -0.734%
Kelly -1.03%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.37%28.35%28.23%30.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.283.303.4535.71%30.52%30.30%28.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.82%EV -1.47%E -0.633%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40%EV -3.38%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.79%EV -4.79%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 21:25
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.38%EV -2.32%E -1.01%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -1.92%E -0.573%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -11.01%E -3.49%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 19:49
GTbets2.29I 43.67%NM 41.90%EV -2.74%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.71%EV -5.43%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 21:05
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 42.46%EV -3.17%E -1.39%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.64%EV -1.04%E -0.308%K -0.437%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.90%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 21:20
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.03%EV -4.44%E -1.97%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.90%EV -1.92%E -0.573%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06%EV -2.53%E -0.734%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 20:44
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 43.03%EV -4.44%E -1.97%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.90%EV -1.92%E -0.573%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06%EV -2.53%E -0.734%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 20:45
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.30%EV -4.44%E -1.97%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 21:05
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.30%EV -4.44%E -1.97%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 21:05
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.44%E -1.97%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 21:04
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.44%E -1.97%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 21:19
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 42.44%EV -5.72%E -2.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 21:10
BetAnything2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -5.72%E -2.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 21:15
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -5.72%E -2.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.77%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 21:05
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -5.72%E -2.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.77%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 21:04
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 21:04
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 21:05
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.38%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 21:05
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 21:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 21:10
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 21:08
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 21:05
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 21:09
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.51%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.98%EV -8.65%E -2.77%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 21:13
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 21:20
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.38%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 21:03
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.77%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.77%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 21:05
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 20:54
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 20:55
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -7.77%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 21:04
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 20:55
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 21:25
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 05:00
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 21:05
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 21:05
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 21:04
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.41%E -3.40%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 20:50
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.41%E -3.40%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 20:50
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.41%E -3.40%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 20:45
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.41%E -3.40%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 20:50
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.41%E -3.40%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 20:44
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.41%E -3.40%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 20:50
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -7.84%E -3.61%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 20:44
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -8.26%E -3.83%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -3.97%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 20:44
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -9.11%E -4.26%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 20:50
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -9.96%E -4.70%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -7.77%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 20:44
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -9.96%E -4.70%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -7.77%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 20:44
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.81%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 21:10
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -10.81%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -10.70%E -3.51%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 21:10
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.81%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 20:44
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.81%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 20:45
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.81%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 21:05
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.81%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -15.25%E -5.08%K -7.62%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-11 21:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -10.81%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -15.68%E -5.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -20.90%E -7.46%K -11.61%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-11 16:34
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.81%EV -11.66%E -5.61%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -10.70%E -3.51%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.00%EV -10.16%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 21:06
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.94%E -6.31%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 21:09
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.82%EV -12.94%E -6.31%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -13.63%E -4.62%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 21:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%0.7%2026-04-11 21:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%0.7%2026-04-11 21:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%0.7%2026-04-11 21:20
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.86%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-04-11 21:25
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.68%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-04-11 21:05
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 42.74%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.14%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12%3.1%2026-04-11 21:10