La scuola delle quote

Internacional v Mirassol

Inizio: 2026-04-19 14:00 UTC

Finale: Internacional 1–2 Mirassol

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Internacional (Casa)

Previsione 48.71%2.05quota equa
EV -3.55%
Vantaggio -1.79%
Kelly -3.62%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.98

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.65%48.81%48.61%51.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.881.901.9857.80%53.25%52.63%50.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Mirassol (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.65%4.23quota equa
EV +6.42%
Vantaggio +1.43%
Kelly +1.83%
Crescita +0.118%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.33%23.58%23.81%25.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.554.044.004.5028.17%24.78%25.00%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.64%3.62quota equa
EV +0.878%
Vantaggio +0.240%
Kelly +0.331%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.57%27.61%27.58%29.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.393.403.6534.72%29.53%29.41%27.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.87%EV -8.91%E -4.76%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%EV +6.42%E +1.43%K +1.83%G +0.118%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV +0.878%E +0.240%K +0.331%G +0.003%3.1%2026-04-19 13:50
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.87%EV -8.91%E -4.76%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%EV +6.42%E +1.43%K +1.83%G +0.118%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV +0.878%E +0.240%K +0.331%G +0.003%3.1%2026-04-19 13:50
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -11.83%E -6.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +4.05%E +0.921%K +1.19%G +0.048%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.27%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 13:55
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -11.83%E -6.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +4.05%E +0.921%K +1.19%G +0.048%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.27%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 13:55
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -11.83%E -6.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +4.05%E +0.921%K +1.19%G +0.048%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.27%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 13:55
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -11.83%E -6.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +4.05%E +0.921%K +1.19%G +0.048%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.27%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 13:55
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -11.83%E -6.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +4.05%E +0.921%K +1.19%G +0.048%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.27%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 13:55
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -11.83%E -6.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +4.05%E +0.921%K +1.19%G +0.048%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.27%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 13:55
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -12.32%E -6.84%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV +2.87%E +0.660%K +0.857%G +0.025%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.27%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -13.29%E -7.47%K -17.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV +1.69%E +0.393%K +0.512%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -4.65%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 13:50
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 51.96%EV -13.78%E -7.78%K -17.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV +1.69%E +0.393%K +0.512%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -4.65%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 13:50
Coolbet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.04%EV -5.50%E -2.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%EV +0.506%E +0.119%K +0.156%G +0.001%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.57%EV -7.97%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 13:25
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 51.77%EV -14.26%E -8.10%K -18.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV +0.506%E +0.119%K +0.156%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 13:55
PMU (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.77%EV -14.26%E -8.10%K -18.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV +0.506%E +0.119%K +0.156%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 13:55
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 49.46%EV -4.52%E -2.31%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.92%EV +0.033%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.62%EV -2.99%E -0.852%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-19 13:55
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -0.676%E -0.161%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-19 13:50
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.86%EV -15.73%E -9.09%K -21.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -0.676%E -0.161%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -7.41%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 13:55
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.86%EV -15.73%E -9.09%K -21.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -0.676%E -0.161%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -7.41%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 13:55
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 48.82%EV -3.55%E -1.79%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.24%EV -1.62%E -0.390%K -0.513%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.94%EV -4.37%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 13:50
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.80%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -3.04%E -0.742%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 13:55
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.80%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -3.04%E -0.742%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 13:55
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 48.80%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -3.04%E -0.742%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 13:50
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -3.04%E -0.742%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -3.27%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 13:25
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 48.65%EV -5.98%E -3.10%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.04%E -0.742%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 13:55
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -3.04%E -0.742%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 13:49
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -9.88%E -5.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -3.04%E -0.742%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 13:20
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -8.91%E -4.76%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 22.96%EV -3.75%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -4.65%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.27%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 13:25
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.27%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 13:20
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.27%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 13:19
BetUS1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -5.50%E -2.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 13:50
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 13:50
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.70%EV -5.50%E -2.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -6.59%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -4.65%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 13:50
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.37%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -6.59%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 13:40
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 13:49
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -5.98%E -3.10%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.76%EV -7.14%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -7.44%E -3.92%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -4.65%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 13:20
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -7.44%E -3.92%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -4.65%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 13:20
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 13:50
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 13:50
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -7.44%E -3.92%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 13:50
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.88%E -5.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 13:30
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.88%E -5.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 13:30
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.88%E -5.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 13:30
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.88%E -5.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 13:30
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -10.14%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 13:25
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -8.91%E -4.76%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.14%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 13:50
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -9.88%E -5.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -10.14%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -14.32%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-19 13:50
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 13:55
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.44%E -3.92%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 13:50
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 13:50
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.10%EV -11.34%E -6.23%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 13:40
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.69%EV -10.85%E -5.93%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.89%EV -11.79%E -3.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.42%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 13:49
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -3.55%E -1.79%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -12.50%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.41%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 13:40
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -3.55%E -1.79%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -12.50%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.41%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 13:40
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -8.42%E -4.48%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.50%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -10.85%E -5.93%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -14.87%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -20.40%E -7.08%K -10.85%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-19 13:50
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.25%EV -11.34%E -6.23%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -16.05%E -4.52%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-19 13:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.61%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%0.8%2026-04-19 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-04-19 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-04-19 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-04-19 13:55
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.48%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.14%1.5%2026-04-19 13:50
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.02%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-04-19 13:30