مدرسة الاحتمالات

Internacional v Mirassol

البداية: 2026-04-19 14:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Internacional 1–2 Mirassol

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Internacional (المضيف)

التنبؤ 48.71%2.05السعر العادل
EV -3.55%
الأفضلية -1.79%
Kelly -3.62%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.98

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.65%48.81%48.61%51.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.731.881.901.9857.80%53.25%52.63%50.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Mirassol (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.65%4.23السعر العادل
EV +6.42%
الأفضلية +1.43%
Kelly +1.83%
النمو +0.118%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.33%23.58%23.81%25.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.554.044.004.5028.17%24.78%25.00%22.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.64%3.62السعر العادل
EV +0.878%
الأفضلية +0.240%
Kelly +0.331%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.57%27.61%27.58%29.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.393.403.6534.72%29.53%29.41%27.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.87%EV -8.91%E -4.76%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%EV +6.42%E +1.43%K +1.83%G +0.118%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV +0.878%E +0.240%K +0.331%G +0.003%3.1%2026-04-19 13:50
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.87%EV -8.91%E -4.76%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%EV +6.42%E +1.43%K +1.83%G +0.118%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV +0.878%E +0.240%K +0.331%G +0.003%3.1%2026-04-19 13:50
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -11.83%E -6.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +4.05%E +0.921%K +1.19%G +0.048%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.27%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 13:55
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -11.83%E -6.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +4.05%E +0.921%K +1.19%G +0.048%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.27%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 13:55
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -11.83%E -6.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +4.05%E +0.921%K +1.19%G +0.048%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.27%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 13:55
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -11.83%E -6.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +4.05%E +0.921%K +1.19%G +0.048%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.27%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 13:55
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -11.83%E -6.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +4.05%E +0.921%K +1.19%G +0.048%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.27%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 13:55
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -11.83%E -6.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +4.05%E +0.921%K +1.19%G +0.048%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.27%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 13:55
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -12.32%E -6.84%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV +2.87%E +0.660%K +0.857%G +0.025%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.27%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -13.29%E -7.47%K -17.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV +1.69%E +0.393%K +0.512%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -4.65%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 13:50
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 51.96%EV -13.78%E -7.78%K -17.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV +1.69%E +0.393%K +0.512%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -4.65%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 13:50
Coolbet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.04%EV -5.50%E -2.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%EV +0.506%E +0.119%K +0.156%G +0.001%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.57%EV -7.97%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 13:25
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 51.77%EV -14.26%E -8.10%K -18.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV +0.506%E +0.119%K +0.156%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 13:55
PMU (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.77%EV -14.26%E -8.10%K -18.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV +0.506%E +0.119%K +0.156%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 13:55
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 49.46%EV -4.52%E -2.31%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.92%EV +0.033%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.62%EV -2.99%E -0.852%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-19 13:55
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -0.676%E -0.161%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-19 13:50
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.86%EV -15.73%E -9.09%K -21.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -0.676%E -0.161%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -7.41%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 13:55
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.86%EV -15.73%E -9.09%K -21.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -0.676%E -0.161%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -7.41%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 13:55
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 48.82%EV -3.55%E -1.79%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.24%EV -1.62%E -0.390%K -0.513%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.94%EV -4.37%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 13:50
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.80%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -3.04%E -0.742%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 13:55
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.80%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -3.04%E -0.742%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 13:55
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 48.80%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -3.04%E -0.742%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 13:50
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -3.04%E -0.742%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -3.27%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 13:25
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 48.65%EV -5.98%E -3.10%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.04%E -0.742%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 13:55
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -3.04%E -0.742%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 13:49
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -9.88%E -5.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -3.04%E -0.742%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 13:20
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -8.91%E -4.76%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 22.96%EV -3.75%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -4.65%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.27%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 13:25
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.27%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 13:20
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.27%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 13:19
BetUS1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -5.50%E -2.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 13:50
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 13:50
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.70%EV -5.50%E -2.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -6.59%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -4.65%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 13:50
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.37%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -6.59%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 13:40
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 13:49
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -5.98%E -3.10%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.76%EV -7.14%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -7.44%E -3.92%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -4.65%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 13:20
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -7.44%E -3.92%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -4.65%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 13:20
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 13:50
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 13:50
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -7.44%E -3.92%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 13:50
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.88%E -5.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 13:30
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.88%E -5.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 13:30
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.88%E -5.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 13:30
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.88%E -5.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 13:30
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -10.14%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 13:25
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -8.91%E -4.76%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.14%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 13:50
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -9.88%E -5.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -10.14%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -14.32%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-19 13:50
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 13:55
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.44%E -3.92%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 13:50
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 13:50
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.10%EV -11.34%E -6.23%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 13:40
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.69%EV -10.85%E -5.93%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.89%EV -11.79%E -3.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.42%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 13:49
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -3.55%E -1.79%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -12.50%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.41%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 13:40
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -3.55%E -1.79%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -12.50%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.41%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 13:40
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -8.42%E -4.48%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.50%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -10.85%E -5.93%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -14.87%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -20.40%E -7.08%K -10.85%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-19 13:50
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.25%EV -11.34%E -6.23%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -16.05%E -4.52%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-19 13:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.61%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%0.8%2026-04-19 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-04-19 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-04-19 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-04-19 13:55
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.48%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.14%1.5%2026-04-19 13:50
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.02%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-04-19 13:30