La escuela de los momios

Internacional v Mirassol

Inicio: 2026-04-19 14:00 UTC

Final: Internacional 1–2 Mirassol

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Internacional (Local)

Predicción 48.71%2.05momio equitativo
EV -3.55%
Ventaja -1.79%
Kelly -3.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.65%48.81%48.61%51.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.881.901.9857.80%53.25%52.63%50.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Mirassol (Visitante)

Predicción 23.65%4.23momio equitativo
EV +6.42%
Ventaja +1.43%
Kelly +1.83%
Crecimiento +0.118%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.33%23.58%23.81%25.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.554.044.004.5028.17%24.78%25.00%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.64%3.62momio equitativo
EV +0.878%
Ventaja +0.240%
Kelly +0.331%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.57%27.61%27.58%29.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.393.403.6534.72%29.53%29.41%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.87%EV -8.91%E -4.76%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%EV +6.42%E +1.43%K +1.83%G +0.118%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV +0.878%E +0.240%K +0.331%G +0.003%3.1%2026-04-19 13:50
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.87%EV -8.91%E -4.76%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%EV +6.42%E +1.43%K +1.83%G +0.118%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV +0.878%E +0.240%K +0.331%G +0.003%3.1%2026-04-19 13:50
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -11.83%E -6.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +4.05%E +0.921%K +1.19%G +0.048%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.27%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 13:55
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -11.83%E -6.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +4.05%E +0.921%K +1.19%G +0.048%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.27%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 13:55
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -11.83%E -6.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +4.05%E +0.921%K +1.19%G +0.048%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.27%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 13:55
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -11.83%E -6.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +4.05%E +0.921%K +1.19%G +0.048%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.27%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 13:55
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -11.83%E -6.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +4.05%E +0.921%K +1.19%G +0.048%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.27%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 13:55
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -11.83%E -6.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +4.05%E +0.921%K +1.19%G +0.048%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.27%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 13:55
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -12.32%E -6.84%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV +2.87%E +0.660%K +0.857%G +0.025%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.27%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -13.29%E -7.47%K -17.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV +1.69%E +0.393%K +0.512%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -4.65%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 13:50
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 51.96%EV -13.78%E -7.78%K -17.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV +1.69%E +0.393%K +0.512%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -4.65%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 13:50
Coolbet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.04%EV -5.50%E -2.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%EV +0.506%E +0.119%K +0.156%G +0.001%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.57%EV -7.97%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 13:25
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 51.77%EV -14.26%E -8.10%K -18.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV +0.506%E +0.119%K +0.156%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 13:55
PMU (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.77%EV -14.26%E -8.10%K -18.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV +0.506%E +0.119%K +0.156%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 13:55
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 49.46%EV -4.52%E -2.31%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.92%EV +0.033%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.62%EV -2.99%E -0.852%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-19 13:55
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -0.676%E -0.161%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-19 13:50
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.86%EV -15.73%E -9.09%K -21.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -0.676%E -0.161%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -7.41%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 13:55
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.86%EV -15.73%E -9.09%K -21.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -0.676%E -0.161%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -7.41%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 13:55
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 48.82%EV -3.55%E -1.79%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.24%EV -1.62%E -0.390%K -0.513%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.94%EV -4.37%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 13:50
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.80%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -3.04%E -0.742%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 13:55
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.80%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -3.04%E -0.742%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 13:55
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 48.80%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -3.04%E -0.742%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 13:50
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -3.04%E -0.742%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -3.27%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 13:25
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 48.65%EV -5.98%E -3.10%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.04%E -0.742%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 13:55
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -3.04%E -0.742%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 13:49
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -9.88%E -5.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -3.04%E -0.742%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 13:20
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -8.91%E -4.76%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 22.96%EV -3.75%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -4.65%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.27%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 13:25
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.27%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 13:20
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.27%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 13:19
BetUS1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -5.50%E -2.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 13:50
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 13:50
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.70%EV -5.50%E -2.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -6.59%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -4.65%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 13:50
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.37%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -6.59%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 13:40
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 13:49
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -5.98%E -3.10%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.76%EV -7.14%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -7.44%E -3.92%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -4.65%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 13:20
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -7.44%E -3.92%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -4.65%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 13:20
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 13:50
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 13:50
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -7.44%E -3.92%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 13:50
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.88%E -5.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 13:30
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.88%E -5.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 13:30
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.88%E -5.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 13:30
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.88%E -5.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 13:30
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -10.14%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 13:25
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -8.91%E -4.76%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.14%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 13:50
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -9.88%E -5.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -10.14%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -14.32%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-19 13:50
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 13:55
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.44%E -3.92%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 13:50
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 13:50
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.10%EV -11.34%E -6.23%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 13:40
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.69%EV -10.85%E -5.93%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.89%EV -11.79%E -3.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.42%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 13:49
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -3.55%E -1.79%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -12.50%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.41%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 13:40
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -3.55%E -1.79%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -12.50%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.41%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 13:40
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -8.42%E -4.48%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.50%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -10.85%E -5.93%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -14.87%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -20.40%E -7.08%K -10.85%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-19 13:50
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.25%EV -11.34%E -6.23%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -16.05%E -4.52%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-19 13:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.61%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%0.8%2026-04-19 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-04-19 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-04-19 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-04-19 13:55
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.48%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.14%1.5%2026-04-19 13:50
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.02%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-04-19 13:30