La scuola delle quote

Internacional v Fluminense

Inizio: 2026-05-03 21:30 UTC

Finale: Internacional 2–0 Fluminense

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

58 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Internacional (Casa)

Previsione 42.60%2.35quota equa
EV +1.39%
Vantaggio +0.586%
Kelly +1.01%
Crescita +0.014%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.80%42.58%42.74%43.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.182.202.3850.00%45.79%45.45%42.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fluminense (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.87%3.59quota equa
EV -1.33%
Vantaggio -0.375%
Kelly -0.522%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.88%27.89%27.83%29.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.053.323.353.5432.79%30.10%29.85%28.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.52%3.39quota equa
EV -1.10%
Vantaggio -0.328%
Kelly -0.467%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.94%29.53%29.43%31.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.703.153.173.3537.04%31.75%31.50%29.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV +1.39%E +0.586%K +1.01%G +0.014%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.42%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.78%EV -3.75%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 21:20
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.81%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.33%EV -1.33%E -0.375%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.86%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 21:11
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 43.03%EV -4.14%E -1.84%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06%EV -3.83%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.90%EV -1.10%E -0.328%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 21:20
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.03%EV -4.14%E -1.84%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06%EV -3.83%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.90%EV -1.10%E -0.328%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 21:20
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.14%E -1.84%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 15:39
Coolbet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.51%EV -4.57%E -2.04%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -4.64%E -1.44%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 15:23
GTbets2.23I 44.84%NM 41.88%EV -5.00%E -2.24%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.38%EV -8.29%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.74%EV -7.30%E -2.32%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-30 23:59
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -5.42%E -2.44%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 21:25
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -5.42%E -2.44%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 21:20
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.32%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.08%EV -1.88%E -0.535%K -0.747%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.60%EV -4.94%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 21:20
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.32%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.08%EV -1.88%E -0.535%K -0.747%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.60%EV -4.94%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 21:20
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 43.32%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.08%EV -1.88%E -0.535%K -0.747%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.60%EV -4.94%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 21:20
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 21:20
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 21:20
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 21:20
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 21:20
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 21:20
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 21:20
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 15:44
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 15:40
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 20:50
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 16:30
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 16:30
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 21:04
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.44%E -0.697%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 21:11
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.44%E -0.697%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 21:11
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 21:05
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:30
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:30
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 21:05
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.80%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 21:20
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.80%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 21:20
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 18:05
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -12.20%E -3.87%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 21:20
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 21:25
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -13.59%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 21:20
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.41%E -2.90%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 21:20
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.41%E -2.90%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 21:20
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.41%E -2.90%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 21:20
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.41%E -2.90%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 21:20
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 43.15%EV -6.70%E -3.06%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -2.57%E -0.780%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 15:40
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.74%EV -7.13%E -3.27%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -7.89%E -2.53%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -7.98%E -3.69%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 21:20
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.40%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.41%E -2.90%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 21:20
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.40%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.41%E -2.90%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 16:00
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -8.40%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -9.41%E -2.90%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -14.38%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-03 21:11
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -9.68%E -4.57%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.41%E -2.90%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 21:20
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -9.68%E -4.57%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.41%E -2.90%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 21:20
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.53%E -5.02%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -12.20%E -3.87%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 15:40
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.53%E -5.02%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.80%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 21:20
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.53%E -5.02%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.80%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 21:20
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.53%E -5.02%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -14.38%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-03 21:25
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.64%EV -12.66%E -6.18%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.80%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-03 21:00
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.52%EV -12.66%E -6.18%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.88%EV -10.80%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.60%EV -7.89%E -2.53%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 21:05
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -12.66%E -6.18%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -14.98%E -4.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-03 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.91%EV -14.79%E -7.40%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.04%EV -13.59%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.05%EV -20.29%E -7.51%K -11.93%G +0.000%19.3%2026-05-03 21:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-05-03 21:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-05-03 21:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-05-03 21:25
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-05-03 21:25
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-05-03 21:25
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.15%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%2.1%2026-05-03 21:25