مدرسة الاحتمالات

Internacional v Fluminense

البداية: 2026-05-03 21:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Internacional 2–0 Fluminense

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Internacional (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.60%2.35السعر العادل
EV +1.39%
الأفضلية +0.586%
Kelly +1.01%
النمو +0.014%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.80%42.58%42.74%43.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.182.202.3850.00%45.79%45.45%42.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Fluminense (الضيف)

التنبؤ 27.87%3.59السعر العادل
EV -1.33%
الأفضلية -0.375%
Kelly -0.522%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.54

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.88%27.89%27.83%29.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.053.323.353.5432.79%30.10%29.85%28.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.52%3.39السعر العادل
EV -1.10%
الأفضلية -0.328%
Kelly -0.467%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.94%29.53%29.43%31.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.703.153.173.3537.04%31.75%31.50%29.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV +1.39%E +0.586%K +1.01%G +0.014%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.42%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.78%EV -3.75%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 21:20
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.81%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.33%EV -1.33%E -0.375%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.86%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 21:11
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 43.03%EV -4.14%E -1.84%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06%EV -3.83%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.90%EV -1.10%E -0.328%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 21:20
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.03%EV -4.14%E -1.84%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06%EV -3.83%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.90%EV -1.10%E -0.328%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 21:20
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.14%E -1.84%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 15:39
Coolbet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.51%EV -4.57%E -2.04%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -4.64%E -1.44%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 15:23
GTbets2.23I 44.84%NM 41.88%EV -5.00%E -2.24%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.38%EV -8.29%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.74%EV -7.30%E -2.32%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-30 23:59
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -5.42%E -2.44%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 21:25
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -5.42%E -2.44%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 21:20
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.32%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.08%EV -1.88%E -0.535%K -0.747%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.60%EV -4.94%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 21:20
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.32%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.08%EV -1.88%E -0.535%K -0.747%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.60%EV -4.94%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 21:20
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 43.32%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.08%EV -1.88%E -0.535%K -0.747%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.60%EV -4.94%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 21:20
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 21:20
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 21:20
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 21:20
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 21:20
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 21:20
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 21:20
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 15:44
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 15:40
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 20:50
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 16:30
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 16:30
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 21:04
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.44%E -0.697%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 21:11
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.44%E -0.697%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 21:11
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 21:05
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:30
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:30
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 21:05
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.80%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 21:20
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.80%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 21:20
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 18:05
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -12.20%E -3.87%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 21:20
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 21:25
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -13.59%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 21:20
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.41%E -2.90%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 21:20
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.41%E -2.90%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 21:20
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.41%E -2.90%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 21:20
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.41%E -2.90%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 21:20
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 43.15%EV -6.70%E -3.06%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -2.57%E -0.780%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 15:40
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.74%EV -7.13%E -3.27%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -7.89%E -2.53%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -7.98%E -3.69%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 21:20
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.40%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.41%E -2.90%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 21:20
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.40%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.41%E -2.90%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 16:00
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -8.40%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -9.41%E -2.90%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -14.38%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-03 21:11
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -9.68%E -4.57%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.41%E -2.90%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 21:20
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -9.68%E -4.57%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.41%E -2.90%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 21:20
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.53%E -5.02%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -12.20%E -3.87%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 15:40
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.53%E -5.02%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.80%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 21:20
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.53%E -5.02%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.80%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 21:20
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.53%E -5.02%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -14.38%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-03 21:25
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.64%EV -12.66%E -6.18%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.80%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-03 21:00
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.52%EV -12.66%E -6.18%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.88%EV -10.80%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.60%EV -7.89%E -2.53%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 21:05
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -12.66%E -6.18%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -14.98%E -4.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-03 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.91%EV -14.79%E -7.40%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.04%EV -13.59%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.05%EV -20.29%E -7.51%K -11.93%G +0.000%19.3%2026-05-03 21:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-05-03 21:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-05-03 21:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-05-03 21:25
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-05-03 21:25
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-05-03 21:25
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.15%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%2.1%2026-05-03 21:25