A Escola das Odds

Grêmio v Remo

Início: 2026-04-05 23:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Grêmio (Local)

Previsão 55.39%1.81odd justa
EV -3.62%
Vantagem -2.08%
Kelly -4.89%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.81%55.54%55.42%59.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.521.651.671.7465.79%60.64%59.88%57.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Remo (Visitante)

Previsão 19.48%5.13odd justa
EV +9.08%
Vantagem +1.62%
Kelly +1.97%
Crescimento +0.179%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.96%19.37%19.53%20.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.205.015.005.6023.81%19.97%20.00%17.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.13%3.98odd justa
EV +3.03%
Vantagem +0.738%
Kelly +0.976%
Crescimento +0.030%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.59%25.08%25.05%26.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.403.763.804.1029.41%26.60%26.32%24.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 59.07%EV -9.16%E -5.58%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.30%EV +9.08%E +1.62%K +1.97%G +0.179%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV +3.03%E +0.738%K +0.976%G +0.030%3.2%2026-04-05 22:50
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 59.07%EV -9.16%E -5.58%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.30%EV +9.08%E +1.62%K +1.97%G +0.179%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV +3.03%E +0.738%K +0.976%G +0.030%3.2%2026-04-05 22:50
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.27%EV -12.48%E -7.90%K -21.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV +7.14%E +1.30%K +1.59%G +0.113%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -0.744%E -0.188%K -0.252%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 22:50
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -13.03%E -8.30%K -22.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV +7.14%E +1.30%K +1.59%G +0.113%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -0.744%E -0.188%K -0.252%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 22:50
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -13.03%E -8.30%K -22.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV +7.14%E +1.30%K +1.59%G +0.113%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -0.744%E -0.188%K -0.252%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -13.03%E -8.30%K -22.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV +7.14%E +1.30%K +1.59%G +0.113%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -0.744%E -0.188%K -0.252%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 22:50
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -13.03%E -8.30%K -22.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV +7.14%E +1.30%K +1.59%G +0.113%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -0.744%E -0.188%K -0.252%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 22:50
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -13.03%E -8.30%K -22.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV +7.14%E +1.30%K +1.59%G +0.113%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -0.744%E -0.188%K -0.252%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 22:50
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -13.03%E -8.30%K -22.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV +7.14%E +1.30%K +1.59%G +0.113%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -0.744%E -0.188%K -0.252%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.21%EV -13.59%E -8.71%K -24.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV +5.19%E +0.961%K +1.18%G +0.061%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -2.00%E -0.513%K -0.690%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 22:50
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -14.14%E -9.12%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV +5.19%E +0.961%K +1.18%G +0.061%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -2.00%E -0.513%K -0.690%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 23:05
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 55.79%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.91%EV +4.99%E +0.926%K +1.14%G +0.057%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.30%EV -7.78%E -2.12%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-05 23:25
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.98%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.95%EV +3.24%E +0.611%K +0.754%G +0.024%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -8.28%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 23:25
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.61%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.84%EV +3.24%E +0.611%K +0.754%G +0.024%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.03%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 23:09
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.15%EV -14.70%E -9.54%K -27.21%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.19%EV +3.24%E +0.611%K +0.754%G +0.024%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -3.26%E -0.846%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 22:50
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 59.15%EV -14.70%E -9.54%K -27.21%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.19%EV +3.24%E +0.611%K +0.754%G +0.024%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -3.26%E -0.846%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 22:50
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.19%EV -15.80%E -10.40%K -30.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.14%EV +2.27%E +0.432%K +0.533%G +0.012%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 22:49
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.19%EV -15.80%E -10.40%K -30.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.14%EV +2.27%E +0.432%K +0.533%G +0.012%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 22:50
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.34%EV +1.29%E +0.249%K +0.308%G +0.004%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.57%EV -2.50%E -0.645%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 22:34
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.34%EV +1.29%E +0.249%K +0.308%G +0.004%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.57%EV -2.50%E -0.645%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 22:35
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.34%EV +1.29%E +0.249%K +0.308%G +0.004%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.57%EV -2.50%E -0.645%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 22:34
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 55.28%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.25%EV +0.319%E +0.062%K +0.077%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 23:17
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.67%EV -3.62%E -2.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.84%EV +0.124%E +0.024%K +0.030%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 23:25
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -0.655%E -0.128%K -0.160%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 23:24
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.80%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -2.60%E -0.521%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 23:25
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.16%EV -8.05%E -4.85%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -2.60%E -0.521%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.03%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 22:40
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -2.60%E -0.521%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -12.05%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 23:05
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -10.26%E -6.34%K -16.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -2.60%E -0.521%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.05%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 23:10
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.21%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -4.55%E -0.929%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -7.03%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 23:05
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -8.60%E -5.21%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -4.55%E -0.929%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 23:25
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 55.90%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.80%EV -6.50%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.30%EV -1.75%E -0.447%K -0.601%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 23:25
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.51%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -6.50%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:50
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.51%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -6.50%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:50
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -6.50%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 23:25
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -6.50%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 23:25
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -6.50%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 23:25
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -10.26%E -6.34%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 23:10
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -4.72%E -2.75%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.45%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 23:05
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -4.72%E -2.75%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.45%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 23:05
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -10.39%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -2.00%E -0.513%K -0.690%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 23:05
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.81%EV -4.72%E -2.75%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -10.39%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 23:05
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.45%EV -10.82%E -6.72%K -17.73%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.62%EV -11.37%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.94%EV -10.04%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 23:03
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.68%EV -11.37%E -7.11%K -18.95%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.58%EV -11.37%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 23:00
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.99%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.00%E -0.513%K -0.690%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 23:24
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.77%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 23:24
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 23:25
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 23:05
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -5.77%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 23:25
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -9.16%E -5.58%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -5.77%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 22:50
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 22:34
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.78%EV -11.37%E -7.11%K -18.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -18.19%E -4.33%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-05 22:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.80%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.24%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.97%0.0%2026-04-05 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.45%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-04-05 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.45%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-04-05 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.45%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-04-05 23:25
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.79%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-04-05 23:25
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.22%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.89%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89%1.6%2026-04-05 23:25