La escuela de los momios

Grêmio v Remo

Inicio: 2026-04-05 23:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Grêmio (Local)

Predicción 55.39%1.81momio equitativo
EV -3.62%
Ventaja -2.08%
Kelly -4.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.81%55.54%55.42%59.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.651.671.7465.79%60.64%59.88%57.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Remo (Visitante)

Predicción 19.48%5.13momio equitativo
EV +9.08%
Ventaja +1.62%
Kelly +1.97%
Crecimiento +0.179%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.96%19.37%19.53%20.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.205.015.005.6023.81%19.97%20.00%17.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.13%3.98momio equitativo
EV +3.03%
Ventaja +0.738%
Kelly +0.976%
Crecimiento +0.030%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.59%25.08%25.05%26.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.763.804.1029.41%26.60%26.32%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 59.07%EV -9.16%E -5.58%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.30%EV +9.08%E +1.62%K +1.97%G +0.179%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV +3.03%E +0.738%K +0.976%G +0.030%3.2%2026-04-05 22:50
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 59.07%EV -9.16%E -5.58%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.30%EV +9.08%E +1.62%K +1.97%G +0.179%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV +3.03%E +0.738%K +0.976%G +0.030%3.2%2026-04-05 22:50
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.27%EV -12.48%E -7.90%K -21.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV +7.14%E +1.30%K +1.59%G +0.113%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -0.744%E -0.188%K -0.252%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 22:50
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -13.03%E -8.30%K -22.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV +7.14%E +1.30%K +1.59%G +0.113%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -0.744%E -0.188%K -0.252%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 22:50
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -13.03%E -8.30%K -22.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV +7.14%E +1.30%K +1.59%G +0.113%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -0.744%E -0.188%K -0.252%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -13.03%E -8.30%K -22.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV +7.14%E +1.30%K +1.59%G +0.113%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -0.744%E -0.188%K -0.252%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 22:50
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -13.03%E -8.30%K -22.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV +7.14%E +1.30%K +1.59%G +0.113%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -0.744%E -0.188%K -0.252%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 22:50
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -13.03%E -8.30%K -22.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV +7.14%E +1.30%K +1.59%G +0.113%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -0.744%E -0.188%K -0.252%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 22:50
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -13.03%E -8.30%K -22.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV +7.14%E +1.30%K +1.59%G +0.113%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -0.744%E -0.188%K -0.252%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.21%EV -13.59%E -8.71%K -24.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV +5.19%E +0.961%K +1.18%G +0.061%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -2.00%E -0.513%K -0.690%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 22:50
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -14.14%E -9.12%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV +5.19%E +0.961%K +1.18%G +0.061%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -2.00%E -0.513%K -0.690%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 23:05
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 55.79%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.91%EV +4.99%E +0.926%K +1.14%G +0.057%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.30%EV -7.78%E -2.12%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-05 23:25
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.98%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.95%EV +3.24%E +0.611%K +0.754%G +0.024%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -8.28%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 23:25
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.61%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.84%EV +3.24%E +0.611%K +0.754%G +0.024%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.03%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 23:09
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.15%EV -14.70%E -9.54%K -27.21%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.19%EV +3.24%E +0.611%K +0.754%G +0.024%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -3.26%E -0.846%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 22:50
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 59.15%EV -14.70%E -9.54%K -27.21%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.19%EV +3.24%E +0.611%K +0.754%G +0.024%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -3.26%E -0.846%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 22:50
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.19%EV -15.80%E -10.40%K -30.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.14%EV +2.27%E +0.432%K +0.533%G +0.012%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 22:49
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.19%EV -15.80%E -10.40%K -30.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.14%EV +2.27%E +0.432%K +0.533%G +0.012%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 22:50
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.34%EV +1.29%E +0.249%K +0.308%G +0.004%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.57%EV -2.50%E -0.645%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 22:34
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.34%EV +1.29%E +0.249%K +0.308%G +0.004%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.57%EV -2.50%E -0.645%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 22:35
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.34%EV +1.29%E +0.249%K +0.308%G +0.004%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.57%EV -2.50%E -0.645%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 22:34
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 55.28%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.25%EV +0.319%E +0.062%K +0.077%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 23:17
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.67%EV -3.62%E -2.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.84%EV +0.124%E +0.024%K +0.030%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 23:25
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -0.655%E -0.128%K -0.160%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 23:24
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.80%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -2.60%E -0.521%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 23:25
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.16%EV -8.05%E -4.85%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -2.60%E -0.521%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.03%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 22:40
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -2.60%E -0.521%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -12.05%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 23:05
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -10.26%E -6.34%K -16.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -2.60%E -0.521%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.05%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 23:10
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.21%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -4.55%E -0.929%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -7.03%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 23:05
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -8.60%E -5.21%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -4.55%E -0.929%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 23:25
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 55.90%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.80%EV -6.50%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.30%EV -1.75%E -0.447%K -0.601%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 23:25
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.51%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -6.50%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:50
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.51%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -6.50%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:50
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -6.50%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 23:25
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -6.50%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 23:25
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -6.50%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 23:25
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -10.26%E -6.34%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 23:10
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -4.72%E -2.75%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.45%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 23:05
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -4.72%E -2.75%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.45%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 23:05
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -10.39%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -2.00%E -0.513%K -0.690%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 23:05
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.81%EV -4.72%E -2.75%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -10.39%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 23:05
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.45%EV -10.82%E -6.72%K -17.73%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.62%EV -11.37%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.94%EV -10.04%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 23:03
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.68%EV -11.37%E -7.11%K -18.95%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.58%EV -11.37%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 23:00
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.99%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.00%E -0.513%K -0.690%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 23:24
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.77%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 23:24
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 23:25
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 23:05
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -5.77%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 23:25
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -9.16%E -5.58%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -5.77%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 22:50
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 22:34
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.78%EV -11.37%E -7.11%K -18.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -18.19%E -4.33%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-05 22:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.80%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.24%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.97%0.0%2026-04-05 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.45%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-04-05 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.45%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-04-05 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.45%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-04-05 23:25
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.79%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-04-05 23:25
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.22%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.89%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89%1.6%2026-04-05 23:25