L’École des cotes

Grêmio v Remo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 23:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Grêmio (Local)

Prévision 55.39%1.81cote équitable
EV -3.62%
Avantage -2.08%
Kelly -4.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.81%55.54%55.42%59.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.651.671.7465.79%60.64%59.88%57.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Remo (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.48%5.13cote équitable
EV +9.08%
Avantage +1.62%
Kelly +1.97%
Croissance +0.179%

avec la cote maximale 5.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.96%19.37%19.53%20.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.205.015.005.6023.81%19.97%20.00%17.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.13%3.98cote équitable
EV +3.03%
Avantage +0.738%
Kelly +0.976%
Croissance +0.030%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.59%25.08%25.05%26.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.763.804.1029.41%26.60%26.32%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 59.07%EV -9.16%E -5.58%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.30%EV +9.08%E +1.62%K +1.97%G +0.179%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV +3.03%E +0.738%K +0.976%G +0.030%3.2%2026-04-05 22:50
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 59.07%EV -9.16%E -5.58%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.30%EV +9.08%E +1.62%K +1.97%G +0.179%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV +3.03%E +0.738%K +0.976%G +0.030%3.2%2026-04-05 22:50
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.27%EV -12.48%E -7.90%K -21.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV +7.14%E +1.30%K +1.59%G +0.113%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -0.744%E -0.188%K -0.252%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 22:50
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -13.03%E -8.30%K -22.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV +7.14%E +1.30%K +1.59%G +0.113%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -0.744%E -0.188%K -0.252%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 22:50
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -13.03%E -8.30%K -22.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV +7.14%E +1.30%K +1.59%G +0.113%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -0.744%E -0.188%K -0.252%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -13.03%E -8.30%K -22.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV +7.14%E +1.30%K +1.59%G +0.113%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -0.744%E -0.188%K -0.252%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 22:50
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -13.03%E -8.30%K -22.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV +7.14%E +1.30%K +1.59%G +0.113%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -0.744%E -0.188%K -0.252%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 22:50
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -13.03%E -8.30%K -22.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV +7.14%E +1.30%K +1.59%G +0.113%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -0.744%E -0.188%K -0.252%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 22:50
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -13.03%E -8.30%K -22.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV +7.14%E +1.30%K +1.59%G +0.113%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -0.744%E -0.188%K -0.252%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.21%EV -13.59%E -8.71%K -24.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV +5.19%E +0.961%K +1.18%G +0.061%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -2.00%E -0.513%K -0.690%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 22:50
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -14.14%E -9.12%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV +5.19%E +0.961%K +1.18%G +0.061%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -2.00%E -0.513%K -0.690%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 23:05
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 55.79%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.91%EV +4.99%E +0.926%K +1.14%G +0.057%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.30%EV -7.78%E -2.12%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-05 23:25
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.98%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.95%EV +3.24%E +0.611%K +0.754%G +0.024%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -8.28%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 23:25
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.61%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.84%EV +3.24%E +0.611%K +0.754%G +0.024%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.03%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 23:09
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.15%EV -14.70%E -9.54%K -27.21%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.19%EV +3.24%E +0.611%K +0.754%G +0.024%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -3.26%E -0.846%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 22:50
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 59.15%EV -14.70%E -9.54%K -27.21%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.19%EV +3.24%E +0.611%K +0.754%G +0.024%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -3.26%E -0.846%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 22:50
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.19%EV -15.80%E -10.40%K -30.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.14%EV +2.27%E +0.432%K +0.533%G +0.012%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 22:49
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.19%EV -15.80%E -10.40%K -30.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.14%EV +2.27%E +0.432%K +0.533%G +0.012%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 22:50
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.34%EV +1.29%E +0.249%K +0.308%G +0.004%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.57%EV -2.50%E -0.645%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 22:34
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.34%EV +1.29%E +0.249%K +0.308%G +0.004%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.57%EV -2.50%E -0.645%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 22:35
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.34%EV +1.29%E +0.249%K +0.308%G +0.004%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.57%EV -2.50%E -0.645%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 22:34
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 55.28%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.25%EV +0.319%E +0.062%K +0.077%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 23:17
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.67%EV -3.62%E -2.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.84%EV +0.124%E +0.024%K +0.030%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 23:25
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -0.655%E -0.128%K -0.160%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 23:24
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.80%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -2.60%E -0.521%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 23:25
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.16%EV -8.05%E -4.85%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -2.60%E -0.521%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.03%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 22:40
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -2.60%E -0.521%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -12.05%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 23:05
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -10.26%E -6.34%K -16.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -2.60%E -0.521%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.05%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 23:10
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.21%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -4.55%E -0.929%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -7.03%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 23:05
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -8.60%E -5.21%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -4.55%E -0.929%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 23:25
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 55.90%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.80%EV -6.50%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.30%EV -1.75%E -0.447%K -0.601%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 23:25
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.51%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -6.50%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:50
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.51%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -6.50%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:50
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -6.50%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 23:25
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -6.50%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 23:25
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -6.50%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 23:25
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -10.26%E -6.34%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 23:10
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -4.72%E -2.75%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.45%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 23:05
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -4.72%E -2.75%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.45%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 23:05
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -10.39%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -2.00%E -0.513%K -0.690%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 23:05
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.81%EV -4.72%E -2.75%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -10.39%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 23:05
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.45%EV -10.82%E -6.72%K -17.73%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.62%EV -11.37%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.94%EV -10.04%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 23:03
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.68%EV -11.37%E -7.11%K -18.95%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.58%EV -11.37%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 23:00
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.99%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.00%E -0.513%K -0.690%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 23:24
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.77%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 23:24
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 23:25
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 23:05
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -5.77%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 23:25
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -9.16%E -5.58%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -5.77%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 22:50
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 22:34
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.78%EV -11.37%E -7.11%K -18.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -18.19%E -4.33%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-05 22:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.80%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.24%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.97%0.0%2026-04-05 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.45%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-04-05 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.45%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-04-05 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.45%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-04-05 23:25
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.79%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-04-05 23:25
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.22%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.89%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89%1.6%2026-04-05 23:25