La scuola delle quote

Grêmio v Coritiba

Inizio: 2026-04-26 19:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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54 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Grêmio (Casa)

Previsione 48.30%2.07quota equa
EV -3.40%
Vantaggio -1.70%
Kelly -3.40%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.97%48.39%48.30%50.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.891.912.0057.80%52.84%52.36%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Coritiba (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.22%4.31quota equa
EV +4.51%
Vantaggio +1.00%
Kelly +1.29%
Crescita +0.058%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.31%23.11%23.25%24.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.554.084.054.5028.17%24.49%24.69%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.48%3.51quota equa
EV -0.328%
Vantaggio -0.094%
Kelly -0.131%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.10%28.49%28.46%29.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.263.303.5034.72%30.64%30.30%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 50.42%EV -7.27%E -3.79%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51%EV +4.51%E +1.00%K +1.29%G +0.058%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06%EV -1.75%E -0.508%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-22 14:05
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.42%EV -7.27%E -3.79%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51%EV +4.51%E +1.00%K +1.29%G +0.058%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06%EV -1.75%E -0.508%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-22 14:05
Unibet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.56%EV -10.17%E -5.47%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV +2.19%E +0.497%K +0.643%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 14:04
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.19%E +0.497%K +0.643%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 14:05
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.19%E +0.497%K +0.643%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 14:04
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.19%E +0.497%K +0.643%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 14:04
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.19%E +0.497%K +0.643%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 14:04
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.19%E +0.497%K +0.643%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 14:04
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.57%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV +1.03%E +0.236%K +0.306%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 14:04
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.99%EV -10.17%E -5.47%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.91%EV +0.562%E +0.130%K +0.169%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -0.328%E -0.094%K -0.131%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 15:39
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -11.62%E -6.35%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -0.135%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-20 09:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -11.62%E -6.35%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -0.135%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 14:04
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -12.10%E -6.65%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -0.135%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 14:04
GTbets1.86I 53.76%NM 50.16%EV -10.17%E -5.47%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 21.90%EV -1.06%E -0.250%K -0.326%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 08:49
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -13.06%E -7.26%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -1.30%E -0.305%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 14:05
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -13.06%E -7.26%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -1.30%E -0.305%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 14:04
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%EV -5.82%E -2.98%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -2.46%E -0.585%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 14:05
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -14.03%E -7.88%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -2.46%E -0.585%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 14:04
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -14.03%E -7.88%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -2.46%E -0.585%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 14:05
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.53%EV -4.37%E -2.21%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.04%EV -3.15%E -0.756%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.43%EV -3.75%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 13:15
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.34%E -2.72%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.94%EV -3.62%E -0.872%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.50%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 13:15
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.34%E -2.72%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.94%EV -3.62%E -0.872%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.50%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 13:14
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 48.06%EV -4.37%E -2.21%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.10%EV -4.31%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 13:15
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.78%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 13:19
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.78%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 22:09
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.77%EV -6.79%E -3.52%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -4.78%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 13:15
Bovada1.96I 51.02%NM 47.92%EV -5.34%E -2.72%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.19%EV -5.94%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 13:10
BetUS1.96I 51.02%NM 47.92%EV -5.34%E -2.72%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.19%EV -5.94%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 13:10
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -7.27%E -3.79%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -5.94%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -6.59%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 13:13
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.82%E -2.98%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.10%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 13:12
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -6.30%E -3.25%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.10%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 13:14
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.82%E -2.98%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.10%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 13:10
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -7.27%E -3.79%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -7.10%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 14:05
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.10%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 14:04
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -8.23%E -4.33%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -7.10%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 14:09
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -13.06%E -7.26%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -7.10%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-20 15:40
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -4.37%E -2.21%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.26%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 13:15
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -4.37%E -2.21%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.26%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 13:14
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -3.40%E -1.70%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -9.42%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 19:05
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -5.82%E -2.98%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -9.42%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 13:24
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -8.23%E -4.33%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -9.42%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 14:05
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.82%E -2.98%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.42%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 14:39
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.82%E -2.98%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.42%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 14:45
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.82%E -2.98%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.42%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 14:39
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.82%E -2.98%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.42%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 14:39
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.42%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 13:13
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -13.06%E -7.26%K -16.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.42%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 19:05
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.26%EV -5.82%E -2.98%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 13:14
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -11.75%E -3.09%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 13:14
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.12%EV -11.62%E -6.35%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -12.91%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-23 13:14
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.25%EV -12.10%E -6.65%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -12.91%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 13:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.50%EV -16.44%E -9.51%K -22.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.37%EV -12.91%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.13%EV -17.98%E -6.24%K -9.57%G +0.000%19.2%2026-04-20 15:40
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.99%EV -10.17%E -5.47%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.12%EV -14.07%E -3.80%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 21:30
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 47.62%EV -12.10%E -6.65%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.42%EV -17.55%E -4.94%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.96%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-23 21:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.53%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%3.0%2026-04-24 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%5.2%2026-04-23 23:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%5.2%2026-04-24 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%5.2%2026-04-24 00:05
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%6.3%2026-04-24 01:25
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 46.95%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%7.6%2026-04-24 00:05