La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Grêmio v Coritiba
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Grêmio (Local)
Predicción 48.30%2.07momio equitativo
EV -3.40%
Ventaja -1.70%
Kelly -3.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.97%48.39%48.30%50.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.891.912.0057.80%52.84%52.36%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Coritiba (Visitante)
Predicción 23.22%4.31momio equitativo
EV +4.51%
Ventaja +1.00%
Kelly +1.29%
Crecimiento +0.058%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.31%23.11%23.25%24.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.554.084.054.5028.17%24.49%24.69%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.48%3.51momio equitativo
EV -0.328%
Ventaja -0.094%
Kelly -0.131%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.10%28.49%28.46%29.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.263.303.5034.72%30.64%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.42%EV -7.27%E -3.79%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51%EV +4.51%E +1.00%K +1.29%G +0.058% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06%EV -1.75%E -0.508%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-22 14:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.42%EV -7.27%E -3.79%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51%EV +4.51%E +1.00%K +1.29%G +0.058% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06%EV -1.75%E -0.508%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-22 14:05 |
| Unibet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.56%EV -10.17%E -5.47%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV +2.19%E +0.497%K +0.643%G +0.014% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 14:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.19%E +0.497%K +0.643%G +0.014% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 14:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.19%E +0.497%K +0.643%G +0.014% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 14:04 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.19%E +0.497%K +0.643%G +0.014% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 14:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.19%E +0.497%K +0.643%G +0.014% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 14:04 |
| betPARX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.19%E +0.497%K +0.643%G +0.014% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 14:04 |
| BetRivers | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.57%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV +1.03%E +0.236%K +0.306%G +0.003% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 14:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.99%EV -10.17%E -5.47%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.91%EV +0.562%E +0.130%K +0.169%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -0.328%E -0.094%K -0.131%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-20 15:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -11.62%E -6.35%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -0.135%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-20 09:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -11.62%E -6.35%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -0.135%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 14:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -12.10%E -6.65%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -0.135%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 14:04 |
| GTbets | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.16%EV -10.17%E -5.47%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 21.90%EV -1.06%E -0.250%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 08:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -13.06%E -7.26%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -1.30%E -0.305%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-22 14:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -13.06%E -7.26%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -1.30%E -0.305%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-22 14:04 |
| Coolbet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%EV -5.82%E -2.98%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -2.46%E -0.585%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-22 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -14.03%E -7.88%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -2.46%E -0.585%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-22 14:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -14.03%E -7.88%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -2.46%E -0.585%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-22 14:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.53%EV -4.37%E -2.21%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.04%EV -3.15%E -0.756%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.43%EV -3.75%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 13:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.34%E -2.72%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.94%EV -3.62%E -0.872%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.50%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 13:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.34%E -2.72%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.94%EV -3.62%E -0.872%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.50%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 13:14 |
| Pinnacle | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.06%EV -4.37%E -2.21%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.10%EV -4.31%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 13:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.78%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.78%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-20 22:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.77%EV -6.79%E -3.52%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -4.78%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 13:15 |
| Bovada | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.92%EV -5.34%E -2.72%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.19%EV -5.94%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| BetUS | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.92%EV -5.34%E -2.72%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.19%EV -5.94%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -7.27%E -3.79%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -5.94%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -6.59%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 13:13 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.82%E -2.98%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.10%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 13:12 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -6.30%E -3.25%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.10%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 13:14 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.82%E -2.98%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.10%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -7.27%E -3.79%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -7.10%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 14:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.10%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 14:04 |
| betfred_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -8.23%E -4.33%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -7.10%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 14:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -13.06%E -7.26%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -7.10%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-20 15:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -4.37%E -2.21%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.26%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 13:15 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -4.37%E -2.21%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.26%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 13:14 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -3.40%E -1.70%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -9.42%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 19:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -5.82%E -2.98%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -9.42%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 13:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -8.23%E -4.33%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -9.42%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 14:05 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.82%E -2.98%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.42%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 14:39 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.82%E -2.98%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.42%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.82%E -2.98%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.42%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 14:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.82%E -2.98%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.42%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 14:39 |
| Everygame | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.42%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 13:13 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -13.06%E -7.26%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.42%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 19:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.26%EV -5.82%E -2.98%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 13:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -11.75%E -3.09%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 13:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.12%EV -11.62%E -6.35%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -12.91%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-23 13:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.25%EV -12.10%E -6.65%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -12.91%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-23 13:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.50%EV -16.44%E -9.51%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.37%EV -12.91%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.13%EV -17.98%E -6.24%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-04-20 15:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.99%EV -10.17%E -5.47%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.12%EV -14.07%E -3.80%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 21:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 47.62%EV -12.10%E -6.65%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.42%EV -17.55%E -4.94%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.96%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-23 21:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.53% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 23:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 00:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95% | 6.3% | 2026-04-24 01:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.95% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51% | 7.6% | 2026-04-24 00:05 |