L’École des cotes

Grêmio v Coritiba

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Grêmio (Local)

Prévision 48.30%2.07cote équitable
EV -3.40%
Avantage -1.70%
Kelly -3.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.97%48.39%48.30%50.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.891.912.0057.80%52.84%52.36%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Coritiba (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.22%4.31cote équitable
EV +4.51%
Avantage +1.00%
Kelly +1.29%
Croissance +0.058%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.31%23.11%23.25%24.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.554.084.054.5028.17%24.49%24.69%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.48%3.51cote équitable
EV -0.328%
Avantage -0.094%
Kelly -0.131%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.10%28.49%28.46%29.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.263.303.5034.72%30.64%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 50.42%EV -7.27%E -3.79%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51%EV +4.51%E +1.00%K +1.29%G +0.058%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06%EV -1.75%E -0.508%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-22 14:05
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.42%EV -7.27%E -3.79%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51%EV +4.51%E +1.00%K +1.29%G +0.058%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06%EV -1.75%E -0.508%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-22 14:05
Unibet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.56%EV -10.17%E -5.47%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV +2.19%E +0.497%K +0.643%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 14:04
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.19%E +0.497%K +0.643%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 14:05
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.19%E +0.497%K +0.643%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 14:04
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.19%E +0.497%K +0.643%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 14:04
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.19%E +0.497%K +0.643%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 14:04
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.19%E +0.497%K +0.643%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 14:04
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.57%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV +1.03%E +0.236%K +0.306%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 14:04
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.99%EV -10.17%E -5.47%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.91%EV +0.562%E +0.130%K +0.169%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -0.328%E -0.094%K -0.131%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 15:39
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -11.62%E -6.35%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -0.135%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-20 09:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -11.62%E -6.35%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -0.135%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 14:04
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -12.10%E -6.65%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -0.135%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 14:04
GTbets1.86I 53.76%NM 50.16%EV -10.17%E -5.47%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 21.90%EV -1.06%E -0.250%K -0.326%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 08:49
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -13.06%E -7.26%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -1.30%E -0.305%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 14:05
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -13.06%E -7.26%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -1.30%E -0.305%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 14:04
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%EV -5.82%E -2.98%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -2.46%E -0.585%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 14:05
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -14.03%E -7.88%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -2.46%E -0.585%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 14:04
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -14.03%E -7.88%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -2.46%E -0.585%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 14:05
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.53%EV -4.37%E -2.21%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.04%EV -3.15%E -0.756%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.43%EV -3.75%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 13:15
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.34%E -2.72%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.94%EV -3.62%E -0.872%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.50%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 13:15
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.34%E -2.72%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.94%EV -3.62%E -0.872%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.50%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 13:14
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 48.06%EV -4.37%E -2.21%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.10%EV -4.31%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 13:15
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.78%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 13:19
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.78%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 22:09
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.77%EV -6.79%E -3.52%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -4.78%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 13:15
Bovada1.96I 51.02%NM 47.92%EV -5.34%E -2.72%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.19%EV -5.94%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 13:10
BetUS1.96I 51.02%NM 47.92%EV -5.34%E -2.72%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.19%EV -5.94%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 13:10
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -7.27%E -3.79%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -5.94%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -6.59%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 13:13
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.82%E -2.98%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.10%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 13:12
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -6.30%E -3.25%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.10%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 13:14
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.82%E -2.98%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.10%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 13:10
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -7.27%E -3.79%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -7.10%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 14:05
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.10%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 14:04
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -8.23%E -4.33%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -7.10%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 14:09
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -13.06%E -7.26%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -7.10%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-20 15:40
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -4.37%E -2.21%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.26%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 13:15
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -4.37%E -2.21%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.26%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 13:14
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -3.40%E -1.70%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -9.42%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 19:05
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -5.82%E -2.98%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -9.42%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 13:24
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -8.23%E -4.33%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -9.42%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 14:05
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.82%E -2.98%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.42%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 14:39
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.82%E -2.98%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.42%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 14:45
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.82%E -2.98%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.42%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 14:39
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.82%E -2.98%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.42%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 14:39
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.42%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 13:13
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -13.06%E -7.26%K -16.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.42%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 19:05
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.26%EV -5.82%E -2.98%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 13:14
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -11.75%E -3.09%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 13:14
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.12%EV -11.62%E -6.35%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -12.91%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-23 13:14
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.25%EV -12.10%E -6.65%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -12.91%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 13:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.50%EV -16.44%E -9.51%K -22.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.37%EV -12.91%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.13%EV -17.98%E -6.24%K -9.57%G +0.000%19.2%2026-04-20 15:40
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.99%EV -10.17%E -5.47%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.12%EV -14.07%E -3.80%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 21:30
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 47.62%EV -12.10%E -6.65%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.42%EV -17.55%E -4.94%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.96%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-23 21:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.53%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%3.0%2026-04-24 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%5.2%2026-04-23 23:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%5.2%2026-04-24 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%5.2%2026-04-24 00:05
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%6.3%2026-04-24 01:25
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 46.95%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%7.6%2026-04-24 00:05