L’École des cotes

Grêmio v Atletico Mineiro

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-26 00:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Grêmio (Local)

Prévision 42.38%2.36cote équitable
EV -2.52%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -1.94%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.35%42.39%42.38%44.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.192.202.3051.28%45.59%45.45%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atletico Mineiro (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.67%3.49cote équitable
EV +1.19%
Avantage +0.337%
Kelly +0.471%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 3.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.47%28.69%28.64%30.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.953.223.203.5333.90%31.02%31.25%28.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.95%3.45cote équitable
EV -1.28%
Avantage -0.374%
Kelly -0.530%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.20%28.92%28.98%29.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.853.203.203.4135.09%31.24%31.25%29.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.20I 45.45%NM 44.08%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.47%EV +1.19%E +0.337%K +0.471%G +0.006%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.44%EV -1.28%E -0.374%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-26 00:25
Coolbet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.28%EV -5.91%E -2.66%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.61%EV -0.242%E -0.070%K -0.098%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-25 11:05
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.29%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -1.96%E -0.574%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 23:40
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.29%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -1.96%E -0.574%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 23:40
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.60%EV -3.79%E -1.67%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44%EV -2.54%E -0.746%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.95%EV -3.30%E -0.989%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-26 00:05
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -2.54%E -0.746%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-25 23:45
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.95%EV -2.52%E -1.10%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.24%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.80%EV -3.01%E -0.900%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 00:00
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.95%EV -2.52%E -1.10%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.24%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.80%EV -3.01%E -0.900%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-25 23:55
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 23:15
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -5.49%E -2.46%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 22:55
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 22:25
Bovada2.21I 45.25%NM 42.56%EV -6.33%E -2.87%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 00:15
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 22:29
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 22:50
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 23:40
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.88%E -4.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-25 22:39
GTbets2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -5.91%E -2.66%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.84%EV -6.26%E -1.92%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.67%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 00:24
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 00:00
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 23:38
BetUS2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -5.49%E -2.46%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 00:19
BetAnything2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -5.49%E -2.46%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 00:19
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 23:44
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 23:44
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.22%EV -6.33%E -2.87%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.98%EV -7.70%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 00:15
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 23:55
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 23:59
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 23:59
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 23:55
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 00:00
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 23:55
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -5.49%E -2.46%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 23:54
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -5.91%E -2.66%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 23:40
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -5.91%E -2.66%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 23:40
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-25 23:45
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-25 23:39
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-26 00:05
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-26 00:05
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-26 00:05
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-26 00:05
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -11.00%E -5.24%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-25 22:30
Unibet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.21%EV -12.27%E -5.93%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.13%EV -8.84%E -2.78%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.67%EV -9.67%E -3.10%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-25 23:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-25 23:58
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-25 23:59
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.58%EV -11.00%E -5.24%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.39%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.03%EV -10.83%E -3.52%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-26 00:05
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 00:20
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.88%E -4.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-25 22:55
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.88%E -4.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-25 23:39
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 41.86%EV -8.03%E -3.70%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -8.80%E -2.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-25 23:55
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.88%E -4.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-25 23:55
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.88%E -4.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-26 00:00
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -11.00%E -5.24%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -8.80%E -2.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-26 00:09
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -11.00%E -5.24%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.10%EV -11.70%E -3.84%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-26 00:04
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.00%E -5.24%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.57%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-25 22:29
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -13.12%E -6.40%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -14.00%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.4%2026-02-25 22:49
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 42.64%EV -17.35%E -8.90%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.19%EV -15.44%E -5.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.17%EV -17.49%E -6.14%K -9.45%G +0.000%20.3%2026-02-25 23:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33%0.3%2026-02-26 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33%0.3%2026-02-26 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33%0.3%2026-02-26 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33%0.3%2026-02-26 00:20
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%1.5%2026-02-26 00:20