La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Grêmio v Atletico Mineiro
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Grêmio (Local)
Predicción 42.38%2.36momio equitativo
EV -2.52%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -1.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.35%42.39%42.38%44.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.192.202.3051.28%45.59%45.45%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Atletico Mineiro (Visitante)
Predicción 28.67%3.49momio equitativo
EV +1.19%
Ventaja +0.337%
Kelly +0.471%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.47%28.69%28.64%30.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.223.203.5333.90%31.02%31.25%28.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.95%3.45momio equitativo
EV -1.28%
Ventaja -0.374%
Kelly -0.530%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.41
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.20%28.92%28.98%29.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.203.203.4135.09%31.24%31.25%29.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.08%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.47%EV +1.19%E +0.337%K +0.471%G +0.006% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.44%EV -1.28%E -0.374%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-26 00:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.28%EV -5.91%E -2.66%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.61%EV -0.242%E -0.070%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-25 11:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.29%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -1.96%E -0.574%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.29%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -1.96%E -0.574%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 23:40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.60%EV -3.79%E -1.67%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44%EV -2.54%E -0.746%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.95%EV -3.30%E -0.989%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-26 00:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -2.54%E -0.746%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-25 23:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.95%EV -2.52%E -1.10%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.24%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.80%EV -3.01%E -0.900%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.95%EV -2.52%E -1.10%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.24%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.80%EV -3.01%E -0.900%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-25 23:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 23:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -5.49%E -2.46%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-25 22:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| Bovada | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.56%EV -6.33%E -2.87%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 00:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-25 22:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-25 22:50 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-25 23:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.88%E -4.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-25 22:39 |
| GTbets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -5.91%E -2.66%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.84%EV -6.26%E -1.92%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.67%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 00:24 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 23:38 |
| BetUS | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -5.49%E -2.46%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 00:19 |
| BetAnything | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -5.49%E -2.46%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 00:19 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-25 23:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-25 23:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.22%EV -6.33%E -2.87%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.98%EV -7.70%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-26 00:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 23:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 23:59 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 23:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 23:55 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| betPARX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 23:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -5.49%E -2.46%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-25 23:54 |
| Betsson | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -5.91%E -2.66%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-25 23:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -5.91%E -2.66%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-25 23:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-25 23:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-25 23:39 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-26 00:05 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-26 00:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-26 00:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-26 00:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -11.00%E -5.24%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-25 22:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.21%EV -12.27%E -5.93%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.13%EV -8.84%E -2.78%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.67%EV -9.67%E -3.10%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-25 23:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 23:58 |
| LeoVegas | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 23:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.58%EV -11.00%E -5.24%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.39%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 29.03%EV -10.83%E -3.52%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-26 00:05 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 00:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.88%E -4.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-25 22:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.88%E -4.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-25 23:39 |
| TABtouch | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.86%EV -8.03%E -3.70%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -8.80%E -2.79%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-25 23:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.88%E -4.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-25 23:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.88%E -4.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| Fliff | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -11.00%E -5.24%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -8.80%E -2.79%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-02-26 00:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -11.00%E -5.24%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.10%EV -11.70%E -3.84%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-02-26 00:04 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.00%E -5.24%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-02-25 22:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -13.12%E -6.40%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -14.00%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-02-25 22:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 42.64%EV -17.35%E -8.90%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.19%EV -15.44%E -5.23%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.17%EV -17.49%E -6.14%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-02-25 23:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.98% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33% | 0.3% | 2026-02-26 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.98% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33% | 0.3% | 2026-02-26 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.98% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33% | 0.3% | 2026-02-26 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.98% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33% | 0.3% | 2026-02-26 00:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.84% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41% | 1.5% | 2026-02-26 00:20 |