La scuola delle quote

Fluminense v Flamengo

Inizio: 2026-04-12 21:02 UTC

Finale: Fluminense 1–2 Flamengo

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

57 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Fluminense (Casa)

Previsione 30.17%3.31quota equa
EV +3.79%
Vantaggio +1.10%
Kelly +1.55%
Crescita +0.059%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.23%30.32%30.21%31.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.083.103.4435.71%32.47%32.26%29.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Flamengo (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.89%2.57quota equa
EV -0.836%
Vantaggio -0.328%
Kelly -0.539%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.84%38.82%38.83%41.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.402.402.5545.45%41.66%41.67%39.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.94%3.23quota equa
EV -1.92%
Vantaggio -0.605%
Kelly -0.883%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.17

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.08%30.86%30.95%32.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.632.983.003.1738.02%33.58%33.33%31.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet3.44I 29.07%NM 28.23%EV +3.79%E +1.10%K +1.55%G +0.059%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.14%EV -8.22%E -3.49%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63%EV -1.92%E -0.605%K -0.883%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 20:59
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.94%EV -1.94%E -0.598%K -0.864%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.16%EV -0.836%E -0.328%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.90%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-12 20:59
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.94%EV -1.94%E -0.598%K -0.864%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.16%EV -0.836%E -0.328%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.90%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-12 20:59
Pinnacle3.25I 30.77%NM 29.77%EV -1.94%E -0.598%K -0.864%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.33%EV -4.34%E -1.76%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.91%EV -3.15%E -1.01%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 20:59
LowVig.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.79%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.56%EV -6.28%E -2.61%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.65%EV -3.77%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 21:00
BetOnline.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.79%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.56%EV -6.28%E -2.61%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.65%EV -3.77%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 21:00
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 20:59
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 21:00
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 21:00
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.61%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 21:00
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -4.96%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 20:59
BetAnything3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -4.96%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 20:59
Bovada3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.96%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.33%EV -7.06%E -2.95%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 21:00
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.96%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 20:59
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.96%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 20:59
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.96%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 20:55
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.96%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 21:00
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.96%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 20:58
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.96%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 21:00
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.96%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 21:00
Bet Victor3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%EV -5.87%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%EV -3.46%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 21:00
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -5.87%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.02%EV -7.06%E -2.95%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 20:59
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 20:59
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 20:59
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 21:00
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 20:59
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.61%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 20:59
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 20:57
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 20:58
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -8.61%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 20:59
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 20:59
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 20:59
GTbets3.06I 32.68%NM 30.32%EV -7.68%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.02%EV -5.11%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.66%EV -9.34%E -3.19%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 20:58
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -5.89%E -2.43%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -7.80%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 21:00
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.36%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -10.89%E -3.78%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 20:59
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -8.61%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -11.82%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 21:00
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -8.61%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -11.82%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 20:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 21:00
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 20:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 20:59
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.08%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 20:59
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 21:00
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 21:00
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 20:59
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.89%E -3.78%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 20:59
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -12.50%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -10.89%E -3.78%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 21:00
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -11.00%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -0.836%E -0.328%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 20:59
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -11.00%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.08%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 20:59
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -11.00%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 20:59
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -11.00%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.45%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 20:59
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -11.00%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -8.61%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 20:59
Betclic (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.30%EV -11.00%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.87%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 20:57
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -11.00%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.39%EV -12.50%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 20:59
PMU (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -11.00%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -14.91%E -5.42%K -8.52%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 21:00
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -12.50%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.86%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 21:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -13.11%E -4.55%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.46%EV -14.45%E -6.57%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.17%EV -18.62%E -7.08%K -11.43%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-12 20:58
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -15.52%E -5.54%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -12.50%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.41%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-12 20:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-04-12 21:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-04-12 21:00
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.18%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%1.3%2026-04-12 21:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.43%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.76%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81%1.4%2026-04-12 21:00
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.19%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%2.0%2026-04-12 21:00