مدرسة الاحتمالات

Fluminense v Flamengo

البداية: 2026-04-12 21:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Fluminense 1–2 Flamengo

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Fluminense (المضيف)

التنبؤ 30.17%3.31السعر العادل
EV +3.79%
الأفضلية +1.10%
Kelly +1.55%
النمو +0.059%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.44

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.23%30.32%30.21%31.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.083.103.4435.71%32.47%32.26%29.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Flamengo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.89%2.57السعر العادل
EV -0.836%
الأفضلية -0.328%
Kelly -0.539%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.84%38.82%38.83%41.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.402.402.5545.45%41.66%41.67%39.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.94%3.23السعر العادل
EV -1.92%
الأفضلية -0.605%
Kelly -0.883%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.17

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.08%30.86%30.95%32.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.632.983.003.1738.02%33.58%33.33%31.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet3.44I 29.07%NM 28.23%EV +3.79%E +1.10%K +1.55%G +0.059%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.14%EV -8.22%E -3.49%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63%EV -1.92%E -0.605%K -0.883%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 20:59
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.94%EV -1.94%E -0.598%K -0.864%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.16%EV -0.836%E -0.328%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.90%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-12 20:59
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.94%EV -1.94%E -0.598%K -0.864%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.16%EV -0.836%E -0.328%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.90%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-12 20:59
Pinnacle3.25I 30.77%NM 29.77%EV -1.94%E -0.598%K -0.864%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.33%EV -4.34%E -1.76%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.91%EV -3.15%E -1.01%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 20:59
LowVig.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.79%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.56%EV -6.28%E -2.61%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.65%EV -3.77%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 21:00
BetOnline.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.79%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.56%EV -6.28%E -2.61%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.65%EV -3.77%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 21:00
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 20:59
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 21:00
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 21:00
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.61%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 21:00
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -4.96%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 20:59
BetAnything3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -4.96%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 20:59
Bovada3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.96%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.33%EV -7.06%E -2.95%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 21:00
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.96%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 20:59
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.96%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 20:59
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.96%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 20:55
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.96%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 21:00
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.96%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 20:58
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.96%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 21:00
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.96%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 21:00
Bet Victor3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%EV -5.87%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%EV -3.46%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 21:00
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -5.87%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.02%EV -7.06%E -2.95%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 20:59
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 20:59
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 20:59
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 21:00
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 20:59
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.61%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 20:59
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 20:57
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 20:58
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -8.61%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 20:59
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 20:59
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 20:59
GTbets3.06I 32.68%NM 30.32%EV -7.68%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.02%EV -5.11%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.66%EV -9.34%E -3.19%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 20:58
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -5.89%E -2.43%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -7.80%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 21:00
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.36%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -10.89%E -3.78%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 20:59
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -8.61%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -11.82%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 21:00
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -8.61%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -11.82%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 20:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 21:00
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 20:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 20:59
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.08%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 20:59
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 21:00
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 21:00
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 20:59
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.89%E -3.78%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 20:59
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -12.50%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -10.89%E -3.78%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 21:00
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -11.00%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -0.836%E -0.328%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 20:59
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -11.00%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.08%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 20:59
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -11.00%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 20:59
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -11.00%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.45%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 20:59
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -11.00%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -8.61%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 20:59
Betclic (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.30%EV -11.00%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.87%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 20:57
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -11.00%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.39%EV -12.50%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 20:59
PMU (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -11.00%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -14.91%E -5.42%K -8.52%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 21:00
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -12.50%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.86%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 21:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -13.11%E -4.55%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.46%EV -14.45%E -6.57%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.17%EV -18.62%E -7.08%K -11.43%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-12 20:58
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -15.52%E -5.54%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -12.50%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.41%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-12 20:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-04-12 21:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-04-12 21:00
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.18%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%1.3%2026-04-12 21:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.43%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.76%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81%1.4%2026-04-12 21:00
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.19%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%2.0%2026-04-12 21:00