Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Fluminense v Corinthians

Начало: 2026-04-02 00:30 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

55 букмекерских контор (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Fluminense (Хозяева)

Прогноз 52.50%1.90справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.31%
Преимущество -0.695%
Kelly -1.49%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.88

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
50.79%52.62%52.42%55.46%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.681.771.751.8859.52%56.54%57.14%53.19%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Corinthians (Гости)

Прогноз 19.37%5.16справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.61%
Преимущество +0.855%
Kelly +1.05%
Рост +0.048%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.40

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.67%19.40%19.30%21.87%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.254.874.855.4023.53%20.53%20.62%18.52%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 28.13%3.55справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.427%
Преимущество +0.119%
Kelly +0.166%
Рост +0.001%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.57

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.28%27.98%28.29%29.42%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.313.303.5732.26%30.21%30.30%28.01%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Fluminense (Хозяева): 52.50%; Corinthians (Гости): 19.37%; Ничья: 28.13%. Для исхода «Corinthians (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.16. 10 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.40, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +4.61%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (55 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.46%EV -9.71%E -5.64%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.67%EV +4.61%E +0.855%K +1.05%G +0.048%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -0.136%E -0.038%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.37%EV -4.98%E -2.75%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.22%EV +2.68%E +0.505%K +0.623%G +0.017%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-02 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.37%EV -4.98%E -2.75%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.22%EV +2.68%E +0.505%K +0.623%G +0.017%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-02 00:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV +0.740%E +0.142%K +0.176%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:10
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV +0.740%E +0.142%K +0.176%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:10
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV +0.740%E +0.142%K +0.176%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV +0.740%E +0.142%K +0.176%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:10
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV +0.740%E +0.142%K +0.176%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:10
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV +0.740%E +0.142%K +0.176%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:09
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV +0.740%E +0.142%K +0.176%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:09
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.19%EV -7.08%E -4.00%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.28%EV -0.229%E -0.044%K -0.055%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 00:18
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.19%EV -7.08%E -4.00%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.28%EV -0.229%E -0.044%K -0.055%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 00:20
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.19%EV -7.08%E -4.00%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.28%EV -0.229%E -0.044%K -0.055%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 00:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.03%EV -3.93%E -2.15%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.67%EV -1.20%E -0.235%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 00:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.03%EV -3.93%E -2.15%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.67%EV -1.20%E -0.235%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 00:20
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.52%EV -8.66%E -4.98%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -1.20%E -0.235%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 00:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.43%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13%EV -1.20%E -0.235%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.44%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 00:10
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -9.71%E -5.64%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -1.20%E -0.235%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 00:10
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.49%EV -1.31%E -0.695%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 19.09%EV -1.78%E -0.351%K -0.437%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.42%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-02 00:10
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -8.66%E -4.98%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -3.13%E -0.627%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 23:40
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.13%E -0.627%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-01 23:45
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.95%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -3.13%E -0.627%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-02 00:20
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -10.76%E -6.33%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -3.13%E -0.627%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-02 00:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.73%EV -11.81%E -7.03%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -3.13%E -0.627%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-02 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.73%EV -11.81%E -7.03%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -3.13%E -0.627%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-02 00:10
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -10.76%E -6.33%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -4.10%E -0.829%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -0.136%E -0.038%K -0.053%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 18:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -5.07%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-02 00:09
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.91%EV -3.93%E -2.15%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.96%EV -6.04%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.12%EV +0.427%E +0.119%K +0.166%G +0.001%3.3%2026-04-02 00:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.45%EV -6.56%E -3.68%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.25%EV -6.04%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 00:20
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -5.51%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 00:19
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 00:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.07%EV -5.51%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:20
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-02 00:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-02 00:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-02 00:20
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-02 00:20
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.55%EV -3.93%E -2.15%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -7.98%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 00:14
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -7.98%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-01 23:45
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.05%EV -4.98%E -2.75%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 19.92%EV -8.37%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.04%EV -5.48%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 00:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.66%EV -3.93%E -2.15%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -8.95%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 00:15
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.35%EV -4.46%E -2.45%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -8.95%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 00:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -5.51%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -5.51%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:10
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -5.51%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:10
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -5.51%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:09
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -5.51%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-02 00:20
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.70%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.79%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-02 00:15
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -5.51%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -12.82%E -2.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 00:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.96%EV -7.61%E -4.32%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -12.82%E -2.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-02 00:20
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -4.46%E -2.45%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -14.76%E -3.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 00:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.58%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -14.76%E -3.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.15%EV -10.83%E -3.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-02 00:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.48%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.24%EV -14.76%E -3.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-02 00:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.06%EV -4.46%E -2.45%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -16.70%E -3.88%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 00:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.68%EV -10.76%E -6.33%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.43%EV -16.70%E -3.88%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.89%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-02 00:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.79%EV -3.93%E -2.15%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -17.66%E -4.16%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 00:20
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.88%0.4%2026-04-02 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.88%0.4%2026-04-02 00:20
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.88%0.4%2026-04-02 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%0.6%2026-04-02 00:20
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.73%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.26%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.00%1.4%2026-04-02 00:20
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.37%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.47%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.16%2.9%2026-04-02 00:20