La escuela de los momios

Fluminense v Corinthians

Inicio: 2026-04-02 00:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Fluminense (Local)

Predicción 52.50%1.90momio equitativo
EV -1.31%
Ventaja -0.695%
Kelly -1.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.79%52.62%52.42%55.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.771.751.8859.52%56.54%57.14%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Corinthians (Visitante)

Predicción 19.37%5.16momio equitativo
EV +4.61%
Ventaja +0.855%
Kelly +1.05%
Crecimiento +0.048%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.67%19.40%19.30%21.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.254.874.855.4023.53%20.53%20.62%18.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.13%3.55momio equitativo
EV +0.427%
Ventaja +0.119%
Kelly +0.166%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.28%27.98%28.29%29.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.313.303.5732.26%30.21%30.30%28.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.46%EV -9.71%E -5.64%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.67%EV +4.61%E +0.855%K +1.05%G +0.048%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -0.136%E -0.038%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 23:35
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.37%EV -4.98%E -2.75%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.22%EV +2.68%E +0.505%K +0.623%G +0.017%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-02 00:10
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 53.37%EV -4.98%E -2.75%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.22%EV +2.68%E +0.505%K +0.623%G +0.017%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-02 00:10
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV +0.740%E +0.142%K +0.176%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:10
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV +0.740%E +0.142%K +0.176%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:10
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV +0.740%E +0.142%K +0.176%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:10
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV +0.740%E +0.142%K +0.176%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:10
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV +0.740%E +0.142%K +0.176%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:10
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV +0.740%E +0.142%K +0.176%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:09
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV +0.740%E +0.142%K +0.176%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:09
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 53.19%EV -7.08%E -4.00%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.28%EV -0.229%E -0.044%K -0.055%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 00:18
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.19%EV -7.08%E -4.00%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.28%EV -0.229%E -0.044%K -0.055%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 00:20
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 53.19%EV -7.08%E -4.00%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.28%EV -0.229%E -0.044%K -0.055%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 00:20
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.03%EV -3.93%E -2.15%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.67%EV -1.20%E -0.235%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 00:20
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.03%EV -3.93%E -2.15%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.67%EV -1.20%E -0.235%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 00:20
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.52%EV -8.66%E -4.98%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -1.20%E -0.235%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 00:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.43%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13%EV -1.20%E -0.235%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.44%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 00:10
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -9.71%E -5.64%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -1.20%E -0.235%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 00:10
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.49%EV -1.31%E -0.695%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 19.09%EV -1.78%E -0.351%K -0.437%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.42%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-02 00:10
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -8.66%E -4.98%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -3.13%E -0.627%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 23:40
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.13%E -0.627%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-01 23:45
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 52.95%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -3.13%E -0.627%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-02 00:20
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -10.76%E -6.33%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -3.13%E -0.627%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-02 00:10
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.73%EV -11.81%E -7.03%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -3.13%E -0.627%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-02 00:10
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.73%EV -11.81%E -7.03%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -3.13%E -0.627%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-02 00:10
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -10.76%E -6.33%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -4.10%E -0.829%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -0.136%E -0.038%K -0.053%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 18:35
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -5.07%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-02 00:09
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.91%EV -3.93%E -2.15%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.96%EV -6.04%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.12%EV +0.427%E +0.119%K +0.166%G +0.001%3.3%2026-04-02 00:20
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.45%EV -6.56%E -3.68%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.25%EV -6.04%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 00:20
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -5.51%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 00:19
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 00:20
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.07%EV -5.51%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:20
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-02 00:19
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-02 00:20
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-02 00:20
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-02 00:20
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.55%EV -3.93%E -2.15%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -7.98%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 00:14
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -7.98%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-01 23:45
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 52.05%EV -4.98%E -2.75%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 19.92%EV -8.37%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.04%EV -5.48%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 00:14
Codere (IT)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.66%EV -3.93%E -2.15%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -8.95%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 00:15
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.35%EV -4.46%E -2.45%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -8.95%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 00:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -5.51%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -5.51%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:10
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -5.51%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:10
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -5.51%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:09
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -5.51%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-02 00:20
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.70%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.79%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-02 00:15
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -5.51%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -12.82%E -2.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 00:19
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.96%EV -7.61%E -4.32%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -12.82%E -2.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-02 00:20
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -4.46%E -2.45%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -14.76%E -3.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 00:20
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.58%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -14.76%E -3.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.15%EV -10.83%E -3.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-02 00:19
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.48%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.24%EV -14.76%E -3.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-02 00:15
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.06%EV -4.46%E -2.45%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -16.70%E -3.88%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 00:20
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.68%EV -10.76%E -6.33%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.43%EV -16.70%E -3.88%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.89%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-02 00:19
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.79%EV -3.93%E -2.15%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -17.66%E -4.16%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 00:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.88%0.4%2026-04-02 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.88%0.4%2026-04-02 00:20
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.88%0.4%2026-04-02 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%0.6%2026-04-02 00:20
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.73%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.26%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.00%1.4%2026-04-02 00:20
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.37%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.47%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.16%2.9%2026-04-02 00:20