A Escola das Odds

Fluminense v Chapecoense

Início: 2026-04-26 23:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Fluminense (Local)

Previsão 73.27%1.36odd justa
EV -2.56%
Vantagem -1.92%
Kelly -7.74%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.93%73.24%73.18%74.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.211.271.271.3382.64%78.76%78.74%75.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chapecoense (Visitante)

Previsão 9.27%10.79odd justa
EV +8.90%
Vantagem +0.758%
Kelly +0.828%
Crescimento +0.074%

pressupondo odds máximas de 11.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.10%9.26%9.35%11.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
7.2510.0010.0011.7513.79%10.01%10.00%8.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 17.47%5.73odd justa
EV -2.20%
Vantagem -0.392%
Kelly -0.477%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.63%17.50%17.47%19.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.505.245.255.6022.22%19.09%19.05%17.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 74.91%EV -6.95%E -5.47%K -25.75%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 8.10%EV +8.90%E +0.758%K +0.828%G +0.074%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.99%EV -2.20%E -0.392%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 22:50
BetOnline.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 74.91%EV -6.95%E -5.47%K -25.75%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 8.10%EV +8.90%E +0.758%K +0.828%G +0.074%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.99%EV -2.20%E -0.392%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 22:49
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 74.91%EV -6.95%E -5.47%K -25.75%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 8.10%EV +8.90%E +0.758%K +0.828%G +0.074%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.99%EV -2.20%E -0.392%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 02:20
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 74.78%EV -6.95%E -5.47%K -25.75%G +0.000%11.59I 8.63%NM 8.19%EV +7.42%E +0.640%K +0.701%G +0.052%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.02%EV -2.54%E -0.456%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:05
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.96%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.74%EV +1.95%E +0.177%K +0.195%G +0.004%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.29%EV -2.89%E -0.521%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 19:30
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.97%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.68%EV +1.95%E +0.177%K +0.195%G +0.004%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -3.94%E -0.717%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 18:15
Bovada1.27I 78.74%NM 74.16%EV -6.95%E -5.47%K -25.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +1.95%E +0.177%K +0.195%G +0.004%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.28%EV -4.82%E -0.884%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 02:00
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 73.98%EV -8.42%E -6.73%K -33.67%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +1.95%E +0.177%K +0.195%G +0.004%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 12:44
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 73.14%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%10.87I 9.20%NM 8.68%EV +0.747%E +0.069%K +0.076%G +0.001%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.18%EV -9.36%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 00:10
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 73.07%EV -2.56%E -1.92%K -7.74%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.26%EV -2.68%E -0.255%K -0.282%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.67%EV -3.94%E -0.717%K -0.876%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-20 14:19
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 73.07%EV -2.56%E -1.92%K -7.74%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.26%EV -2.68%E -0.255%K -0.282%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.67%EV -3.94%E -0.717%K -0.876%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-20 14:20
DraftKings1.27I 78.74%NM 73.97%EV -6.95%E -5.47%K -25.75%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -2.68%E -0.255%K -0.282%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -3.94%E -0.717%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 23:34
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.95%E -5.47%K -25.75%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -2.68%E -0.255%K -0.282%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -7.44%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 19:24
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -8.42%E -6.73%K -33.67%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -2.68%E -0.255%K -0.282%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -3.94%E -0.717%K -0.876%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 18:59
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.73%EV -6.95%E -5.47%K -25.75%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.80%EV -2.68%E -0.255%K -0.282%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.67%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 18:14
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.42%E -6.73%K -33.67%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -2.68%E -0.255%K -0.282%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.54%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 15:09
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.56%EV -8.42%E -6.73%K -33.67%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -2.68%E -0.255%K -0.282%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -9.18%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 06:50
Casumo1.29I 77.52%NM 72.87%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -7.44%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 14:20
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.87%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -7.44%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 14:19
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.87%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -7.44%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 14:19
Unibet (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.87%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -7.44%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 14:19
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.87%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -7.44%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 14:20
betPARX1.29I 77.52%NM 72.87%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -7.44%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 14:20
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:49
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 73.02%EV -6.22%E -4.86%K -22.21%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -7.44%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 10:54
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -6.22%E -4.86%K -22.21%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 19:00
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -6.22%E -4.86%K -22.21%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 23:54
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -12.67%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.05%EV -6.95%E -5.47%K -25.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.28%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 10:55
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 72.25%EV -6.22%E -4.86%K -22.21%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -12.67%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 23:35
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 73.08%EV -7.68%E -6.10%K -29.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -9.18%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:20
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 73.24%EV -8.42%E -6.73%K -33.67%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -9.18%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 10:54
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.24%EV -8.42%E -6.73%K -33.67%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -9.18%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 10:55
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.42%E -6.73%K -33.67%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.67%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 20:35
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.42%E -6.73%K -33.67%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.67%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 20:34
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.42%E -6.73%K -33.67%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.67%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 20:35
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.42%E -6.73%K -33.67%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.67%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 20:35
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.42%E -6.73%K -33.67%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.67%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.78%EV -10.61%E -8.70%K -48.25%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.76%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.46%EV -21.41%E -4.76%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-21 18:59
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.96%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.60%EV -9.17%E -0.936%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -5.69%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 20:15
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 72.96%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.60%EV -9.17%E -0.936%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -5.69%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 20:15
Codere (IT)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.12%EV -6.22%E -4.86%K -22.21%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.55%EV -9.17%E -0.936%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -5.69%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 11:55
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.86%EV -4.02%E -3.07%K -12.97%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.79%EV -9.63%E -0.988%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -3.94%E -0.717%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 12:24
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -11.95%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -3.94%E -0.717%K -0.876%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:28
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -11.95%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -3.94%E -0.717%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 12:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.23%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -11.95%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 20:40
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 73.75%EV -9.15%E -7.38%K -38.12%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -11.95%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -3.94%E -0.717%K -0.876%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 18:59
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 72.96%EV -9.88%E -8.03%K -42.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV -11.95%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.60%EV -10.93%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-20 14:19
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 72.96%EV -9.88%E -8.03%K -42.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV -11.95%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.60%EV -10.93%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-20 14:19
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -10.61%E -8.70%K -48.25%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -11.95%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -12.67%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-21 19:00
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 71.91%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -14.27%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -9.18%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.91%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -14.27%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -9.18%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 20:40
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -16.58%E -1.84%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -3.94%E -0.717%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 16:34
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 71.33%EV -9.88%E -8.03%K -42.97%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.20%EV -20.29%E -2.36%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.47%EV -17.04%E -3.59%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-23 11:50
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 71.38%EV -9.88%E -8.03%K -42.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.33%EV -21.22%E -2.50%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -16.17%E -3.37%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 11:53
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 71.55%EV -10.61%E -8.70%K -48.25%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.27%EV -21.22%E -2.50%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.18%EV -16.17%E -3.37%K -4.25%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-23 23:30
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 71.52%EV -9.15%E -7.38%K -38.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -25.85%E -3.23%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.39%EV -10.93%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-23 11:49
Winamax (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 69.93%EV -11.35%E -9.38%K -54.04%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 11.67%EV -32.80%E -4.52%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.40%EV -19.66%E -4.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-23 11:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.01%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37%1.0%2026-04-24 02:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.01%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37%1.0%2026-04-24 02:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.01%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37%1.0%2026-04-24 02:30
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 74.99%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.74%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.27%3.4%2026-04-24 02:15
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 74.97%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.06%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.97%3.4%2026-04-24 03:00
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 75.02%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.64%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.33%4.1%2026-04-24 02:10