مدرسة الاحتمالات

Fluminense v Chapecoense

البداية: 2026-04-26 23:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Fluminense (المضيف)

التنبؤ 73.27%1.36السعر العادل
EV -2.56%
الأفضلية -1.92%
Kelly -7.74%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
69.93%73.24%73.18%74.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.211.271.271.3382.64%78.76%78.74%75.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Chapecoense (الضيف)

التنبؤ 9.27%10.79السعر العادل
EV +8.90%
الأفضلية +0.758%
Kelly +0.828%
النمو +0.074%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 11.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
8.10%9.26%9.35%11.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
7.2510.0010.0011.7513.79%10.01%10.00%8.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 17.47%5.73السعر العادل
EV -2.20%
الأفضلية -0.392%
Kelly -0.477%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.63%17.50%17.47%19.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.245.255.6022.22%19.09%19.05%17.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 74.91%EV -6.95%E -5.47%K -25.75%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 8.10%EV +8.90%E +0.758%K +0.828%G +0.074%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.99%EV -2.20%E -0.392%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 22:50
BetOnline.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 74.91%EV -6.95%E -5.47%K -25.75%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 8.10%EV +8.90%E +0.758%K +0.828%G +0.074%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.99%EV -2.20%E -0.392%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 22:49
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 74.91%EV -6.95%E -5.47%K -25.75%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 8.10%EV +8.90%E +0.758%K +0.828%G +0.074%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.99%EV -2.20%E -0.392%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 02:20
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 74.78%EV -6.95%E -5.47%K -25.75%G +0.000%11.59I 8.63%NM 8.19%EV +7.42%E +0.640%K +0.701%G +0.052%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.02%EV -2.54%E -0.456%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:05
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.96%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.74%EV +1.95%E +0.177%K +0.195%G +0.004%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.29%EV -2.89%E -0.521%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 19:30
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.97%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.68%EV +1.95%E +0.177%K +0.195%G +0.004%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -3.94%E -0.717%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 18:15
Bovada1.27I 78.74%NM 74.16%EV -6.95%E -5.47%K -25.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +1.95%E +0.177%K +0.195%G +0.004%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.28%EV -4.82%E -0.884%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 02:00
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 73.98%EV -8.42%E -6.73%K -33.67%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +1.95%E +0.177%K +0.195%G +0.004%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 12:44
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 73.14%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%10.87I 9.20%NM 8.68%EV +0.747%E +0.069%K +0.076%G +0.001%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.18%EV -9.36%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 00:10
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 73.07%EV -2.56%E -1.92%K -7.74%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.26%EV -2.68%E -0.255%K -0.282%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.67%EV -3.94%E -0.717%K -0.876%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-20 14:19
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 73.07%EV -2.56%E -1.92%K -7.74%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.26%EV -2.68%E -0.255%K -0.282%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.67%EV -3.94%E -0.717%K -0.876%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-20 14:20
DraftKings1.27I 78.74%NM 73.97%EV -6.95%E -5.47%K -25.75%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -2.68%E -0.255%K -0.282%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -3.94%E -0.717%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 23:34
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.95%E -5.47%K -25.75%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -2.68%E -0.255%K -0.282%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -7.44%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 19:24
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -8.42%E -6.73%K -33.67%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -2.68%E -0.255%K -0.282%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -3.94%E -0.717%K -0.876%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 18:59
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.73%EV -6.95%E -5.47%K -25.75%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.80%EV -2.68%E -0.255%K -0.282%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.67%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 18:14
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.42%E -6.73%K -33.67%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -2.68%E -0.255%K -0.282%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.54%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 15:09
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.56%EV -8.42%E -6.73%K -33.67%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -2.68%E -0.255%K -0.282%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -9.18%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 06:50
Casumo1.29I 77.52%NM 72.87%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -7.44%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 14:20
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.87%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -7.44%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 14:19
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.87%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -7.44%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 14:19
Unibet (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.87%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -7.44%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 14:19
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.87%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -7.44%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 14:20
betPARX1.29I 77.52%NM 72.87%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -7.44%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 14:20
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:49
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 73.02%EV -6.22%E -4.86%K -22.21%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -7.44%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 10:54
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -6.22%E -4.86%K -22.21%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 19:00
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -6.22%E -4.86%K -22.21%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 23:54
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -12.67%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.05%EV -6.95%E -5.47%K -25.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.28%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 10:55
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 72.25%EV -6.22%E -4.86%K -22.21%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -12.67%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 23:35
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 73.08%EV -7.68%E -6.10%K -29.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -9.18%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:20
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 73.24%EV -8.42%E -6.73%K -33.67%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -9.18%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 10:54
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.24%EV -8.42%E -6.73%K -33.67%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -9.18%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 10:55
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.42%E -6.73%K -33.67%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.67%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 20:35
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.42%E -6.73%K -33.67%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.67%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 20:34
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.42%E -6.73%K -33.67%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.67%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 20:35
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.42%E -6.73%K -33.67%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.67%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 20:35
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.42%E -6.73%K -33.67%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.67%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.78%EV -10.61%E -8.70%K -48.25%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.76%EV -7.32%E -0.732%K -0.813%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.46%EV -21.41%E -4.76%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-21 18:59
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.96%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.60%EV -9.17%E -0.936%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -5.69%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 20:15
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 72.96%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.60%EV -9.17%E -0.936%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -5.69%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 20:15
Codere (IT)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.12%EV -6.22%E -4.86%K -22.21%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.55%EV -9.17%E -0.936%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -5.69%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 11:55
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.86%EV -4.02%E -3.07%K -12.97%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.79%EV -9.63%E -0.988%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -3.94%E -0.717%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 12:24
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -11.95%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -3.94%E -0.717%K -0.876%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:28
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -11.95%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -3.94%E -0.717%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 12:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.23%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -11.95%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 20:40
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 73.75%EV -9.15%E -7.38%K -38.12%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -11.95%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -3.94%E -0.717%K -0.876%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 18:59
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 72.96%EV -9.88%E -8.03%K -42.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV -11.95%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.60%EV -10.93%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-20 14:19
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 72.96%EV -9.88%E -8.03%K -42.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV -11.95%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.60%EV -10.93%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-20 14:19
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -10.61%E -8.70%K -48.25%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -11.95%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -12.67%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-21 19:00
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 71.91%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -14.27%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -9.18%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.91%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -14.27%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -9.18%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 20:40
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -16.58%E -1.84%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -3.94%E -0.717%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 16:34
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 71.33%EV -9.88%E -8.03%K -42.97%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.20%EV -20.29%E -2.36%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.47%EV -17.04%E -3.59%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-23 11:50
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 71.38%EV -9.88%E -8.03%K -42.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.33%EV -21.22%E -2.50%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -16.17%E -3.37%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 11:53
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 71.55%EV -10.61%E -8.70%K -48.25%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.27%EV -21.22%E -2.50%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.18%EV -16.17%E -3.37%K -4.25%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-23 23:30
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 71.52%EV -9.15%E -7.38%K -38.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -25.85%E -3.23%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.39%EV -10.93%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-23 11:49
Winamax (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 69.93%EV -11.35%E -9.38%K -54.04%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 11.67%EV -32.80%E -4.52%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.40%EV -19.66%E -4.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-23 11:49
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.01%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37%1.0%2026-04-24 02:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.01%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37%1.0%2026-04-24 02:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.01%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37%1.0%2026-04-24 02:30
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 74.99%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.74%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.27%3.4%2026-04-24 02:15
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 74.97%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.06%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.97%3.4%2026-04-24 03:00
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 75.02%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.64%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.33%4.1%2026-04-24 02:10