L’École des cotes

Fluminense v Bahia

2026-07-30 00:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fluminense (Local)

Prévision 52.59%1.90cote équitable
EV -0.608%
Avantage -0.322%
Kelly -0.683%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.16%52.53%52.62%53.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.781.791.8961.73%56.19%55.87%52.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bahia (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.80%4.59cote équitable
EV -2.33%
Avantage -0.519%
Kelly -0.669%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.85%21.88%21.77%23.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.184.204.4826.67%23.93%23.81%22.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.61%3.90cote équitable
EV -2.68%
Avantage -0.706%
Kelly -0.958%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.66%25.59%25.61%26.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.613.603.8030.77%27.69%27.78%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 51.35%EV -0.608%E -0.322%K -0.683%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%EV -8.43%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -2.68%E -0.706%K -0.958%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-20 10:45
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 51.35%EV -0.608%E -0.322%K -0.683%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%EV -8.43%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -2.68%E -0.706%K -0.958%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-20 10:45
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.26%EV -3.76%E -2.06%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.25%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -3.96%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 17:50
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.08%EV -3.76%E -2.06%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.16%EV -6.25%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -5.24%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-23 16:25
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -3.76%E -2.06%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -10.61%E -2.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.52%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 01:40
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -3.76%E -2.06%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -10.61%E -2.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.52%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 01:40
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -3.76%E -2.06%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -10.61%E -2.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.52%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 01:40
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -3.76%E -2.06%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -10.61%E -2.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.52%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 01:40
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -3.76%E -2.06%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -10.61%E -2.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.52%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 01:40
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -3.76%E -2.06%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -10.61%E -2.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.52%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 01:40
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 52.39%EV -4.29%E -2.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -6.25%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -3.96%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 08:00
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -4.29%E -2.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -12.79%E -3.20%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -6.52%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-21 01:40
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -4.29%E -2.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -12.79%E -3.20%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 01:40
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 53.00%EV -4.82%E -2.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.41%EV -2.33%E -0.519%K -0.669%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.58%EV -3.96%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -4.82%E -2.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -12.79%E -3.20%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-20 10:45
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -5.34%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.85%EV -5.60%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -5.24%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-23 15:00
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -5.34%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.85%EV -5.60%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -5.24%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-23 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -5.34%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.60%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 14:54
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -5.34%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.25%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-23 15:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -5.34%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.34%E -1.73%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 14:55
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -5.34%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.34%E -1.73%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 14:55
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -5.34%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.34%E -1.73%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 00:39
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -5.34%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.61%E -2.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 17:50
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -5.34%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.61%E -2.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 17:50
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.34%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.79%E -3.20%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 16:25
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.15%EV -5.87%E -3.28%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62%EV -4.07%E -0.925%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.23%EV -3.45%E -0.915%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 16:20
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.15%EV -5.87%E -3.28%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62%EV -4.07%E -0.925%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.23%EV -3.45%E -0.915%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 16:20
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 52.70%EV -5.87%E -3.28%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.74%EV -5.38%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.56%EV -5.50%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 00:05
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -6.39%E -3.59%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.09%EV -13.88%E -3.51%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -9.09%E -2.56%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-21 01:40
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -6.39%E -3.59%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.09%EV -13.88%E -3.51%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -9.09%E -2.56%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-21 01:40
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -6.39%E -3.59%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.09%EV -13.88%E -3.51%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -9.09%E -2.56%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-21 01:40
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -6.92%E -3.91%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -6.25%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 16:25
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -7.44%E -4.23%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -5.16%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.61%EV -6.78%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 16:09
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 53.55%EV -7.97%E -4.55%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.25%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -2.68%E -0.706%K -0.958%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 16:00
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.51%EV -7.97%E -4.55%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -5.16%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.96%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 00:35
betano_uk1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -7.97%E -4.55%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -4.07%E -0.925%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-23 18:09
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -7.97%E -4.55%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -4.07%E -0.925%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-23 18:10
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.97%E -4.55%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -2.98%E -0.670%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -9.09%E -2.56%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 14:00
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.97%E -4.55%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -2.98%E -0.670%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -9.09%E -2.56%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 14:00
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 52.57%EV -7.97%E -4.55%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -5.16%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 14:00
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.97%E -4.55%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.43%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 21:50
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.97%E -4.55%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.43%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 21:50
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.97%E -4.55%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.43%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 21:50
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.97%E -4.55%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.43%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 21:50
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.97%E -4.55%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.79%E -3.20%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 08:00
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.97%E -4.55%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.79%E -3.20%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-23 16:25
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -9.02%E -5.22%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.79%E -3.20%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-24 08:15
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 50.16%EV -9.02%E -5.22%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.14%EV -18.24%E -4.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -16.77%E -5.16%K -7.45%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-23 16:24
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.85%EV -11.65%E -6.94%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -13.88%E -3.51%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-25 16:10
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.22%EV -13.23%E -8.02%K -20.35%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.68%EV -11.70%E -2.89%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-25 06:45
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.15%EV -13.23%E -8.02%K -20.35%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.65%EV -11.70%E -2.89%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.20%EV -10.88%E -3.13%K -4.39%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-23 14:54
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.40%EV -14.81%E -9.14%K -23.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -18.24%E -4.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.97%EV -12.93%E -3.80%K -5.39%G +0.000%17.8%2026-07-25 16:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 52.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%13.5%2026-07-23 15:00