La escuela de los momios

Fluminense v Bahia

2026-07-30 00:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Fluminense (Local)

Predicción 52.56%1.90momio equitativo
EV -0.653%
Ventaja -0.346%
Kelly -0.734%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.16%52.54%52.60%53.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.781.791.8961.73%56.22%55.87%52.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bahia (Visitante)

Predicción 21.79%4.59momio equitativo
EV -2.37%
Ventaja -0.529%
Kelly -0.681%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.85%21.84%21.76%23.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.194.204.4826.67%23.87%23.81%22.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.64%3.90momio equitativo
EV -2.55%
Ventaja -0.672%
Kelly -0.912%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.66%25.62%25.64%26.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.613.603.8030.77%27.73%27.78%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 51.32%EV -0.653%E -0.346%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%EV -7.38%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%EV -3.84%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-26 03:29
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 51.32%EV -0.653%E -0.346%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%EV -7.38%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%EV -3.84%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-26 03:34
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.26%EV -3.81%E -2.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.29%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -3.84%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 17:50
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.08%EV -3.81%E -2.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.16%EV -6.29%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-23 16:25
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -3.81%E -2.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -10.65%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 01:40
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -3.81%E -2.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -10.65%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 01:40
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -3.81%E -2.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -10.65%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 01:40
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -3.81%E -2.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -10.65%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 01:40
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -3.81%E -2.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -10.65%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 01:40
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -3.81%E -2.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -10.65%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 01:40
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 52.39%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -6.29%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -3.84%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 08:00
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -10.65%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.68%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 03:29
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 53.00%EV -4.86%E -2.68%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.41%EV -2.37%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.58%EV -3.84%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 16:10
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 51.43%EV -4.86%E -2.68%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -10.65%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.68%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 03:29
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.85%EV -5.64%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-23 15:00
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.85%EV -5.64%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-23 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.64%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -7.68%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 14:54
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.29%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.68%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-23 15:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.38%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.68%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 14:55
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.38%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.68%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 14:55
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.38%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.68%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 00:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.65%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.68%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 03:29
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.65%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.68%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 17:50
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.65%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.68%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 17:50
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.83%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 16:25
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.15%EV -5.91%E -3.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62%EV -4.11%E -0.935%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.23%EV -3.32%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 16:20
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.15%EV -5.91%E -3.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62%EV -4.11%E -0.935%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.23%EV -3.32%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 16:20
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 52.70%EV -5.91%E -3.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.74%EV -5.42%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.56%EV -5.38%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 00:05
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -6.96%E -3.93%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -6.29%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.68%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 16:25
PMU (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.33%EV -6.96%E -3.93%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -12.83%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 03:29
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.33%EV -6.96%E -3.93%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -12.83%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 03:29
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.33%EV -6.96%E -3.93%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -12.83%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 03:29
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -7.49%E -4.25%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -5.20%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.61%EV -6.66%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 16:09
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 53.55%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.29%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -2.55%E -0.672%K -0.912%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 16:00
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -5.20%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.84%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 00:35
betano_uk1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -4.11%E -0.935%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.68%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-23 18:09
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -4.11%E -0.935%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.68%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-23 18:10
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -3.03%E -0.680%K -0.877%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -8.97%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 14:00
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -3.03%E -0.680%K -0.877%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -8.97%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 14:00
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 52.57%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -5.20%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 14:00
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.47%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 21:50
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.47%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 21:50
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.47%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 21:50
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.47%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 21:50
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.83%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -7.68%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 08:00
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.83%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-23 16:25
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -9.06%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.83%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -7.68%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-24 08:15
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 50.16%EV -9.06%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.14%EV -18.28%E -4.87%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -16.66%E -5.13%K -7.40%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-23 16:24
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.85%EV -11.69%E -6.96%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -13.92%E -3.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -7.68%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-25 16:10
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.22%EV -13.27%E -8.04%K -20.41%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.68%EV -11.74%E -2.90%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-25 06:45
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.15%EV -13.27%E -8.04%K -20.41%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.65%EV -11.74%E -2.90%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.20%EV -10.76%E -3.09%K -4.34%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-23 14:54
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.40%EV -14.85%E -9.16%K -23.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -18.28%E -4.87%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.97%EV -12.81%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%17.8%2026-07-25 16:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (1)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 52.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%13.5%2026-07-23 15:00