默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Flamengo v Vitoria

开赛时间: 2026-08-09 22:30 UTC

最终结果: Flamengo 2–0 Vitoria

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

58 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Flamengo (主队)

预测 75.28%1.33公平赔率
EV -0.631%
优势 -0.478%
Kelly -1.97%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.32

博彩公司预测分布
70.65%74.80%75.24%77.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.181.241.241.3284.75%80.85%80.65%75.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

Vitoria (客队)

预测 8.37%11.95公平赔率
EV +17.20%
优势 +1.23%
Kelly +1.32%
增长率 +0.228%

假设最高赔率为 14.00

博彩公司预测分布
6.88%8.68%8.51%13.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.1011.3911.0014.0014.08%8.78%9.09%7.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 16.35%6.12公平赔率
EV +2.18%
优势 +0.349%
Kelly +0.415%
增长率 +0.009%

假设最高赔率为 6.25

博彩公司预测分布
15.42%16.51%16.24%18.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.955.685.756.2520.20%17.61%17.39%16.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Flamengo (主队):75.28%;Vitoria (客队):8.37%;平局:16.35%。 对于“Vitoria (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为11.95。 当时有27家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为14.00,对应+17.20%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (58 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.70%EV -6.65%E -5.37%K -27.72%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.88%EV +17.20%E +1.23%K +1.32%G +0.228%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.42%EV +2.18%E +0.349%K +0.415%G +0.009%3.8%2026-08-09 21:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.70%EV -6.65%E -5.37%K -27.72%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.88%EV +17.20%E +1.23%K +1.32%G +0.228%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.42%EV +2.18%E +0.349%K +0.415%G +0.009%3.8%2026-08-09 21:50
SportsBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.38%EV -6.65%E -5.37%K -27.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV +8.83%E +0.679%K +0.736%G +0.065%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.33%EV -5.18%E -0.893%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 22:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.22%EV -4.39%E -3.46%K -16.28%G +0.000%12.65I 7.91%NM 7.65%EV +5.90%E +0.466%K +0.506%G +0.030%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.13%EV -1.91%E -0.318%K -0.382%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-09 22:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.22%EV -4.39%E -3.46%K -16.28%G +0.000%12.65I 7.91%NM 7.65%EV +5.90%E +0.466%K +0.506%G +0.030%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.13%EV -1.91%E -0.318%K -0.382%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-09 22:10
BetUS🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.22%EV -4.39%E -3.46%K -16.28%G +0.000%12.65I 7.91%NM 7.65%EV +5.90%E +0.466%K +0.506%G +0.030%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.13%EV -1.91%E -0.318%K -0.382%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-09 22:15
BetAnything🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.22%EV -4.39%E -3.46%K -16.28%G +0.000%12.65I 7.91%NM 7.65%EV +5.90%E +0.466%K +0.506%G +0.030%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.13%EV -1.91%E -0.318%K -0.382%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-09 22:09
1xBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.64%E -2.85%K -13.01%G +0.000%12.60I 7.94%NM 7.70%EV +5.48%E +0.435%K +0.473%G +0.026%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.55%EV -4.20%E -0.716%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-09 22:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.87%EV -8.16%E -6.69%K -37.08%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV +4.64%E +0.372%K +0.404%G +0.019%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.91%E -0.318%K -0.382%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 21:50
Casumo🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.87%EV -8.16%E -6.69%K -37.08%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV +4.64%E +0.372%K +0.404%G +0.019%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.91%E -0.318%K -0.382%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 21:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.87%EV -8.16%E -6.69%K -37.08%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV +4.64%E +0.372%K +0.404%G +0.019%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.91%E -0.318%K -0.382%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 21:50
Grosvenor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.87%EV -8.16%E -6.69%K -37.08%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV +4.64%E +0.372%K +0.404%G +0.019%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.91%E -0.318%K -0.382%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 21:50
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.87%EV -8.16%E -6.69%K -37.08%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV +4.64%E +0.372%K +0.404%G +0.019%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.91%E -0.318%K -0.382%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 21:49
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.87%EV -8.16%E -6.69%K -37.08%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV +4.64%E +0.372%K +0.404%G +0.019%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.91%E -0.318%K -0.382%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 21:50
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.63%EV -4.39%E -3.46%K -16.28%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV +4.64%E +0.372%K +0.404%G +0.019%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -19.07%E -3.85%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 22:25
Betsson🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.63%EV -4.39%E -3.46%K -16.28%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV +4.64%E +0.372%K +0.404%G +0.019%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -19.07%E -3.85%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 22:25
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.10%EV -5.15%E -4.09%K -19.80%G +0.000%12.36I 8.09%NM 7.76%EV +3.47%E +0.281%K +0.306%G +0.011%5.94I 16.84%NM 16.14%EV -2.89%E -0.486%K -0.585%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 22:25
GTbets🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.96%EV -6.65%E -5.37%K -27.72%G +0.000%12.26I 8.16%NM 7.68%EV +2.64%E +0.215%K +0.234%G +0.006%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.35%EV -5.83%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 22:20
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.93%EV -4.39%E -3.46%K -16.28%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.93%EV +0.459%E +0.038%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.15%EV -9.26%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 22:00
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.65%E -5.37%K -27.72%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +0.459%E +0.038%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -1.91%E -0.318%K -0.382%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 20:55
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.16%E -6.69%K -37.08%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +0.459%E +0.038%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -1.91%E -0.318%K -0.382%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 22:18
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.16%E -6.69%K -37.08%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +0.459%E +0.038%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -1.91%E -0.318%K -0.382%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 22:18
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.50%EV -5.90%E -4.72%K -23.60%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV +0.459%E +0.038%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -14.17%E -2.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 21:45
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.37%EV -8.91%E -7.36%K -42.44%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV +0.459%E +0.038%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV -5.18%E -0.893%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 22:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -8.16%E -6.69%K -37.08%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +0.459%E +0.038%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -10.08%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 21:40
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.63%EV -9.66%E -8.05%K -48.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV +0.459%E +0.038%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -18.26%E -3.65%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.63%EV -9.66%E -8.05%K -48.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV +0.459%E +0.038%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -18.26%E -3.65%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 22:20
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.35%EV -4.39%E -3.46%K -16.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV -7.91%E -0.719%K -0.791%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.95%EV -1.91%E -0.318%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 22:10
LeoVegas🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -5.90%E -4.72%K -23.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -7.91%E -0.719%K -0.791%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -1.91%E -0.318%K -0.382%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 19:30
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -5.90%E -4.72%K -23.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -7.91%E -0.719%K -0.791%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -1.91%E -0.318%K -0.382%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 16:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.24%EV -5.90%E -4.72%K -23.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.55%EV -7.91%E -0.719%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV -5.18%E -0.893%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 22:15
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.13%EV -5.90%E -4.72%K -23.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -7.91%E -0.719%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -6.00%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 22:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.13%EV -5.90%E -4.72%K -23.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -7.91%E -0.719%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -6.00%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.13%EV -5.90%E -4.72%K -23.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -7.91%E -0.719%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -6.00%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 22:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.13%EV -5.90%E -4.72%K -23.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -7.91%E -0.719%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -6.00%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 22:09
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -6.65%E -5.37%K -27.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -7.91%E -0.719%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -6.00%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 22:14
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -5.90%E -4.72%K -23.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -7.91%E -0.719%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -10.08%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 16:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -5.90%E -4.72%K -23.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -7.91%E -0.719%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -10.08%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 16:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.73%EV -6.65%E -5.37%K -27.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.42%EV -7.91%E -0.719%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -10.08%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 16:40
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -8.16%E -6.69%K -37.08%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -7.91%E -0.719%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.08%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-07 07:05
BetRivers🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.41%EV -8.91%E -7.36%K -42.44%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.30%EV -7.91%E -0.719%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV -8.45%E -1.51%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 21:49
TABtouch🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.66%E -8.05%K -48.32%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -7.91%E -0.719%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -8.45%E -1.51%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.66%E -8.05%K -48.32%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -7.91%E -0.719%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -8.45%E -1.51%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 21:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.65%EV -11.17%E -9.47%K -62.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -7.91%E -0.719%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -10.08%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-09 21:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.65%EV -11.17%E -9.47%K -62.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -7.91%E -0.719%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -10.08%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-09 21:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.65%EV -11.17%E -9.47%K -62.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -7.91%E -0.719%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -10.08%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-09 21:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.16%EV -8.91%E -7.36%K -42.44%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 8.75%EV -14.19%E -1.38%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -14.17%E -2.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 22:10
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.90%E -4.72%K -23.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -16.28%E -1.63%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.91%E -0.318%K -0.382%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 21:44
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -5.90%E -4.72%K -23.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -16.28%E -1.63%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -10.08%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 20:45
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -5.90%E -4.72%K -23.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -16.28%E -1.63%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -10.08%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 20:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -5.90%E -4.72%K -23.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -16.28%E -1.63%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -10.08%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 20:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -5.90%E -4.72%K -23.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -16.28%E -1.63%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -10.08%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 20:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 74.66%EV -10.42%E -8.75%K -54.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.88%EV -16.28%E -1.63%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.45%EV -11.72%E -2.17%K -2.66%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-09 22:14
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.53%EV -9.66%E -8.05%K -48.32%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.82%EV -16.28%E -1.63%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -18.26%E -3.65%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-09 21:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.33%EV -7.41%E -6.02%K -32.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.62%EV -20.47%E -2.15%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.04%EV -6.81%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 22:09
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -2.89%E -2.24%K -9.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -24.66%E -2.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -18.26%E -3.65%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 22:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.83%EV -8.91%E -7.36%K -42.44%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -24.66%E -2.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -10.08%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 22:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.65%EV -0.631%E -0.478%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.13%EV -40.56%E -5.71%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -6.00%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 22:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.26%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53%0.6%2026-08-09 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.26%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53%0.6%2026-08-09 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.26%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53%0.6%2026-08-09 22:25
Matchbook◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.87%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.18%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.1%2026-08-09 22:25
Kalshi◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.39%13.33I 7.50%NM 7.37%6.45I 15.50%NM 15.24%1.7%2026-08-09 22:25
Smarkets◎1.26I 79.37%NM 77.85%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.33%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.82%1.9%2026-08-09 22:25