La scuola delle quote

Flamengo v Vitoria

2026-08-09 22:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

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20 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Flamengo (Casa)

Previsione 73.39%1.36quota equa
EV -4.60%
Vantaggio -3.54%
Kelly -15.32%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
70.29%73.33%73.49%74.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.271.271.3081.97%78.93%78.74%76.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Vitoria (Trasferta)

Previsione 8.91%11.23quota equa
EV +2.45%
Vantaggio +0.213%
Kelly +0.233%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 11.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.26%8.98%8.69%11.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
7.509.8910.0011.5013.33%10.11%10.00%8.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 17.70%5.65quota equa
EV +1.80%
Vantaggio +0.313%
Kelly +0.379%
Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.53%17.69%17.83%18.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.605.135.005.7521.74%19.50%20.00%17.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (20 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 74.83%EV -6.80%E -5.35%K -25.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -2.01%E -0.183%K -0.201%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV +1.80%E +0.313%K +0.379%G +0.007%5.2%2026-07-27 15:30
SportsBet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.78%EV -6.80%E -5.35%K -25.18%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.26%EV +2.45%E +0.213%K +0.233%G +0.006%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.96%EV -0.854%E -0.153%K -0.186%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 15:30
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.97%EV -5.33%E -4.13%K -18.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.68%EV -2.01%E -0.183%K -0.201%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -2.62%E -0.477%K -0.583%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 15:30
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 74.10%EV -9.00%E -7.26%K -37.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -10.92%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -2.62%E -0.477%K -0.583%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-27 15:29
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.95%EV -4.60%E -3.54%K -15.32%G +0.000%11.30I 8.85%NM 8.51%EV +0.664%E +0.059%K +0.064%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.54%EV -2.98%E -0.544%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-27 16:45
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 73.05%EV -6.80%E -5.35%K -25.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.28%EV -10.92%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -7.05%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-27 15:30
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.40%EV -6.80%E -5.35%K -25.18%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.67%EV -4.24%E -0.394%K -0.434%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -7.94%E -1.53%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 16:30
Codere (IT)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.34%EV -6.06%E -4.74%K -21.66%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.85%EV -16.26%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -7.94%E -1.53%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 15:35
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 72.73%EV -7.53%E -5.98%K -28.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -15.37%E -1.62%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -7.94%E -1.53%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-27 18:55
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -5.33%E -4.13%K -18.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -10.92%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.48%E -2.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 17:50
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -5.33%E -4.13%K -18.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -10.92%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.48%E -2.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 17:50
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -5.33%E -4.13%K -18.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -10.92%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.48%E -2.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 17:50
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -5.33%E -4.13%K -18.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -10.92%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.48%E -2.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 17:50
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -10.47%E -8.58%K -47.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -10.92%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -11.48%E -2.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-27 15:30
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 71.02%EV -9.00%E -7.26%K -37.50%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.36%EV -30.96%E -3.99%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -11.48%E -2.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-27 18:50
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -5.33%E -4.13%K -18.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.51%EV -2.01%E -0.183%K -0.201%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.91%EV -12.36%E -2.50%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 15:35
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -5.33%E -4.13%K -18.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.51%EV -2.01%E -0.183%K -0.201%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.91%EV -12.36%E -2.50%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 16:24
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 70.41%EV -9.73%E -7.91%K -42.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.55%EV -33.19%E -4.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.04%EV -15.02%E -3.13%K -3.95%G +0.000%15.5%2026-07-27 16:50
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 70.29%EV -9.00%E -7.26%K -37.50%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 10.76%EV -27.84%E -3.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.95%EV -18.56%E -4.03%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-27 18:50
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 70.54%EV -10.47%E -8.58%K -47.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.76%EV -28.73%E -3.59%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.71%EV -18.56%E -4.03%K -5.16%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-27 15:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 70.05%7.80I 12.82%NM 10.96%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.99%17.0%2026-07-27 15:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-27 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-27 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-27 15:10