L’École des cotes

Flamengo v Sao Paulo

2026-07-26 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Flamengo (Local)

Prévision 63.95%1.56cote équitable
EV -1.52%
Avantage -0.984%
Kelly -2.81%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.77%63.88%63.86%65.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.391.471.471.5471.94%68.15%68.03%64.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sao Paulo (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.94%7.17cote équitable
EV +3.88%
Avantage +0.521%
Kelly +0.602%
Croissance +0.023%

avec la cote maximale 7.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.90%13.89%14.06%15.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.686.727.4518.18%14.97%14.87%13.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.11%4.52cote équitable
EV -2.96%
Avantage -0.673%
Kelly -0.872%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.39

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.58%22.22%22.08%23.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.144.104.3926.32%24.13%24.39%22.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 65.11%EV -5.35%E -3.62%K -11.15%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.94%EV +3.88%E +0.521%K +0.602%G +0.023%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.95%EV -2.96%E -0.673%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-26 02:25
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 65.18%EV -5.99%E -4.08%K -12.75%G +0.000%7.43I 13.46%NM 12.90%EV +3.60%E +0.485%K +0.560%G +0.020%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.93%EV -3.40%E -0.778%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-26 02:20
1xBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.79%EV -5.35%E -3.62%K -11.15%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.32%EV +0.394%E +0.055%K +0.064%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.89%EV -3.18%E -0.725%K -0.940%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 22:29
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 64.72%EV -5.99%E -4.08%K -12.75%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.31%EV -0.303%E -0.042%K -0.049%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.97%EV -4.28%E -0.989%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 16:09
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 64.72%EV -5.99%E -4.08%K -12.75%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.31%EV -0.303%E -0.042%K -0.049%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.97%EV -4.28%E -0.989%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 16:10
BetAnything1.47I 68.03%NM 64.72%EV -5.99%E -4.08%K -12.75%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.31%EV -0.303%E -0.042%K -0.049%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.97%EV -4.28%E -0.989%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 16:10
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 63.03%EV -1.52%E -0.984%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.87%EV -2.39%E -0.342%K -0.399%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-25 21:45
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.03%EV -1.52%E -0.984%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.87%EV -2.39%E -0.342%K -0.399%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-25 21:45
Bovada1.49I 67.11%NM 64.13%EV -4.71%E -3.16%K -9.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.65%EV -2.39%E -0.342%K -0.399%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 01:04
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 64.28%EV -5.35%E -3.62%K -11.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -2.39%E -0.342%K -0.399%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 21:30
betano_uk1.45I 68.97%NM 64.85%EV -7.27%E -5.01%K -16.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -2.39%E -0.342%K -0.399%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -4.28%E -0.989%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 21:35
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.85%EV -7.27%E -5.01%K -16.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -2.39%E -0.342%K -0.399%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -4.28%E -0.989%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 21:35
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 64.85%EV -7.27%E -5.01%K -16.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -2.39%E -0.342%K -0.399%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -4.28%E -0.989%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 00:59
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.74%EV -7.91%E -5.49%K -17.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.39%E -0.342%K -0.399%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -6.05%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 22:25
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 64.54%EV -7.27%E -5.01%K -16.16%G +0.000%6.91I 14.47%NM 13.54%EV -3.65%E -0.528%K -0.617%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 21.92%EV -5.61%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 11:24
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -4.71%E -3.16%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.55%EV -3.79%E -0.549%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -12.68%E -3.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 22:30
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -4.71%E -3.16%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.55%EV -3.79%E -0.549%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -12.68%E -3.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 22:29
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -9.19%E -6.47%K -21.88%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.50%EV -5.18%E -0.762%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 04:50
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.65%EV -4.07%E -2.72%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.14%EV -5.88%E -0.871%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 01:35
SportsBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.64%EV -4.71%E -3.16%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -5.88%E -0.871%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31%EV -6.05%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-24 03:40
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 63.13%EV -4.71%E -3.16%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV -5.88%E -0.871%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.13%EV -4.71%E -3.16%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV -5.88%E -0.871%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 19:30
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.13%EV -4.71%E -3.16%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV -5.88%E -0.871%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.13%EV -4.71%E -3.16%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV -5.88%E -0.871%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 19:30
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 63.13%EV -4.71%E -3.16%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV -5.88%E -0.871%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 19:30
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 63.13%EV -4.71%E -3.16%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV -5.88%E -0.871%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 19:30
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 62.92%EV -5.35%E -3.62%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -5.88%E -0.871%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 21:45
TABtouch1.48I 67.57%NM 62.92%EV -5.35%E -3.62%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -5.88%E -0.871%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -5.99%E -4.08%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -5.88%E -0.871%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 21:45
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 62.36%EV -5.35%E -3.62%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV -5.88%E -0.871%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -14.89%E -3.87%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 22:29
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 64.05%EV -5.99%E -4.08%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.05%EV -6.58%E -0.982%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 23:59
Codere (IT)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.91%EV -5.99%E -4.08%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.24%EV -7.97%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-24 09:35
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.40%EV -4.07%E -2.72%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.96%EV -4.28%E -0.989%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-23 06:54
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.40%EV -4.07%E -2.72%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.96%EV -4.28%E -0.989%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 03:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -4.07%E -2.72%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 12:09
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 63.62%EV -5.35%E -3.62%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 16:05
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -5.35%E -3.62%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -6.05%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-24 02:50
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -5.35%E -3.62%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 03:39
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -5.99%E -4.08%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -6.05%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 06:24
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -5.35%E -3.62%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-23 06:24
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -5.35%E -3.62%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-23 06:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.10%EV -5.99%E -4.08%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 21:35
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 63.58%EV -7.91%E -5.49%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-24 04:10
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.91%E -5.49%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-24 13:59
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.91%E -5.49%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-24 13:59
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.91%E -5.49%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-24 14:00
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.91%E -5.49%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-24 14:00
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.91%E -5.49%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-17 15:08
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.91%E -5.49%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-23 06:24
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.91%E -5.49%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-23 12:04
Virgin Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.05%EV -7.91%E -5.49%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -12.68%E -3.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 19:30
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.05%EV -7.91%E -5.49%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -12.68%E -3.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 19:30
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.21%EV -8.55%E -5.98%K -19.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.88%EV -12.68%E -3.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 19:30
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -4.07%E -2.72%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -10.76%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 12:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -4.07%E -2.72%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -10.76%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 12:09
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 64.43%EV -11.11%E -7.99%K -28.48%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.99%EV -10.76%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.58%EV -8.26%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-25 21:30
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.38%EV -9.19%E -6.47%K -21.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.40%EV -12.85%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.22%EV -10.47%E -2.59%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 21:35
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -7.91%E -5.49%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -16.34%E -2.72%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -16.00%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-24 03:40
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.01%EV -9.19%E -6.47%K -21.88%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.17%EV -17.73%E -3.01%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.82%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-24 02:55
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 62.32%EV -11.11%E -7.99%K -28.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.75%EV -23.31%E -4.24%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.93%EV -12.68%E -3.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-24 02:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 67.03%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.99%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.98%0.1%2026-07-26 02:15
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 65.95%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-07-26 02:50
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 66.29%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%1.2%2026-07-26 02:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.29%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%1.2%2026-07-26 02:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.29%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%1.2%2026-07-26 02:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.29%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%1.2%2026-07-26 02:30