La escuela de los momios

Flamengo v Sao Paulo

2026-07-26 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Flamengo (Local)

Predicción 63.95%1.56momio equitativo
EV -1.52%
Ventaja -0.984%
Kelly -2.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.77%63.88%63.86%65.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.391.471.471.5471.94%68.15%68.03%64.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sao Paulo (Visitante)

Predicción 13.94%7.17momio equitativo
EV +3.88%
Ventaja +0.521%
Kelly +0.602%
Crecimiento +0.023%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.90%13.89%14.06%15.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.686.727.4518.18%14.97%14.87%13.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.11%4.52momio equitativo
EV -2.96%
Ventaja -0.673%
Kelly -0.872%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.39

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.58%22.22%22.08%23.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.144.104.3926.32%24.13%24.39%22.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 65.11%EV -5.35%E -3.62%K -11.15%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.94%EV +3.88%E +0.521%K +0.602%G +0.023%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.95%EV -2.96%E -0.673%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-26 02:25
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 65.18%EV -5.99%E -4.08%K -12.75%G +0.000%7.43I 13.46%NM 12.90%EV +3.60%E +0.485%K +0.560%G +0.020%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.93%EV -3.40%E -0.778%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-26 02:20
1xBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.79%EV -5.35%E -3.62%K -11.15%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.32%EV +0.394%E +0.055%K +0.064%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.89%EV -3.18%E -0.725%K -0.940%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 22:29
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 64.72%EV -5.99%E -4.08%K -12.75%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.31%EV -0.303%E -0.042%K -0.049%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.97%EV -4.28%E -0.989%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 16:09
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 64.72%EV -5.99%E -4.08%K -12.75%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.31%EV -0.303%E -0.042%K -0.049%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.97%EV -4.28%E -0.989%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 16:10
BetAnything1.47I 68.03%NM 64.72%EV -5.99%E -4.08%K -12.75%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.31%EV -0.303%E -0.042%K -0.049%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.97%EV -4.28%E -0.989%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 16:10
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 63.03%EV -1.52%E -0.984%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.87%EV -2.39%E -0.342%K -0.399%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-25 21:45
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.03%EV -1.52%E -0.984%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.87%EV -2.39%E -0.342%K -0.399%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-25 21:45
Bovada1.49I 67.11%NM 64.13%EV -4.71%E -3.16%K -9.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.65%EV -2.39%E -0.342%K -0.399%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 01:04
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 64.28%EV -5.35%E -3.62%K -11.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -2.39%E -0.342%K -0.399%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 21:30
betano_uk1.45I 68.97%NM 64.85%EV -7.27%E -5.01%K -16.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -2.39%E -0.342%K -0.399%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -4.28%E -0.989%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 21:35
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.85%EV -7.27%E -5.01%K -16.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -2.39%E -0.342%K -0.399%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -4.28%E -0.989%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 21:35
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 64.85%EV -7.27%E -5.01%K -16.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -2.39%E -0.342%K -0.399%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -4.28%E -0.989%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 00:59
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.74%EV -7.91%E -5.49%K -17.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.39%E -0.342%K -0.399%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -6.05%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 22:25
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 64.54%EV -7.27%E -5.01%K -16.16%G +0.000%6.91I 14.47%NM 13.54%EV -3.65%E -0.528%K -0.617%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 21.92%EV -5.61%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 11:24
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -4.71%E -3.16%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.55%EV -3.79%E -0.549%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -12.68%E -3.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 22:30
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -4.71%E -3.16%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.55%EV -3.79%E -0.549%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -12.68%E -3.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 22:29
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -9.19%E -6.47%K -21.88%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.50%EV -5.18%E -0.762%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 04:50
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.65%EV -4.07%E -2.72%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.14%EV -5.88%E -0.871%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 01:35
SportsBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.64%EV -4.71%E -3.16%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -5.88%E -0.871%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31%EV -6.05%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-24 03:40
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 63.13%EV -4.71%E -3.16%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV -5.88%E -0.871%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.13%EV -4.71%E -3.16%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV -5.88%E -0.871%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 19:30
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.13%EV -4.71%E -3.16%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV -5.88%E -0.871%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.13%EV -4.71%E -3.16%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV -5.88%E -0.871%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 19:30
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 63.13%EV -4.71%E -3.16%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV -5.88%E -0.871%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 19:30
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 63.13%EV -4.71%E -3.16%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV -5.88%E -0.871%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 19:30
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 62.92%EV -5.35%E -3.62%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -5.88%E -0.871%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 21:45
TABtouch1.48I 67.57%NM 62.92%EV -5.35%E -3.62%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -5.88%E -0.871%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -5.99%E -4.08%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -5.88%E -0.871%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 21:45
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 62.36%EV -5.35%E -3.62%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV -5.88%E -0.871%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -14.89%E -3.87%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 22:29
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 64.05%EV -5.99%E -4.08%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.05%EV -6.58%E -0.982%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 23:59
Codere (IT)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.91%EV -5.99%E -4.08%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.24%EV -7.97%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-24 09:35
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.40%EV -4.07%E -2.72%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.96%EV -4.28%E -0.989%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-23 06:54
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.40%EV -4.07%E -2.72%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.96%EV -4.28%E -0.989%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 03:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -4.07%E -2.72%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 12:09
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 63.62%EV -5.35%E -3.62%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 16:05
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -5.35%E -3.62%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -6.05%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-24 02:50
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -5.35%E -3.62%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 03:39
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -5.99%E -4.08%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -6.05%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 06:24
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -5.35%E -3.62%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-23 06:24
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -5.35%E -3.62%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-23 06:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.10%EV -5.99%E -4.08%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 21:35
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 63.58%EV -7.91%E -5.49%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-24 04:10
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.91%E -5.49%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-24 13:59
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.91%E -5.49%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-24 13:59
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.91%E -5.49%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-24 14:00
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.91%E -5.49%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-24 14:00
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.91%E -5.49%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-17 15:08
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.91%E -5.49%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-23 06:24
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.91%E -5.49%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-23 12:04
Virgin Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.05%EV -7.91%E -5.49%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -12.68%E -3.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 19:30
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.05%EV -7.91%E -5.49%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -12.68%E -3.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 19:30
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.21%EV -8.55%E -5.98%K -19.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.88%EV -12.68%E -3.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 19:30
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -4.07%E -2.72%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -10.76%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 12:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -4.07%E -2.72%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -10.76%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 12:09
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 64.43%EV -11.11%E -7.99%K -28.48%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.99%EV -10.76%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.58%EV -8.26%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-25 21:30
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.38%EV -9.19%E -6.47%K -21.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.40%EV -12.85%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.22%EV -10.47%E -2.59%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 21:35
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -7.91%E -5.49%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -16.34%E -2.72%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -16.00%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-24 03:40
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.01%EV -9.19%E -6.47%K -21.88%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.17%EV -17.73%E -3.01%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.82%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-24 02:55
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 62.32%EV -11.11%E -7.99%K -28.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.75%EV -23.31%E -4.24%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.93%EV -12.68%E -3.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-24 02:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 67.03%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.99%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.98%0.1%2026-07-26 02:15
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 65.95%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-07-26 02:50
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 66.29%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%1.2%2026-07-26 02:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.29%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%1.2%2026-07-26 02:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.29%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%1.2%2026-07-26 02:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.29%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%1.2%2026-07-26 02:30