La scuola delle quote

Flamengo v Coritiba

Inizio: 2026-05-30 19:00 UTC

Finale: Flamengo 3–0 Coritiba

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

58 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Flamengo (Casa)

Previsione 69.80%1.43quota equa
EV -2.28%
Vantaggio -1.63%
Kelly -5.70%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.41%69.73%69.77%71.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.341.341.4080.00%74.86%74.63%71.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Coritiba (Trasferta)

Previsione 11.59%8.63quota equa
EV +4.32%
Vantaggio +0.480%
Kelly +0.540%
Crescita +0.023%

ipotizzando la quota massima 9.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.28%11.61%11.49%13.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.757.917.759.0014.81%12.64%12.90%11.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 18.61%5.37quota equa
EV +4.96%
Vantaggio +0.879%
Kelly +1.07%
Crescita +0.053%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.64

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.15%18.66%18.74%20.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.995.005.6423.81%20.02%20.00%17.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 71.65%EV -5.77%E -4.27%K -16.49%G +0.000%8.64I 11.57%NM 11.20%EV +0.145%E +0.017%K +0.019%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 17.15%EV +4.96%E +0.879%K +1.07%G +0.053%3.4%2026-05-30 18:50
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 70.58%EV -4.37%E -3.19%K -11.82%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.24%EV -0.318%E -0.037%K -0.042%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 18.18%EV -0.996%E -0.187%K -0.231%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-30 18:50
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 69.49%EV -2.28%E -1.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.16%EV -7.27%E -0.909%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.35%EV -1.37%E -0.258%K -0.318%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-30 18:50
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 69.49%EV -2.28%E -1.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.16%EV -7.27%E -0.909%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.35%EV -1.37%E -0.258%K -0.318%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-30 18:50
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -7.27%E -0.909%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -2.30%E -0.438%K -0.541%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -7.27%E -0.909%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -2.30%E -0.438%K -0.541%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 18:50
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -7.27%E -0.909%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -2.30%E -0.438%K -0.541%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 18:51
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.78%EV -6.47%E -4.83%K -19.03%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV -1.48%E -0.174%K -0.197%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -2.30%E -0.438%K -0.541%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 18:50
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -5.77%E -4.27%K -16.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -7.27%E -0.909%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -2.30%E -0.438%K -0.541%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 18:50
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.75%EV -9.26%E -7.12%K -30.87%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.48%EV +3.16%E +0.355%K +0.400%G +0.013%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -2.30%E -0.438%K -0.541%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 18:50
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 69.28%EV -3.68%E -2.66%K -9.68%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.34%EV -10.17%E -1.31%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.39%EV -3.23%E -0.621%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 18:48
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 70.88%EV -6.47%E -4.83%K -19.03%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.85%EV +1.42%E +0.162%K +0.183%G +0.003%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.27%EV -3.23%E -0.621%K -0.769%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 18:50
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 70.88%EV -6.47%E -4.83%K -19.03%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.85%EV +1.42%E +0.162%K +0.183%G +0.003%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.27%EV -3.23%E -0.621%K -0.769%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 18:51
BetAnything1.34I 74.63%NM 70.88%EV -6.47%E -4.83%K -19.03%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.85%EV +1.42%E +0.162%K +0.183%G +0.003%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.27%EV -3.23%E -0.621%K -0.769%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 18:50
BetUS1.35I 74.07%NM 70.06%EV -5.77%E -4.27%K -16.49%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.75%EV -6.69%E -0.831%K -0.949%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.19%EV -3.23%E -0.621%K -0.769%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 18:51
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -5.77%E -4.27%K -16.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -13.07%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -3.23%E -0.621%K -0.769%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 18:51
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -5.77%E -4.27%K -16.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -13.07%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -3.23%E -0.621%K -0.769%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 18:50
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -5.77%E -4.27%K -16.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -13.07%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -3.23%E -0.621%K -0.769%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 18:50
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -5.77%E -4.27%K -16.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -13.07%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -3.23%E -0.621%K -0.769%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 18:50
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -5.77%E -4.27%K -16.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -13.07%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -3.23%E -0.621%K -0.769%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 18:50
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -5.77%E -4.27%K -16.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -13.07%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -3.23%E -0.621%K -0.769%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 18:51
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 70.96%EV -9.96%E -7.72%K -34.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -7.27%E -0.909%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -3.23%E -0.621%K -0.769%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 18:50
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 69.22%EV -5.77%E -4.27%K -16.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -13.07%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -5.09%E -0.998%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.54%EV -7.17%E -5.39%K -21.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -13.07%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13%EV -5.09%E -0.998%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 18:51
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 68.94%EV -4.37%E -3.19%K -11.82%G +0.000%7.64I 13.09%NM 12.36%EV -11.45%E -1.50%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.70%EV -6.02%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 18:50
Codere (IT)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.70%EV -5.77%E -4.27%K -16.49%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.48%EV -4.95%E -0.604%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -6.95%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 18:51
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.14%EV -6.47%E -4.83%K -19.03%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV -1.48%E -0.174%K -0.197%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -6.95%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 18:50
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.77%E -4.27%K -16.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -13.07%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.95%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 18:51
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.77%E -4.27%K -16.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -13.07%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.95%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 18:50
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -9.26%E -7.12%K -30.87%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +4.32%E +0.480%K +0.540%G +0.023%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -6.95%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-30 18:49
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -9.26%E -7.12%K -30.87%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +4.32%E +0.480%K +0.540%G +0.023%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -6.95%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-30 18:50
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.17%E -5.39%K -21.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -13.07%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -6.95%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 18:50
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.17%E -5.39%K -21.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -13.07%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -6.95%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 18:39
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.86%E -5.96%K -24.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -13.07%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -6.95%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 18:50
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.86%E -5.96%K -24.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -13.07%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -6.95%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 18:50
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.15%EV -7.86%E -5.96%K -24.58%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.59%EV -15.97%E -2.20%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -6.95%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 18:50
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 70.59%EV -7.86%E -5.96%K -24.58%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV +2.00%E +0.227%K +0.256%G +0.005%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -7.88%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 18:50
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.59%EV -7.86%E -5.96%K -24.58%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV +2.00%E +0.227%K +0.256%G +0.005%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -7.88%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 18:50
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -9.26%E -7.12%K -30.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -13.07%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -8.81%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-30 18:50
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -9.26%E -7.12%K -30.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -13.07%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -8.81%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-30 18:50
Coolbet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.99%EV -4.37%E -3.19%K -11.82%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.53%EV -4.95%E -0.604%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.49%EV -9.74%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 18:50
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -7.17%E -5.39%K -21.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -1.48%E -0.174%K -0.197%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.17%EV -9.74%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 18:50
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -7.17%E -5.39%K -21.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.07%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -10.67%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 18:51
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -7.17%E -5.39%K -21.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.07%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -10.67%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -7.17%E -5.39%K -21.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.07%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -10.67%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 18:51
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -7.17%E -5.39%K -21.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.07%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -10.67%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 18:50
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 69.14%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.09%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV -1.48%E -0.174%K -0.197%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -11.60%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 18:29
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -4.37%E -3.19%K -11.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -13.07%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -11.60%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 18:51
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -9.26%E -7.12%K -30.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -7.27%E -0.909%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -11.60%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-30 18:50
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 70.45%EV -12.75%E -10.20%K -51.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.01%EV -7.27%E -0.909%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.54%EV -11.60%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-30 18:50
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.23%EV -9.96%E -7.72%K -34.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.04%EV -21.76%E -3.22%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -12.53%E -2.67%K -3.39%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-30 18:50
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -4.37%E -3.19%K -11.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -7.27%E -0.909%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -14.40%E -3.13%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 18:30
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.14%EV -5.77%E -4.27%K -16.49%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.87%EV -10.17%E -1.31%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.40%E -3.13%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-30 18:50
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 68.85%EV -9.96%E -7.72%K -34.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.84%EV -13.07%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -14.40%E -3.13%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-30 18:50
Unibet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.74%EV -9.96%E -7.72%K -34.34%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 11.98%EV -14.23%E -1.92%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -14.40%E -3.13%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-30 18:50
Betclic (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 68.09%EV -8.56%E -6.54%K -27.62%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.30%EV -15.97%E -2.20%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.60%EV -15.33%E -3.37%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-30 18:37
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.09%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -13.07%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -16.26%E -3.61%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.10%EV -9.96%E -7.72%K -34.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.98%EV -7.27%E -0.909%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -21.84%E -5.20%K -6.82%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-30 18:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 71.99%10.00I 10.00%NM 10.01%5.56I 17.99%NM 18.00%-0.1%2026-05-30 18:51
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.72%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.49%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.79%0.4%2026-05-30 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.60%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45%0.5%2026-05-30 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.75%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.89%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.36%1.1%2026-05-30 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.75%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.89%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.36%1.1%2026-05-30 18:50
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.52%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.61%1.4%2026-05-30 18:51