A Escola das Odds

Cruzeiro v Vitoria

Início: 2026-04-01 23:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cruzeiro (Local)

Previsão 61.96%1.61odd justa
EV -1.49%
Vantagem -0.935%
Kelly -2.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.89%61.86%61.94%63.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.441.511.501.5969.44%66.27%66.67%62.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Vitoria (Visitante)

Previsão 14.46%6.92odd justa
EV +4.83%
Vantagem +0.666%
Kelly +0.773%
Crescimento +0.037%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.29%14.58%14.41%16.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.406.436.507.2518.52%15.56%15.38%13.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.58%4.24odd justa
EV -0.953%
Vantagem -0.227%
Kelly -0.298%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.27%23.57%23.64%25.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.903.904.2030.30%25.64%25.64%23.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 63.45%EV -5.82%E -3.83%K -11.20%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.30%EV +4.83%E +0.666%K +0.773%G +0.037%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.24%EV -2.13%E -0.514%K -0.677%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-01 22:55
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.66%EV -2.73%E -1.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83%EV +1.21%E +0.173%K +0.202%G +0.002%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-01 22:30
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.66%EV -2.73%E -1.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83%EV +1.21%E +0.173%K +0.202%G +0.002%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-01 22:30
Coolbet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.31%EV -4.58%E -2.98%K -8.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.71%EV +1.21%E +0.173%K +0.202%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 19:50
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.46%EV -5.20%E -3.40%K -9.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.65%EV +1.21%E +0.173%K +0.202%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 22:34
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.92%EV -7.06%E -4.71%K -14.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +1.21%E +0.173%K +0.202%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 22:44
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -7.06%E -4.71%K -14.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +1.21%E +0.173%K +0.202%G +0.002%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 22:29
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -8.30%E -5.61%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV +1.21%E +0.173%K +0.202%G +0.002%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-01 22:30
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.40%EV -5.20%E -3.40%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.74%EV +0.491%E +0.071%K +0.082%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 22:54
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.40%EV -5.20%E -3.40%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.74%EV +0.491%E +0.071%K +0.082%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 22:55
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.57%EV -5.20%E -3.40%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -2.40%E -0.356%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:20
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.57%EV -5.20%E -3.40%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -2.40%E -0.356%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:20
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.57%EV -5.20%E -3.40%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -2.40%E -0.356%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:20
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.57%EV -5.20%E -3.40%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -2.40%E -0.356%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:19
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 61.57%EV -5.20%E -3.40%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -2.40%E -0.356%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:20
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 61.57%EV -5.20%E -3.40%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -2.40%E -0.356%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:30
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 61.92%EV -5.82%E -3.83%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -2.40%E -0.356%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 22:47
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -7.06%E -4.71%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -2.40%E -0.356%K -0.418%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 22:55
BetAnything1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -7.06%E -4.71%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -2.40%E -0.356%K -0.418%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 22:54
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 61.88%EV -6.44%E -4.27%K -12.63%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -2.40%E -0.356%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 22:20
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.64%EV -8.92%E -6.07%K -18.98%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.74%EV -3.12%E -0.466%K -0.548%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 22:55
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.78%EV -2.73%E -1.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.66I 15.02%NM 14.56%EV -3.70%E -0.556%K -0.654%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.66%EV -3.31%E -0.808%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-01 22:55
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -5.20%E -3.40%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -6.02%E -0.926%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 22:30
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.06%E -4.71%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -6.02%E -0.926%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -3.31%E -0.808%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 22:34
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -7.06%E -4.71%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -6.02%E -0.926%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 22:55
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 62.09%EV -7.06%E -4.71%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -6.02%E -0.926%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-01 22:54
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -7.06%E -4.71%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -6.02%E -0.926%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 22:55
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -7.06%E -4.71%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -6.02%E -0.926%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -10.39%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-01 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -7.06%E -4.71%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -6.02%E -0.926%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -10.39%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-01 22:10
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -7.06%E -4.71%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -6.02%E -0.926%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -11.56%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 22:20
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -10.78%E -7.49%K -24.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -6.02%E -0.926%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -10.39%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-01 22:45
Codere (IT)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.18%EV -5.82%E -3.83%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.77%EV -7.46%E -1.17%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV -3.31%E -0.808%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 22:55
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.64%EV -5.82%E -3.83%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -7.46%E -1.17%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 22:44
TABtouch1.48I 67.57%NM 61.30%EV -8.30%E -5.61%K -17.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.18%EV -7.46%E -1.17%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -12.74%E -3.44%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 22:20
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.62%EV -9.54%E -6.53%K -20.74%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.06%EV -7.46%E -1.17%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -12.74%E -3.44%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-01 22:20
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.62%EV -9.54%E -6.53%K -20.74%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.06%EV -7.46%E -1.17%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -12.74%E -3.44%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-01 22:20
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 59.82%EV -1.49%E -0.935%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.15%EV -9.20%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -10.39%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 13:05
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 61.05%EV -5.82%E -3.83%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -9.63%E -1.54%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 22:55
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -7.06%E -4.71%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.77%EV -9.63%E -1.54%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-01 22:55
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.45%EV -3.96%E -2.56%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -13.25%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -0.953%E -0.227%K -0.298%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 22:35
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.20%E -3.40%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -13.25%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.20%E -3.40%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -13.25%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.20%E -3.40%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -13.25%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 22:34
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.20%E -3.40%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -13.25%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 22:35
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.06%E -4.71%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -13.25%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-01 22:54
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.06%E -4.71%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -13.25%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.39%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 22:34
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.06%E -4.71%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -13.25%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.39%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 22:34
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.06%E -4.71%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -13.25%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.39%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 22:35
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.06%E -4.71%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -13.25%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.39%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 22:35
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -10.78%E -7.49%K -24.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -13.25%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -15.10%E -4.20%K -5.81%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-01 22:29
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -3.96%E -2.56%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -14.69%E -2.49%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 19:09
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.64%EV -10.16%E -7.01%K -22.58%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.15%EV -14.69%E -2.49%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.21%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-01 22:52
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 61.13%EV -9.54%E -6.53%K -20.74%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.39%EV -16.14%E -2.78%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.39%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-01 22:55
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -5.20%E -3.40%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -16.86%E -2.93%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 22:34
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.70%EV -8.30%E -5.61%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -17.58%E -3.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -3.31%E -0.808%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-01 22:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.89%EV -10.78%E -7.49%K -24.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.42%EV -20.47%E -3.72%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.70%EV -22.18%E -6.72%K -9.64%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-01 21:00
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.79%EV -10.16%E -7.01%K -22.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.32%EV -21.92%E -4.06%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.89%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-01 22:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.77%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.09%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.14%0.5%2026-04-01 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.77%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.09%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.14%0.5%2026-04-01 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.77%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.09%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.14%0.5%2026-04-01 22:54
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.92%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-04-01 22:55
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 63.41%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-04-01 22:55
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.57%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.97%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%1.5%2026-04-01 22:54