L’École des cotes

Cruzeiro v Vitoria

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-01 23:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cruzeiro (Local)

Prévision 61.96%1.61cote équitable
EV -1.49%
Avantage -0.935%
Kelly -2.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.89%61.86%61.94%63.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.511.501.5969.44%66.27%66.67%62.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vitoria (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.46%6.92cote équitable
EV +4.83%
Avantage +0.666%
Kelly +0.773%
Croissance +0.037%

avec la cote maximale 7.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.29%14.58%14.41%16.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.406.436.507.2518.52%15.56%15.38%13.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.58%4.24cote équitable
EV -0.953%
Avantage -0.227%
Kelly -0.298%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.27%23.57%23.64%25.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.903.904.2030.30%25.64%25.64%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 63.45%EV -5.82%E -3.83%K -11.20%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.30%EV +4.83%E +0.666%K +0.773%G +0.037%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.24%EV -2.13%E -0.514%K -0.677%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-01 22:55
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.66%EV -2.73%E -1.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83%EV +1.21%E +0.173%K +0.202%G +0.002%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-01 22:30
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.66%EV -2.73%E -1.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83%EV +1.21%E +0.173%K +0.202%G +0.002%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-01 22:30
Coolbet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.31%EV -4.58%E -2.98%K -8.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.71%EV +1.21%E +0.173%K +0.202%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 19:50
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.46%EV -5.20%E -3.40%K -9.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.65%EV +1.21%E +0.173%K +0.202%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 22:34
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.92%EV -7.06%E -4.71%K -14.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +1.21%E +0.173%K +0.202%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 22:44
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -7.06%E -4.71%K -14.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +1.21%E +0.173%K +0.202%G +0.002%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 22:29
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -8.30%E -5.61%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV +1.21%E +0.173%K +0.202%G +0.002%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-01 22:30
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.40%EV -5.20%E -3.40%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.74%EV +0.491%E +0.071%K +0.082%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 22:54
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.40%EV -5.20%E -3.40%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.74%EV +0.491%E +0.071%K +0.082%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 22:55
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.57%EV -5.20%E -3.40%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -2.40%E -0.356%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:20
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.57%EV -5.20%E -3.40%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -2.40%E -0.356%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:20
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.57%EV -5.20%E -3.40%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -2.40%E -0.356%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:20
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.57%EV -5.20%E -3.40%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -2.40%E -0.356%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:19
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 61.57%EV -5.20%E -3.40%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -2.40%E -0.356%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:20
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 61.57%EV -5.20%E -3.40%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -2.40%E -0.356%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:30
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 61.92%EV -5.82%E -3.83%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -2.40%E -0.356%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 22:47
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -7.06%E -4.71%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -2.40%E -0.356%K -0.418%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 22:55
BetAnything1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -7.06%E -4.71%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -2.40%E -0.356%K -0.418%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 22:54
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 61.88%EV -6.44%E -4.27%K -12.63%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -2.40%E -0.356%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 22:20
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.64%EV -8.92%E -6.07%K -18.98%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.74%EV -3.12%E -0.466%K -0.548%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 22:55
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.78%EV -2.73%E -1.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.66I 15.02%NM 14.56%EV -3.70%E -0.556%K -0.654%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.66%EV -3.31%E -0.808%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-01 22:55
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -5.20%E -3.40%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -6.02%E -0.926%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 22:30
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.06%E -4.71%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -6.02%E -0.926%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -3.31%E -0.808%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 22:34
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -7.06%E -4.71%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -6.02%E -0.926%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 22:55
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 62.09%EV -7.06%E -4.71%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -6.02%E -0.926%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-01 22:54
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -7.06%E -4.71%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -6.02%E -0.926%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 22:55
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -7.06%E -4.71%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -6.02%E -0.926%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -10.39%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-01 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -7.06%E -4.71%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -6.02%E -0.926%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -10.39%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-01 22:10
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -7.06%E -4.71%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -6.02%E -0.926%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -11.56%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 22:20
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -10.78%E -7.49%K -24.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -6.02%E -0.926%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -10.39%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-01 22:45
Codere (IT)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.18%EV -5.82%E -3.83%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.77%EV -7.46%E -1.17%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV -3.31%E -0.808%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 22:55
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.64%EV -5.82%E -3.83%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -7.46%E -1.17%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 22:44
TABtouch1.48I 67.57%NM 61.30%EV -8.30%E -5.61%K -17.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.18%EV -7.46%E -1.17%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -12.74%E -3.44%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 22:20
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.62%EV -9.54%E -6.53%K -20.74%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.06%EV -7.46%E -1.17%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -12.74%E -3.44%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-01 22:20
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.62%EV -9.54%E -6.53%K -20.74%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.06%EV -7.46%E -1.17%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -12.74%E -3.44%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-01 22:20
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 59.82%EV -1.49%E -0.935%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.15%EV -9.20%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -10.39%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 13:05
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 61.05%EV -5.82%E -3.83%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -9.63%E -1.54%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 22:55
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -7.06%E -4.71%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.77%EV -9.63%E -1.54%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-01 22:55
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.45%EV -3.96%E -2.56%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -13.25%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -0.953%E -0.227%K -0.298%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 22:35
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.20%E -3.40%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -13.25%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.20%E -3.40%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -13.25%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.20%E -3.40%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -13.25%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 22:34
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.20%E -3.40%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -13.25%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 22:35
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.06%E -4.71%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -13.25%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-01 22:54
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.06%E -4.71%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -13.25%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.39%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 22:34
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.06%E -4.71%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -13.25%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.39%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 22:34
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.06%E -4.71%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -13.25%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.39%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 22:35
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.06%E -4.71%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -13.25%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.39%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 22:35
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -10.78%E -7.49%K -24.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -13.25%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -15.10%E -4.20%K -5.81%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-01 22:29
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -3.96%E -2.56%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -14.69%E -2.49%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 19:09
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.64%EV -10.16%E -7.01%K -22.58%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.15%EV -14.69%E -2.49%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.21%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-01 22:52
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 61.13%EV -9.54%E -6.53%K -20.74%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.39%EV -16.14%E -2.78%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.39%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-01 22:55
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -5.20%E -3.40%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -16.86%E -2.93%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 22:34
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.70%EV -8.30%E -5.61%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -17.58%E -3.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -3.31%E -0.808%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-01 22:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.89%EV -10.78%E -7.49%K -24.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.42%EV -20.47%E -3.72%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.70%EV -22.18%E -6.72%K -9.64%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-01 21:00
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.79%EV -10.16%E -7.01%K -22.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.32%EV -21.92%E -4.06%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.89%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-01 22:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.77%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.09%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.14%0.5%2026-04-01 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.77%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.09%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.14%0.5%2026-04-01 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.77%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.09%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.14%0.5%2026-04-01 22:54
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.92%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-04-01 22:55
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 63.41%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-04-01 22:55
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.57%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.97%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%1.5%2026-04-01 22:54