La scuola delle quote

Cruzeiro v Vasco da Gama

Inizio: 2026-03-15 23:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cruzeiro (Casa)

Previsione 49.24%2.03quota equa
EV -2.51%
Vantaggio -1.27%
Kelly -2.56%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.98

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.17%49.25%49.27%50.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.721.871.871.9858.14%53.37%53.48%50.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Vasco da Gama (Trasferta)

Previsione 22.44%4.46quota equa
EV +4.14%
Vantaggio +0.892%
Kelly +1.14%
Crescita +0.047%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.64

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.88%22.41%22.34%23.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.184.204.6426.67%23.94%23.81%21.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.32%3.53quota equa
EV -0.886%
Vantaggio -0.253%
Kelly -0.354%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.21%28.34%28.39%29.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.853.263.253.5035.09%30.63%30.77%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.20%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.88%EV +4.14%E +0.892%K +1.14%G +0.047%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.92%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 23:20
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.22%EV -5.46%E -2.85%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.43%EV +0.999%E +0.222%K +0.285%G +0.003%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.36%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 23:15
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 50.22%EV -5.46%E -2.85%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.43%EV +0.999%E +0.222%K +0.285%G +0.003%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.36%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 23:15
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.32%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.39%EV -0.123%E -0.028%K -0.036%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 23:25
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.32%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.39%EV -0.123%E -0.028%K -0.036%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 23:25
BetAnything1.93I 51.81%NM 49.32%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.39%EV -0.123%E -0.028%K -0.036%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 23:20
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.59%EV -6.45%E -3.39%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -1.25%E -0.283%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 23:25
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -5.96%E -3.12%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -1.25%E -0.283%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 23:25
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -2.37%E -0.544%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 23:15
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -2.37%E -0.544%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 23:15
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -2.37%E -0.544%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 23:15
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -2.37%E -0.544%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 23:15
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -2.37%E -0.544%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 23:15
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -2.37%E -0.544%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 23:15
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.36%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -2.37%E -0.544%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.55%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 22:55
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.45%E -3.39%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -2.82%E -0.651%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 23:19
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 49.53%EV -3.49%E -1.78%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV -3.49%E -0.812%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.90%EV -1.45%E -0.417%K -0.586%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 23:25
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.65%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -3.49%E -0.812%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -0.886%E -0.253%K -0.354%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 06:40
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 48.73%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%EV -3.49%E -0.812%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 23:19
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 48.73%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%EV -3.49%E -0.812%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 23:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -9.90%E -5.41%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -3.49%E -0.812%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -6.55%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 22:55
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.79%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -3.49%E -0.812%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 23:25
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 50.04%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 21.86%EV -3.94%E -0.920%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.10%EV -5.70%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 23:20
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -9.90%E -5.41%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -4.61%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -5.96%E -3.12%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 23:10
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -5.96%E -3.12%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 23:10
Codere (IT)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.52%EV -6.45%E -3.39%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 23:25
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.96%E -3.12%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.55%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 23:20
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 23:10
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 23:25
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 50.09%EV -10.88%E -6.01%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 23:15
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.36%EV -11.86%E -6.63%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 23:15
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.36%EV -11.86%E -6.63%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 23:15
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -7.98%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.55%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 23:20
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.45%EV -6.45%E -3.39%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.98%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 23:20
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.25%EV -6.45%E -3.39%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.98%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.25%EV -6.45%E -3.39%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.98%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 23:10
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.30%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -9.10%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 23:25
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -11.37%E -6.32%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.15%EV -9.10%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 23:25
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 23:15
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 23:15
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 23:15
PointsBet (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 23:15
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -10.80%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 23:20
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 23:20
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 23:25
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 23:24
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 23:25
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 23:25
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.60%EV -11.37%E -6.32%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.08%EV -9.95%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 23:23
Parions Sport (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.97%EV -12.36%E -6.94%K -15.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-15 23:20
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -9.90%E -5.41%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-15 23:25
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -2.51%E -1.27%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -11.35%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 23:20
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -2.51%E -1.27%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -11.35%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 23:20
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.63%EV -9.40%E -5.11%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.12%EV -11.35%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 23:20
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.04%EV -13.83%E -7.91%K -18.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.17%EV -11.35%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.80%EV -10.80%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-15 23:25
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 48.91%EV -15.31%E -8.90%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.57%EV -12.47%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.52%EV -19.29%E -6.77%K -10.43%G +0.000%18.9%2026-03-15 23:25
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.39%EV -12.36%E -6.94%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -14.71%E -3.87%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-15 23:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.50%EV -14.82%E -8.57%K -20.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.37%EV -15.83%E -4.22%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.13%EV -18.44%E -6.40%K -9.81%G +0.000%19.2%2026-03-15 23:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-03-15 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-03-15 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-03-15 23:25
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-03-15 23:25
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-03-15 23:25
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.02%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.44%2.0%2026-03-15 23:25