L’École des cotes

Cruzeiro v Vasco da Gama

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 23:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cruzeiro (Local)

Prévision 49.24%2.03cote équitable
EV -2.51%
Avantage -1.27%
Kelly -2.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.17%49.25%49.27%50.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.871.871.9858.14%53.37%53.48%50.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vasco da Gama (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.44%4.46cote équitable
EV +4.14%
Avantage +0.892%
Kelly +1.14%
Croissance +0.047%

avec la cote maximale 4.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.88%22.41%22.34%23.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.184.204.6426.67%23.94%23.81%21.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.32%3.53cote équitable
EV -0.886%
Avantage -0.253%
Kelly -0.354%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.21%28.34%28.39%29.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.853.263.253.5035.09%30.63%30.77%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.20%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.88%EV +4.14%E +0.892%K +1.14%G +0.047%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.92%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 23:20
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.22%EV -5.46%E -2.85%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.43%EV +0.999%E +0.222%K +0.285%G +0.003%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.36%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 23:15
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 50.22%EV -5.46%E -2.85%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.43%EV +0.999%E +0.222%K +0.285%G +0.003%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.36%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 23:15
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.32%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.39%EV -0.123%E -0.028%K -0.036%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 23:25
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.32%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.39%EV -0.123%E -0.028%K -0.036%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 23:25
BetAnything1.93I 51.81%NM 49.32%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.39%EV -0.123%E -0.028%K -0.036%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 23:20
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.59%EV -6.45%E -3.39%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -1.25%E -0.283%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 23:25
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -5.96%E -3.12%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -1.25%E -0.283%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 23:25
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -2.37%E -0.544%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 23:15
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -2.37%E -0.544%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 23:15
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -2.37%E -0.544%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 23:15
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -2.37%E -0.544%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 23:15
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -2.37%E -0.544%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 23:15
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -2.37%E -0.544%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 23:15
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.36%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -2.37%E -0.544%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.55%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 22:55
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.45%E -3.39%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -2.82%E -0.651%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 23:19
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 49.53%EV -3.49%E -1.78%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV -3.49%E -0.812%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.90%EV -1.45%E -0.417%K -0.586%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 23:25
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.65%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -3.49%E -0.812%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -0.886%E -0.253%K -0.354%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 06:40
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 48.73%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%EV -3.49%E -0.812%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 23:19
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 48.73%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%EV -3.49%E -0.812%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 23:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -9.90%E -5.41%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -3.49%E -0.812%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -6.55%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 22:55
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.79%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -3.49%E -0.812%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 23:25
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 50.04%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 21.86%EV -3.94%E -0.920%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.10%EV -5.70%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 23:20
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -9.90%E -5.41%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -4.61%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -5.96%E -3.12%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 23:10
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -5.96%E -3.12%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 23:10
Codere (IT)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.52%EV -6.45%E -3.39%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 23:25
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.96%E -3.12%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.55%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 23:20
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 23:10
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 23:25
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 50.09%EV -10.88%E -6.01%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 23:15
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.36%EV -11.86%E -6.63%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 23:15
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.36%EV -11.86%E -6.63%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 23:15
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -7.98%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.55%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 23:20
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.45%EV -6.45%E -3.39%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.98%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 23:20
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.25%EV -6.45%E -3.39%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.98%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.25%EV -6.45%E -3.39%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.98%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 23:10
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.30%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -9.10%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 23:25
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -11.37%E -6.32%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.15%EV -9.10%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 23:25
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 23:15
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 23:15
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 23:15
PointsBet (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 23:15
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -10.80%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 23:20
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 23:20
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 23:25
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 23:24
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 23:25
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 23:25
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.60%EV -11.37%E -6.32%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.08%EV -9.95%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 23:23
Parions Sport (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.97%EV -12.36%E -6.94%K -15.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-15 23:20
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -9.90%E -5.41%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-15 23:25
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -2.51%E -1.27%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -11.35%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 23:20
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -2.51%E -1.27%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -11.35%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 23:20
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.63%EV -9.40%E -5.11%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.12%EV -11.35%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 23:20
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.04%EV -13.83%E -7.91%K -18.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.17%EV -11.35%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.80%EV -10.80%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-15 23:25
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 48.91%EV -15.31%E -8.90%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.57%EV -12.47%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.52%EV -19.29%E -6.77%K -10.43%G +0.000%18.9%2026-03-15 23:25
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.39%EV -12.36%E -6.94%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -14.71%E -3.87%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-15 23:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.50%EV -14.82%E -8.57%K -20.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.37%EV -15.83%E -4.22%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.13%EV -18.44%E -6.40%K -9.81%G +0.000%19.2%2026-03-15 23:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-03-15 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-03-15 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-03-15 23:25
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-03-15 23:25
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-03-15 23:25
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.02%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.44%2.0%2026-03-15 23:25