La escuela de los momios

Cruzeiro v Vasco da Gama

Inicio: 2026-03-15 23:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cruzeiro (Local)

Predicción 49.24%2.03momio equitativo
EV -2.51%
Ventaja -1.27%
Kelly -2.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.17%49.25%49.27%50.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.871.871.9858.14%53.37%53.48%50.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Vasco da Gama (Visitante)

Predicción 22.44%4.46momio equitativo
EV +4.14%
Ventaja +0.892%
Kelly +1.14%
Crecimiento +0.047%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.88%22.41%22.34%23.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.184.204.6426.67%23.94%23.81%21.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.32%3.53momio equitativo
EV -0.886%
Ventaja -0.253%
Kelly -0.354%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.21%28.34%28.39%29.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.263.253.5035.09%30.63%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.20%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.88%EV +4.14%E +0.892%K +1.14%G +0.047%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.92%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 23:20
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.22%EV -5.46%E -2.85%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.43%EV +0.999%E +0.222%K +0.285%G +0.003%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.36%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 23:15
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 50.22%EV -5.46%E -2.85%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.43%EV +0.999%E +0.222%K +0.285%G +0.003%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.36%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 23:15
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.32%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.39%EV -0.123%E -0.028%K -0.036%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 23:25
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.32%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.39%EV -0.123%E -0.028%K -0.036%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 23:25
BetAnything1.93I 51.81%NM 49.32%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.39%EV -0.123%E -0.028%K -0.036%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 23:20
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.59%EV -6.45%E -3.39%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -1.25%E -0.283%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 23:25
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -5.96%E -3.12%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -1.25%E -0.283%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 23:25
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -2.37%E -0.544%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 23:15
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -2.37%E -0.544%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 23:15
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -2.37%E -0.544%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 23:15
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -2.37%E -0.544%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 23:15
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -2.37%E -0.544%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 23:15
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -2.37%E -0.544%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 23:15
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.36%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -2.37%E -0.544%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.55%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 22:55
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.45%E -3.39%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -2.82%E -0.651%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 23:19
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 49.53%EV -3.49%E -1.78%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV -3.49%E -0.812%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.90%EV -1.45%E -0.417%K -0.586%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 23:25
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.65%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -3.49%E -0.812%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -0.886%E -0.253%K -0.354%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 06:40
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 48.73%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%EV -3.49%E -0.812%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 23:19
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 48.73%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%EV -3.49%E -0.812%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 23:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -9.90%E -5.41%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -3.49%E -0.812%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -6.55%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 22:55
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.79%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -3.49%E -0.812%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 23:25
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 50.04%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 21.86%EV -3.94%E -0.920%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.10%EV -5.70%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 23:20
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -9.90%E -5.41%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -4.61%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -5.96%E -3.12%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 23:10
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -5.96%E -3.12%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 23:10
Codere (IT)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.52%EV -6.45%E -3.39%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 23:25
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.96%E -3.12%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.55%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 23:20
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 23:10
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 23:25
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 50.09%EV -10.88%E -6.01%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 23:15
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.36%EV -11.86%E -6.63%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 23:15
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.36%EV -11.86%E -6.63%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 23:15
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -7.98%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.55%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 23:20
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.45%EV -6.45%E -3.39%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.98%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 23:20
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.25%EV -6.45%E -3.39%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.98%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.25%EV -6.45%E -3.39%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.98%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 23:10
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.30%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -9.10%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 23:25
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -11.37%E -6.32%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.15%EV -9.10%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 23:25
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 23:15
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 23:15
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 23:15
PointsBet (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 23:15
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -10.80%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 23:20
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 23:20
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 23:25
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 23:24
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 23:25
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 23:25
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.60%EV -11.37%E -6.32%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.08%EV -9.95%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 23:23
Parions Sport (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.97%EV -12.36%E -6.94%K -15.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-15 23:20
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -9.90%E -5.41%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-15 23:25
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -2.51%E -1.27%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -11.35%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 23:20
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -2.51%E -1.27%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -11.35%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 23:20
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.63%EV -9.40%E -5.11%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.12%EV -11.35%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 23:20
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.04%EV -13.83%E -7.91%K -18.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.17%EV -11.35%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.80%EV -10.80%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-15 23:25
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 48.91%EV -15.31%E -8.90%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.57%EV -12.47%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.52%EV -19.29%E -6.77%K -10.43%G +0.000%18.9%2026-03-15 23:25
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.39%EV -12.36%E -6.94%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -14.71%E -3.87%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-15 23:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.50%EV -14.82%E -8.57%K -20.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.37%EV -15.83%E -4.22%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.13%EV -18.44%E -6.40%K -9.81%G +0.000%19.2%2026-03-15 23:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-03-15 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-03-15 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-03-15 23:25
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-03-15 23:25
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-03-15 23:25
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.02%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.44%2.0%2026-03-15 23:25