La scuola delle quote

Cruzeiro v Santos

Inizio: 2026-03-22 19:02 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cruzeiro (Casa)

Previsione 55.62%1.80quota equa
EV -1.55%
Vantaggio -0.878%
Kelly -2.02%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.12%55.66%55.56%57.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.671.681.7766.67%59.74%59.52%56.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Santos (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.49%5.41quota equa
EV +2.63%
Vantaggio +0.473%
Kelly +0.577%
Crescita +0.015%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.35%18.42%18.63%19.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.504.995.005.5522.22%20.04%20.00%18.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.89%3.86quota equa
EV -2.91%
Vantaggio -0.777%
Kelly -1.06%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.03%25.91%25.81%27.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.563.603.7532.26%28.09%27.78%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 56.75%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.38%EV +2.63%E +0.473%K +0.577%G +0.015%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.87%EV -3.43%E -0.920%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 18:59
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.74%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.49%EV +0.777%E +0.143%K +0.175%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 19:00
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.74%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.49%EV +0.777%E +0.143%K +0.175%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 18:59
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62%EV -0.148%E -0.027%K -0.034%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 18:58
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.64%EV -1.07%E -0.200%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 18:59
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 56.31%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.58%EV -1.07%E -0.200%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 18:59
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.11%EV -10.45%E -6.49%K -17.14%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -2.00%E -0.377%K -0.464%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 18:59
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.53%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 18:59
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 55.68%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 19:00
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 18:59
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 18:59
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 19:00
GTbets1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.61%EV -4.77%E -0.926%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.98%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 18:59
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.78%EV -1.55%E -0.878%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.94%EV -5.33%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.28%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-22 18:59
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.06%EV -2.67%E -1.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.89%EV -5.70%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.04%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 19:00
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.06%EV -2.67%E -1.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.89%EV -5.70%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.04%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 19:00
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.62%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -2.91%E -0.777%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 19:00
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -2.91%E -0.777%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 19:00
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 19:00
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 18:59
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 19:00
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 19:00
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 19:00
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.91%E -0.777%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 19:00
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 18:59
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.25%EV -6.00%E -3.55%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.08%EV -7.32%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 18:59
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 19:00
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.77%EV -7.67%E -4.62%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 19:00
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 18:59
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 18:59
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 18:59
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -9.90%E -6.11%K -15.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 19:00
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -8.47%E -1.71%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 19:00
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -8.47%E -1.71%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 19:00
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.00%EV -9.39%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.06%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -9.39%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 19:00
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -8.23%E -4.99%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -9.39%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 18:59
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -9.90%E -6.11%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -9.39%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 19:00
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.12%EV -9.90%E -6.11%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.22%EV -9.39%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -13.27%E -3.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-22 18:59
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.04%EV -10.32%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 19:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.64%EV -12.12%E -7.67%K -20.90%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.12%EV -10.32%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -13.27%E -3.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-22 18:59
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.50%EV -12.12%E -7.67%K -20.90%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.08%EV -10.32%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.41%EV -14.05%E -4.23%K -6.05%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 18:59
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 18:59
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 18:59
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 19:00
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 19:00
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -8.23%E -4.99%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 19:00
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 55.34%EV -9.90%E -6.11%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -10.68%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 19:00
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -9.90%E -6.11%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.85%EV -14.56%E -4.41%K -6.33%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-22 19:00
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -12.17%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 18:59
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.17%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 19:00
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -8.78%E -5.36%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -12.17%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.68%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 19:00
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -8.78%E -5.36%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -12.17%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.68%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 19:00
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.51%EV -12.12%E -7.67%K -20.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.07%EV -14.94%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.42%EV -10.68%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 19:00
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 55.72%EV -16.57%E -11.05%K -33.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.17%EV -14.94%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.12%EV -17.15%E -5.36%K -7.80%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-22 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.12%EV -9.90%E -6.11%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -16.79%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.76%EV -19.74%E -6.37%K -9.40%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-22 19:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.63%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.89%0.3%2026-03-22 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.61%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%0.4%2026-03-22 19:00
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-03-22 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-03-22 19:00
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.66%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.20%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%2.0%2026-03-22 19:00
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.94%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-03-22 19:00