La escuela de los momios

Cruzeiro v Santos

Inicio: 2026-03-22 19:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cruzeiro (Local)

Predicción 55.62%1.80momio equitativo
EV -1.55%
Ventaja -0.878%
Kelly -2.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.12%55.66%55.56%57.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.671.681.7766.67%59.74%59.52%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Santos (Visitante)

Predicción 18.49%5.41momio equitativo
EV +2.63%
Ventaja +0.473%
Kelly +0.577%
Crecimiento +0.015%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.35%18.42%18.63%19.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.504.995.005.5522.22%20.04%20.00%18.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.89%3.86momio equitativo
EV -2.91%
Ventaja -0.777%
Kelly -1.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.03%25.91%25.81%27.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.563.603.7532.26%28.09%27.78%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 56.75%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.38%EV +2.63%E +0.473%K +0.577%G +0.015%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.87%EV -3.43%E -0.920%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 18:59
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.74%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.49%EV +0.777%E +0.143%K +0.175%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 19:00
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.74%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.49%EV +0.777%E +0.143%K +0.175%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 18:59
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62%EV -0.148%E -0.027%K -0.034%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 18:58
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.64%EV -1.07%E -0.200%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 18:59
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 56.31%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.58%EV -1.07%E -0.200%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 18:59
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.11%EV -10.45%E -6.49%K -17.14%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -2.00%E -0.377%K -0.464%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 18:59
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.53%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 18:59
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 55.68%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 19:00
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 18:59
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 18:59
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 19:00
GTbets1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.61%EV -4.77%E -0.926%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.98%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 18:59
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.78%EV -1.55%E -0.878%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.94%EV -5.33%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.28%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-22 18:59
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.06%EV -2.67%E -1.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.89%EV -5.70%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.04%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 19:00
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.06%EV -2.67%E -1.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.89%EV -5.70%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.04%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 19:00
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.62%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -2.91%E -0.777%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 19:00
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -2.91%E -0.777%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 19:00
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 19:00
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 18:59
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 19:00
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 19:00
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 19:00
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.91%E -0.777%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 19:00
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 18:59
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.25%EV -6.00%E -3.55%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.08%EV -7.32%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 18:59
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 19:00
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.77%EV -7.67%E -4.62%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 19:00
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 18:59
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 18:59
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 18:59
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -9.90%E -6.11%K -15.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 19:00
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -8.47%E -1.71%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 19:00
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -8.47%E -1.71%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 19:00
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.00%EV -9.39%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.06%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -9.39%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 19:00
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -8.23%E -4.99%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -9.39%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 18:59
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -9.90%E -6.11%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -9.39%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 19:00
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.12%EV -9.90%E -6.11%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.22%EV -9.39%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -13.27%E -3.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-22 18:59
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.04%EV -10.32%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 19:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.64%EV -12.12%E -7.67%K -20.90%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.12%EV -10.32%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -13.27%E -3.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-22 18:59
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.50%EV -12.12%E -7.67%K -20.90%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.08%EV -10.32%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.41%EV -14.05%E -4.23%K -6.05%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 18:59
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 18:59
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 18:59
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 19:00
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 19:00
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -8.23%E -4.99%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 19:00
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 55.34%EV -9.90%E -6.11%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -10.68%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 19:00
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -9.90%E -6.11%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.85%EV -14.56%E -4.41%K -6.33%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-22 19:00
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -12.17%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 18:59
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.17%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 19:00
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -8.78%E -5.36%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -12.17%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.68%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 19:00
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -8.78%E -5.36%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -12.17%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.68%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 19:00
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.51%EV -12.12%E -7.67%K -20.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.07%EV -14.94%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.42%EV -10.68%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 19:00
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 55.72%EV -16.57%E -11.05%K -33.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.17%EV -14.94%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.12%EV -17.15%E -5.36%K -7.80%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-22 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.12%EV -9.90%E -6.11%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -16.79%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.76%EV -19.74%E -6.37%K -9.40%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-22 19:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.63%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.89%0.3%2026-03-22 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.61%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%0.4%2026-03-22 19:00
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-03-22 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-03-22 19:00
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.66%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.20%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%2.0%2026-03-22 19:00
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.94%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-03-22 19:00