L’École des cotes

Cruzeiro v Santos

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 19:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cruzeiro (Local)

Prévision 55.62%1.80cote équitable
EV -1.55%
Avantage -0.878%
Kelly -2.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.12%55.66%55.56%57.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.671.681.7766.67%59.74%59.52%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Santos (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.49%5.41cote équitable
EV +2.63%
Avantage +0.473%
Kelly +0.577%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 5.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.35%18.42%18.63%19.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.504.995.005.5522.22%20.04%20.00%18.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.89%3.86cote équitable
EV -2.91%
Avantage -0.777%
Kelly -1.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.03%25.91%25.81%27.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.563.603.7532.26%28.09%27.78%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 56.75%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.38%EV +2.63%E +0.473%K +0.577%G +0.015%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.87%EV -3.43%E -0.920%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 18:59
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.74%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.49%EV +0.777%E +0.143%K +0.175%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 19:00
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.74%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.49%EV +0.777%E +0.143%K +0.175%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 18:59
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62%EV -0.148%E -0.027%K -0.034%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 18:58
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.64%EV -1.07%E -0.200%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 18:59
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 56.31%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.58%EV -1.07%E -0.200%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 18:59
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.11%EV -10.45%E -6.49%K -17.14%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -2.00%E -0.377%K -0.464%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 18:59
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.53%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 18:59
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 55.68%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 19:00
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 18:59
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 18:59
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 19:00
GTbets1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.61%EV -4.77%E -0.926%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.98%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 18:59
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.78%EV -1.55%E -0.878%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.94%EV -5.33%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.28%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-22 18:59
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.06%EV -2.67%E -1.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.89%EV -5.70%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.04%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 19:00
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.06%EV -2.67%E -1.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.89%EV -5.70%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.04%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 19:00
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.62%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -2.91%E -0.777%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 19:00
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -2.91%E -0.777%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 19:00
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 19:00
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 18:59
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 19:00
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 19:00
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 19:00
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.91%E -0.777%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 19:00
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 18:59
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.25%EV -6.00%E -3.55%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.08%EV -7.32%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 18:59
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 19:00
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.77%EV -7.67%E -4.62%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 19:00
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 18:59
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 18:59
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 18:59
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -9.90%E -6.11%K -15.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 19:00
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -8.47%E -1.71%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 19:00
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -8.47%E -1.71%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 19:00
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.00%EV -9.39%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.06%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -9.39%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 19:00
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -8.23%E -4.99%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -9.39%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 18:59
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -9.90%E -6.11%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -9.39%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 19:00
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.12%EV -9.90%E -6.11%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.22%EV -9.39%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -13.27%E -3.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-22 18:59
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.04%EV -10.32%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 19:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.64%EV -12.12%E -7.67%K -20.90%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.12%EV -10.32%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -13.27%E -3.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-22 18:59
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.50%EV -12.12%E -7.67%K -20.90%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.08%EV -10.32%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.41%EV -14.05%E -4.23%K -6.05%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 18:59
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 18:59
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 18:59
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 19:00
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 19:00
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -8.23%E -4.99%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 19:00
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 55.34%EV -9.90%E -6.11%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -10.68%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 19:00
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -9.90%E -6.11%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.85%EV -14.56%E -4.41%K -6.33%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-22 19:00
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -12.17%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 18:59
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.17%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 19:00
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -8.78%E -5.36%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -12.17%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.68%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 19:00
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -8.78%E -5.36%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -12.17%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.68%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 19:00
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.51%EV -12.12%E -7.67%K -20.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.07%EV -14.94%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.42%EV -10.68%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 19:00
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 55.72%EV -16.57%E -11.05%K -33.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.17%EV -14.94%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.12%EV -17.15%E -5.36%K -7.80%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-22 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.12%EV -9.90%E -6.11%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -16.79%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.76%EV -19.74%E -6.37%K -9.40%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-22 19:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.63%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.89%0.3%2026-03-22 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.61%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%0.4%2026-03-22 19:00
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-03-22 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-03-22 19:00
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.66%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.20%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%2.0%2026-03-22 19:00
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.94%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-03-22 19:00