Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cruzeiro v Remo

2026-10-23 23:00 UTC — Brazil Série A

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cruzeiro (Local)

Prediction 70.00%1.43fair odd
EV -5.50%
Edge -4.07%
Kelly -15.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.33%70.02%70.08%71.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.301.311.3582.64%76.78%76.34%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Remo (Visit)

Prediction 11.43%8.75fair odd
EV +2.86%
Edge +0.318%
Kelly +0.358%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.28%11.34%11.40%13.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.508.058.009.0015.38%12.42%12.50%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.57%5.39fair odd
EV -0.287%
Edge -0.053%
Kelly -0.066%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.52%18.64%18.53%20.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.864.805.3722.22%20.59%20.83%18.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cruzeiro (Local): 70.00%; Remo (Visit): 11.43%; Draw: 18.57%. For Remo (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.75. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 9.00, producing a positive expected value of +2.86%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.49%EV -6.90%E -5.19%K -20.90%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.57%EV +2.86%E +0.318%K +0.358%G +0.010%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.94%EV -1.59%E -0.299%K -0.369%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-13 15:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -9.00%E -6.92%K -29.99%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +2.86%E +0.318%K +0.358%G +0.010%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.16%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-13 15:08
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.00%EV -5.50%E -4.07%K -15.71%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.15%EV -1.71%E -0.199%K -0.225%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.85%EV -0.287%E -0.053%K -0.066%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-13 14:58
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -9.00%E -6.92%K -29.99%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -2.85%E -0.335%K -0.380%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.16%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-13 14:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.24%EV -11.80%E -9.36%K -45.37%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.73%EV -5.71%E -0.692%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.03%EV -13.66%E -2.94%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-13 14:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.43%EV -7.60%E -5.76%K -23.74%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.34%EV -6.28%E -0.766%K -0.872%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -5.30%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-13 14:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 70.66%EV -15.30%E -12.64%K -72.84%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 10.55%EV -7.42%E -0.916%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 18.79%EV -15.51%E -3.41%K -4.37%G +0.000%17.0%2026-10-13 14:59
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -6.90%E -5.19%K -20.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -8.57%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.16%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-13 14:59
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.88%EV -8.30%E -6.33%K -26.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -8.57%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -1.59%E -0.299%K -0.369%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-13 14:53
William Hill🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -5.50%E -4.07%K -15.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -8.57%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -14.58%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-13 15:00
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -6.90%E -5.19%K -20.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.57%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -14.58%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-13 14:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -6.90%E -5.19%K -20.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.57%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -14.58%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-13 14:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -6.90%E -5.19%K -20.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.57%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -14.58%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-13 14:55
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -9.70%E -7.52%K -33.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -8.57%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.16%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-13 15:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 69.91%EV -11.80%E -9.36%K -45.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.74%EV -14.28%E -1.90%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -10.87%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-13 15:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 69.24%EV -12.50%E -10.00%K -49.99%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 11.94%EV -17.14%E -2.36%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.82%EV -14.58%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-13 14:59
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 67.33%EV -9.70%E -7.52%K -33.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.36%EV -25.71%E -3.96%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.30%EV -16.44%E -3.65%K -4.70%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-13 15:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.48I 67.57%NM 65.24%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.48%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.28%3.6%2026-10-13 19:55
Smarkets◎1.24I 80.65%NM 68.89%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.87%17.1%2026-10-13 14:59