默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cruzeiro v Remo

2026-10-23 23:00 UTC — Brazil Série A

胜负盘

17 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cruzeiro (主队)

预测 70.00%1.43公平赔率
EV -5.50%
优势 -4.07%
Kelly -15.71%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.35

博彩公司预测分布
67.33%70.02%70.08%71.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.211.301.311.3582.64%76.78%76.34%74.07%最小值均值中位数最大值

Remo (客队)

预测 11.43%8.75公平赔率
EV +2.86%
优势 +0.318%
Kelly +0.358%
增长率 +0.010%

假设最高赔率为 9.00

博彩公司预测分布
10.28%11.34%11.40%13.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.508.058.009.0015.38%12.42%12.50%11.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 18.57%5.39公平赔率
EV -0.287%
优势 -0.053%
Kelly -0.066%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.37

博彩公司预测分布
17.52%18.64%18.53%20.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.504.864.805.3722.22%20.59%20.83%18.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Cruzeiro (主队):70.00%;Remo (客队):11.43%;平局:18.57%。 对于“Remo (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.75。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为9.00,由此产生+2.86%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.49%EV -6.90%E -5.19%K -20.90%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.57%EV +2.86%E +0.318%K +0.358%G +0.010%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.94%EV -1.59%E -0.299%K -0.369%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-13 15:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -9.00%E -6.92%K -29.99%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +2.86%E +0.318%K +0.358%G +0.010%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.16%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-13 15:08
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.00%EV -5.50%E -4.07%K -15.71%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.15%EV -1.71%E -0.199%K -0.225%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.85%EV -0.287%E -0.053%K -0.066%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-13 14:58
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -9.00%E -6.92%K -29.99%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -2.85%E -0.335%K -0.380%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.16%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-13 14:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.24%EV -11.80%E -9.36%K -45.37%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.73%EV -5.71%E -0.692%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.03%EV -13.66%E -2.94%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-13 14:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.43%EV -7.60%E -5.76%K -23.74%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.34%EV -6.28%E -0.766%K -0.872%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -5.30%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-13 14:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 70.66%EV -15.30%E -12.64%K -72.84%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 10.55%EV -7.42%E -0.916%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 18.79%EV -15.51%E -3.41%K -4.37%G +0.000%17.0%2026-10-13 14:59
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -6.90%E -5.19%K -20.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -8.57%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.16%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-13 14:59
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.88%EV -8.30%E -6.33%K -26.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -8.57%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -1.59%E -0.299%K -0.369%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-13 14:53
William Hill🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -5.50%E -4.07%K -15.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -8.57%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -14.58%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-13 15:00
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -6.90%E -5.19%K -20.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.57%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -14.58%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-13 14:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -6.90%E -5.19%K -20.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.57%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -14.58%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-13 14:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -6.90%E -5.19%K -20.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.57%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -14.58%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-13 14:55
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -9.70%E -7.52%K -33.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -8.57%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.16%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-13 15:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 69.91%EV -11.80%E -9.36%K -45.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.74%EV -14.28%E -1.90%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -10.87%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-13 15:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 69.24%EV -12.50%E -10.00%K -49.99%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 11.94%EV -17.14%E -2.36%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.82%EV -14.58%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-13 14:59
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 67.33%EV -9.70%E -7.52%K -33.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.36%EV -25.71%E -3.96%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.30%EV -16.44%E -3.65%K -4.70%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-13 15:09
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (2)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.48I 67.57%NM 65.24%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.48%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.28%3.6%2026-10-13 19:55
Smarkets◎1.24I 80.65%NM 68.89%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.87%17.1%2026-10-13 14:59