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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Cruzeiro v Flamengo

2026-08-22 23:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cruzeiro (主队)

预测 32.30%3.10公平赔率
EV +1.73%
优势 +0.550%
Kelly +0.806%
增长率 +0.014%

假设最高赔率为 3.15

博彩公司预测分布
30.46%32.00%32.35%33.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.652.902.903.1537.74%34.46%34.48%31.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

Flamengo (客队)

预测 39.05%2.56公平赔率
EV -1.99%
优势 -0.791%
Kelly -1.31%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.51

博彩公司预测分布
37.15%39.11%39.04%40.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.182.322.302.5145.87%43.07%43.48%39.84%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.65%3.49公平赔率
EV -2.58%
优势 -0.757%
Kelly -1.07%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.40

博彩公司预测分布
27.79%28.89%28.62%30.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.173.153.4033.33%31.56%31.75%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Cruzeiro (主队)：32.30%；Flamengo (客队)：39.05%；平局：28.65%。 对于“Cruzeiro (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.10。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为3.15，由此产生+1.73%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.48%EV +1.73%E +0.550%K +0.806%G +0.014%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.86%EV -8.23%E -3.50%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.66%EV -4.01%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 19:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.48%EV +1.73%E +0.550%K +0.806%G +0.014%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.86%EV -8.23%E -3.50%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.66%EV -4.01%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 19:10
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -1.50%E -0.491%K -0.730%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.87%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-10 19:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -1.50%E -0.491%K -0.730%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.87%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-10 19:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -1.50%E -0.491%K -0.730%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.87%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-10 19:09
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -1.50%E -0.491%K -0.730%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.87%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-10 19:10
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -1.50%E -0.491%K -0.730%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.87%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-10 19:09
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -1.50%E -0.491%K -0.730%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.87%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-10 19:10
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -1.50%E -0.491%K -0.730%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -9.40%E -4.05%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -9.74%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-10 20:15
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -1.50%E -0.491%K -0.730%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -9.40%E -4.05%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -9.74%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-10 20:15
1xBet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -4.40%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.23%EV -1.99%E -0.791%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.35%EV -6.30%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-10 17:20
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -4.73%E -1.60%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -6.28%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.44%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 17:15
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -4.73%E -1.60%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -12.14%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -9.74%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-10 19:10
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -4.73%E -1.60%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -12.14%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -9.74%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-10 19:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%EV -4.73%E -1.60%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.40%EV -12.92%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -11.17%E -3.60%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-10 19:10
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.98%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -2.58%E -0.757%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 17:20
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.28%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.44%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 17:18
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.28%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.44%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 17:34
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -6.99%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -7.06%E -2.97%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-10 17:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%EV -6.99%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.24%EV -14.09%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.02%EV -12.60%E -4.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-10 19:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%EV -6.99%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.24%EV -14.09%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.02%EV -12.60%E -4.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-10 19:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%EV -6.99%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.24%EV -14.09%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.02%EV -12.60%E -4.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-10 19:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.47%EV -7.96%E -2.79%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.05%EV -7.45%E -3.14%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.87%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-10 17:20
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.57%E -3.42%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -6.28%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.01%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-10 17:25
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -9.57%E -3.42%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-10 17:20
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -9.57%E -3.42%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-10 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -9.57%E -3.42%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-10 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -9.57%E -3.42%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-10 17:19
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.57%E -3.42%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.17%E -3.60%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-10 17:20
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.57%E -3.42%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.17%E -3.60%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-10 17:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.42%EV -12.80%E -4.74%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%EV -14.09%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -9.74%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-10 17:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -12.80%E -4.74%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -12.14%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-10 17:20
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -12.80%E -4.74%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -12.14%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-10 17:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.92%EV -12.80%E -4.74%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 39.54%EV -14.87%E -6.82%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 28.54%EV -13.46%E -4.46%K -6.67%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-10 17:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.69%EV -14.42%E -5.44%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.37%EV -14.09%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -11.17%E -3.60%K -5.32%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-10 17:20
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%2.22I 45.05%NM 38.80%2.94I 34.01%NM 29.30%16.1%2026-08-10 19:10

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