Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cruzeiro v Flamengo

2026-08-22 23:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (8 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cruzeiro (Local)

Prévision 32.30%3.10cote équitable
EV +1.73%
Avantage +0.550%
Kelly +0.806%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.46%32.00%32.35%33.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.652.902.903.1537.74%34.46%34.48%31.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Flamengo (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.05%2.56cote équitable
EV -1.99%
Avantage -0.791%
Kelly -1.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.15%39.11%39.04%40.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.182.322.302.5145.87%43.07%43.48%39.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.65%3.49cote équitable
EV -2.58%
Avantage -0.757%
Kelly -1.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.79%28.89%28.62%30.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.173.153.4033.33%31.56%31.75%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Cruzeiro (Local) : 32.30% ; Flamengo (Visiteur) : 39.05% ; Match nul : 28.65%. Pour Cruzeiro (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.10. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 3.15, pour une espérance positive de +1.73%.

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.48%EV +1.73%E +0.550%K +0.806%G +0.014%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.86%EV -8.23%E -3.50%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.66%EV -4.01%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 19:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.48%EV +1.73%E +0.550%K +0.806%G +0.014%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.86%EV -8.23%E -3.50%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.66%EV -4.01%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 19:10
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -1.50%E -0.491%K -0.730%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.87%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-10 19:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -1.50%E -0.491%K -0.730%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.87%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-10 19:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -1.50%E -0.491%K -0.730%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.87%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-10 19:09
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -1.50%E -0.491%K -0.730%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.87%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-10 19:10
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -1.50%E -0.491%K -0.730%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.87%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-10 19:09
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -1.50%E -0.491%K -0.730%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.87%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-10 19:10
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -1.50%E -0.491%K -0.730%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -9.40%E -4.05%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -9.74%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-10 20:15
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -1.50%E -0.491%K -0.730%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -9.40%E -4.05%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -9.74%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-10 20:15
1xBet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -4.40%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.23%EV -1.99%E -0.791%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.35%EV -6.30%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-10 17:20
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -4.73%E -1.60%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -6.28%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.44%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 17:15
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -4.73%E -1.60%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -12.14%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -9.74%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-10 19:10
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -4.73%E -1.60%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -12.14%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -9.74%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-10 19:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%EV -4.73%E -1.60%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.40%EV -12.92%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -11.17%E -3.60%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-10 19:10
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.98%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -2.58%E -0.757%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 17:20
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.28%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.44%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 17:18
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.28%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.44%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 17:34
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -6.99%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -7.06%E -2.97%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-10 17:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%EV -6.99%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.24%EV -14.09%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.02%EV -12.60%E -4.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-10 19:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%EV -6.99%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.24%EV -14.09%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.02%EV -12.60%E -4.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-10 19:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%EV -6.99%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.24%EV -14.09%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.02%EV -12.60%E -4.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-10 19:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.47%EV -7.96%E -2.79%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.05%EV -7.45%E -3.14%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.87%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-10 17:20
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.57%E -3.42%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -6.28%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.01%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-10 17:25
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -9.57%E -3.42%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-10 17:20
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -9.57%E -3.42%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-10 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -9.57%E -3.42%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-10 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -9.57%E -3.42%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-10 17:19
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.57%E -3.42%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.17%E -3.60%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-10 17:20
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.57%E -3.42%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.17%E -3.60%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-10 17:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.42%EV -12.80%E -4.74%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%EV -14.09%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -9.74%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-10 17:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -12.80%E -4.74%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -12.14%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-10 17:20
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -12.80%E -4.74%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -12.14%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-10 17:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.92%EV -12.80%E -4.74%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 39.54%EV -14.87%E -6.82%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 28.54%EV -13.46%E -4.46%K -6.67%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-10 17:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.69%EV -14.42%E -5.44%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.37%EV -14.09%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -11.17%E -3.60%K -5.32%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-10 17:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%2.22I 45.05%NM 38.80%2.94I 34.01%NM 29.30%16.1%2026-08-10 19:10

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